HarrisDemocratic21.7%3,586TrumpRepublican76.7%12,674OliverNonpartisan0.6%94
R+55.0- Lead
- 9,088
- Total
- 16,530
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 65.6%
Akashiccounty
Lincoln County, NE
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.6% of 25,550 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.5%3,692TrumpRepublican76.2%13,071JorgensenLibertarian2.0%344
R+54.6- Lead
- 9,379
- Total
- 17,163
- vs nation
- R+59.1
- Turnout
- 66.0%
ClintonDemocratic18.1%2,913TrumpRepublican75.4%12,164JohnsonLibertarian4.4%711
R+57.3- Lead
- 9,251
- Total
- 16,131
- vs nation
- R+59.4
- Turnout
- 61.2%
ObamaDemocratic28.4%4,450RomneyRepublican68.5%10,728GrayLibertarian2.0%315
R+40.1- Lead
- 6,278
- Total
- 15,655
- vs nation
- R+44.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic31.0%5,046McCainRepublican66.5%10,817OtherAll other candidates2.5%414
R+35.5- Lead
- 5,771
- Total
- 16,277
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.3%4,905BushRepublican68.3%11,056OtherAll other candidates1.5%238
R+38.0- Lead
- 6,151
- Total
- 16,199
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.4%5,205BushRepublican61.0%9,220NaderGreen3.3%502
R+26.6- Lead
- 4,015
- Total
- 15,114
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic34.9%5,165DoleRepublican50.5%7,482PerotReform13.8%2,043
R+15.7- Lead
- 2,317
- Total
- 14,804
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 33,8022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,1482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Goshen County, WY · twin score 86.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.6%16,754 participants ÷ 25,550 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.8%–50.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,365 | 26,726 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,998 | 26,638 | 48.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,415 | 26,392 | 66.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,371 | 26,202 | 47.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,754 | 25,550 | 65.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
24 precincts · 16,464 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OSGOODOSGOOD | 204 | 1,067 | 11 | 1,282 | 15.9% | 83.2% | R+67.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -HALLHALL | 163 | 838 | 12 | 1,013 | 16.1% | 82.7% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -HERSHEYHERSHEY | 125 | 853 | 4 | 982 | 12.7% | 86.9% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 09NORTH PLATTE 09 | 253 | 716 | 7 | 976 | 25.9% | 73.4% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 06NORTH PLATTE 06 | 272 | 681 | 13 | 966 | 28.2% | 70.5% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 08NORTH PLATTE 08 | 210 | 707 | 9 | 926 | 22.7% | 76.3% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 07BNORTH PLATTE 07B | 228 | 644 | 7 | 879 | 25.9% | 73.3% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -SUTHERLANDSUTHERLAND | 155 | 694 | 9 | 858 | 18.1% | 80.9% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 01NORTH PLATTE 01 | 194 | 543 | 17 | 754 | 25.7% | 72.0% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 13NORTH PLATTE 13 | 178 | 559 | 10 | 747 | 23.8% | 74.8% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 10NORTH PLATTE 10 | 210 | 517 | 15 | 742 | 28.3% | 69.7% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 12NORTH PLATTE 12 | 217 | 457 | 15 | 689 | 31.5% | 66.3% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 15NORTH PLATTE 15 | 182 | 453 | 17 | 652 | 27.9% | 69.5% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -SELLERSSELLERS | 109 | 525 | 4 | 638 | 17.1% | 82.3% | R+65.2 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 03NORTH PLATTE 03 | 169 | 388 | 10 | 567 | 29.8% | 68.4% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 05NORTH PLATTE 05 | 143 | 410 | 8 | 561 | 25.5% | 73.1% | R+47.6 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 02NORTH PLATTE 02 | 167 | 382 | 8 | 557 | 30.0% | 68.6% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -BRADYBRADY | 87 | 458 | 3 | 548 | 15.9% | 83.6% | R+67.7 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 16NORTH PLATTE 16 | 106 | 354 | 11 | 471 | 22.5% | 75.2% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -MAXWELLMAXWELL | 60 | 354 | 4 | 418 | 14.4% | 84.7% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -NORTH PLATTE 04NORTH PLATTE 04 | 77 | 330 | 4 | 411 | 18.7% | 80.3% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -HINMANHINMAN | 45 | 292 | 4 | 341 | 13.2% | 85.6% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -WALLACEWALLACE | 25 | 289 | 1 | 315 | 7.9% | 91.7% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -MEDICINEMEDICINE | 7 | 163 | 1 | 171 | 4.1% | 95.3% | R+91.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −34.1% |
| 1896 | +11.2% |
| 1900 | −8.3% |
| 1904 | −49.4% |
| 1908 | −5.0% |
| 1912 | +13.8% |
| 1916 | +23.3% |
| 1920 | −24.8% |
| 1924 | −21.3% |
| 1928 | −42.3% |
| 1932 | +31.4% |
| 1936 | +26.7% |
| 1940 | −8.7% |
| 1944 | −15.8% |
| 1948 | −3.4% |
| 1952 | −38.0% |
| 1956 | −25.4% |
| 1960 | −23.0% |
| 1964 | +14.5% |
| 1968 | −24.4% |
| 1972 | −39.9% |
| 1976 | −13.5% |
| 1980 | −40.6% |
| 1984 | −40.6% |
| 1988 | −15.8% |
| 1992 | −12.1% |
| 1996 | −15.7% |
| 2000 | −26.6% |
| 2004 | −38.0% |
| 2008 | −35.5% |
| 2012 | −40.1% |
| 2016 | −57.3% |
| 2020 | −54.6% |
| 2024 | −55.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+46.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+55.0
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 8.3 points more Democratic.
23,061 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+82 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,960 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,962 in average income, against $76,305 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.1 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, NE itself (R+55.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dawson County, NE41R+49.4
- Lancaster County, NE41D+4.3
- Buffalo County, NE29R+44.7
- Keith County, NE28R+63.8
- Douglas County, NE27D+10.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lancaster County, NE80
- Buffalo County, NE58
- Douglas County, NE46
- Dawson County, NE37
- Frontier County, NE26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −308 |
| 2012 | −186 |
| 2013 | −117 |
| 2014 | −384 |
| 2015 | −184 |
| 2016 | −115 |
| 2017 | −274 |
| 2018 | −221 |
| 2019 | −320 |
| 2021 | −335 |
| 2022 | −312 |
| 2023 | −131 |
| 2024 | −155 |
| 2025 | +82 |
Lincoln County anchors Nebraska's high-plains interior, where ranching and agriculture have sustained lopsided Republican margins for decades — the 2024 presidential result of R+55.2 reflects a regional pattern as consistent as the surrounding landscape.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 55.0 points.
A population of 33,802, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,148 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Goshen County and Jackson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Goshen County
Wyoming
86.2twin score
% unaffiliated2008–2020 trajectory
Jackson County
Kansas
82.6twin score
% unaffiliated% Evangelical% Black≠ Swedish ancestry
Chautauqua County
Kansas
82.6twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2020 trajectory% Catholic≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31111/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lincoln County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Nebraska vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Nebraska voted Republican by 55.0 points (R+55.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,530 votes cast, 3,586 went Democratic and 12,674 went Republican.
When did Lincoln County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Nebraska?
Lincoln County, Nebraska has a population of 33,802 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Nebraska is $65,148 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.