- Lead
- 2,247
- Total
- 3,603
- vs nation
- R+60.9
- Turnout
- 56.4%
Wilson County, KS
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 56.4% of 6,390 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,430
- Total
- 3,954
- vs nation
- R+65.9
- Turnout
- 60.8%
- Lead
- 2,194
- Total
- 3,591
- vs nation
- R+63.2
- Turnout
- 54.8%
- Lead
- 2,007
- Total
- 3,717
- vs nation
- R+57.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,680
- Total
- 4,121
- vs nation
- R+48.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,203
- Total
- 4,398
- vs nation
- R+47.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,562
- Total
- 4,095
- vs nation
- R+38.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,161
- Total
- 4,357
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,5052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,6772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+10.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hayes County, NE · twin score 92.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 56.4%3,603 participants ÷ 6,390 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.0 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.2%–47.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,713 | 6,776 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,023 | 6,656 | 45.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,988 | 6,555 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,404 | 6,561 | 51.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,603 | 6,390 | 56.4% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
52 precincts · 3,603 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KS205000110KS205000110 | 95 | 306 | 11 | 412 | 23.1% | 74.3% | R+51.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -KS205000170KS205000170 | 75 | 271 | 6 | 352 | 21.3% | 77.0% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -KS205000050KS205000050 | 43 | 208 | 3 | 254 | 16.9% | 81.9% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -KS205000020KS205000020 | 42 | 199 | 4 | 245 | 17.1% | 81.2% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -KS205000130KS205000130 | 45 | 186 | 8 | 239 | 18.8% | 77.8% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -KS205000080KS205000080 | 55 | 165 | 5 | 225 | 24.4% | 73.3% | R+48.9 |
| Precinct -KS205000010KS205000010 | 16 | 196 | 6 | 218 | 7.3% | 89.9% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -KS20500014AKS20500014A | 38 | 142 | 3 | 183 | 20.8% | 77.6% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -KS205000070KS205000070 | 11 | 159 | 2 | 172 | 6.4% | 92.4% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -KS205000150KS205000150 | 48 | 101 | 3 | 152 | 31.6% | 66.4% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -KS205000160KS205000160 | 33 | 114 | 2 | 149 | 22.1% | 76.5% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -KS205000040KS205000040 | 18 | 114 | 2 | 134 | 13.4% | 85.1% | R+71.6 |
| Precinct -KS205000190KS205000190 | 18 | 99 | 2 | 119 | 15.1% | 83.2% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -KS205000180KS205000180 | 12 | 98 | 2 | 112 | 10.7% | 87.5% | R+76.8 |
| Precinct -KS205000220KS205000220 | 24 | 86 | 0 | 110 | 21.8% | 78.2% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -KS20500010AKS20500010A | 17 | 80 | 1 | 98 | 17.3% | 81.6% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -KS205000030KS205000030 | 9 | 73 | 1 | 83 | 10.8% | 88.0% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -KS205000090KS205000090 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 80 | 21.3% | 78.8% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -KS205000120KS205000120 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 80 | 6.3% | 93.8% | R+87.5 |
| Precinct -KS205000200KS205000200 | 5 | 63 | 1 | 69 | 7.2% | 91.3% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -KS205000210KS205000210 | 12 | 57 | 0 | 69 | 17.4% | 82.6% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -KS205000060KS205000060 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 28 | 7.1% | 92.9% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -KS205000230KS205000230 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 20 | 35.0% | 65.0% | R+30.0 |
| Cedar Township Voting District20_20205000010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Center Township Voting District20_20205000020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chetopa Township Voting District20_20205000030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clifton Township Voting District20_20205000040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax Township Voting District20_20205000050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Duck Creek Township Voting District20_20205000060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fall River Township Voting District20_20205000070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fredonia Ward 120_20205000080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fredonia Ward 220_20205000090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fredonia Ward 320_2020500010A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fredonia Ward 3 Exclave20_2020500010B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fredonia Ward 420_20205000110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Guilford Township Voting District20_20205000120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Township Voting District20_20205000130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 120_2020500014A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 1 Exclave20_2020500014B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 1 Exclave 220_20205900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 220_20205000150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 320_20205000160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 3 Exclave 120_20205900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 3 Exclave 220_20205900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 420_20205000170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Neodesha Ward 4 Exclave20_20205900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newark Township Voting District20_20205000180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Valley Township Voting District20_20205000190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prairie Township Voting District20_20205000200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Talleyrand Township Voting District20_20205000210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Verdigris Township Voting District20_20205000220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Webster Township Voting District20_20205000230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −51.8% |
| 1896 | +2.8% |
| 1900 | −12.2% |
| 1904 | −38.0% |
| 1908 | −14.2% |
| 1912 | +10.7% |
| 1916 | +7.4% |
| 1920 | −37.1% |
| 1924 | −40.4% |
| 1928 | −57.9% |
| 1932 | +7.6% |
| 1936 | −11.7% |
| 1940 | −29.6% |
| 1944 | −37.7% |
| 1948 | −20.4% |
| 1952 | −47.1% |
| 1956 | −46.3% |
| 1960 | −36.0% |
| 1964 | −5.9% |
| 1968 | −39.2% |
| 1972 | −52.9% |
| 1976 | −13.2% |
| 1980 | −44.2% |
| 1984 | −45.7% |
| 1988 | −27.6% |
| 1992 | −12.8% |
| 1996 | −26.6% |
| 2000 | −38.1% |
| 2004 | −50.1% |
| 2008 | −40.8% |
| 2012 | −54.0% |
| 2016 | −61.1% |
| 2020 | −61.5% |
| 2024 | −62.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.1 points more Democratic.
5,073 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+83 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −706 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,279 in average income, against $59,876 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+50.0 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Wilson County, KS itself (R+62.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, KS38R+51.1
- Neosho County, KS22R+48.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Montgomery County, KS50
- Neosho County, KS28
- Sedgwick County, KS23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −126 |
| 2012 | −132 |
| 2013 | −11 |
| 2014 | −104 |
| 2015 | −99 |
| 2016 | −143 |
| 2017 | +2 |
| 2018 | −38 |
| 2019 | −141 |
| 2021 | −10 |
| 2022 | +115 |
| 2023 | −99 |
| 2024 | −3 |
| 2025 | +83 |
Wilson County's R+62.4 presidential margin in 2024 places it among Kansas's most one-sided jurisdictions, a pattern consistent with the deep rural realignment seen across the southeastern corner of the state over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 62.4 points.
A population of 8,505, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,677 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hayes County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wilson County, Kansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/20205/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.