- Lead
- 3,506
- Total
- 15,858
- vs nation
- R+20.6
Hutchinson, KS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 3,685
- Total
- 16,648
- vs nation
- R+26.6
- Lead
- 3,537
- Total
- 14,326
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 3,208
- Total
- 14,631
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Lead
- 2,411
- Total
- 16,148
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 4,064
- Total
- 16,599
- vs nation
- R+22.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,7092024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,614 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 24.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $58,6872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Salina, KS · twin score 92.8
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 52.2%16,022 participants ÷ 30,707 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 39.2%–42.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16,022 | 30,707 ± 459 | 52.2% | Audited | E/A | |
| 2022Mid | 12,699 | 30,619 ± 506 | 41.5% | Audited | E/A |
| 16,823 | 30,880 ± 528 | 54.5% | Audited | E/A | |
| 2018Mid | 12,625 | 30,957 ± 383 | 40.8% | Audited | E/A |
| 14,932 | 31,117 ± 403 | 48.0% | Audited | E/A | |
| 14,631 | 31,613 | 46.3% | Derived | — | |
| 16,148 | 31,441 | 51.4% | Derived | — | |
| 16,599 | 31,269 extrapolated | 53.1% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
- 2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
- 2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
- 2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
- 2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Hutchinson, KS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
41.5%
6,702 votes · R+14.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 37.9%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
61.3%
10,173 votes · R+24.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 60.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,702votes
41.5% of the vote · R+14.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 6,278 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
10,173votes
61.3% of the vote · R+24.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,963 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−20.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+22.1 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −22.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+26.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +26.6 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.3%5,385 | 65.7%10,314 | 15,699 |
| 2020 | R | 38.0%6,248 | 62.0%10,194 | 16,442 |
Hutchinson sits atop one of North America's largest underground salt deposits and serves as the commercial hub of Reno County, where Republican candidates have carried presidential contests by double-digit margins in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 24.7 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 22.1 points.
A population of 39,709, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,687 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Salina and Grants Pass.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hutchinson, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2033625/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.