Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

Kansas — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Tilt D

We expect Democratic to win 58%.

RatingTilt D
Win probabilityD 58%
Predicted margin
The substrate
2024 baselineR+16.1
2022 resultD+2.2
Seat held byDemocratic

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the KS state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →