Akashic

county

Keith County, NE

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German34.5%31.0%12.5%

English13.1%9.4%9.5%

Irish10.2%11.7%9.4%

American4.5%3.5%5.3%

Swedish3.2%3.1%—

Italian2.7%2.1%4.8%

Polish2.5%2.7%2.2%

French2.4%—1.6%

Mexican8.0%8.7%11.3%

Spaniard0.8%——

African American†1.1%3.7%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Keith County	Nebraska	United States
Median age	48.4	37.3	39.1
Age 18–24	5.4%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	27.9%	16.8%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Keith County	Nebraska	United States
Median household income	$60,645	$76,475	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.4%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.7%	34.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Keith County	Nebraska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.5%	12.8%	22.3%
Spanish	4.4%	8.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Keith County	Nebraska	United States
Catholic	21.9%	19.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	12.5%	14.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	46.1%	50.8%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	17.7%	12.1%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 66.1% of 6,459 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic17.4%731TrumpRepublican81.2%3,416OliverNonpartisan0.6%27

R+63.8

Lead: 2,685
Total: 4,209
vs nation: R+62.3
Turnout: 66.1%

BidenDemocratic17.5%763TrumpRepublican81.1%3,544JorgensenLibertarian1.3%57

R+63.7

Lead: 2,781
Total: 4,369
vs nation: R+68.1
Turnout: 69.4%

ClintonDemocratic14.2%571TrumpRepublican80.2%3,235JohnsonLibertarian4.1%164

R+66.0

Lead: 2,664
Total: 4,034
vs nation: R+68.1
Turnout: 64.4%

ObamaDemocratic22.9%928RomneyRepublican75.0%3,044GrayLibertarian1.4%58

R+52.1

Lead: 2,116
Total: 4,058
vs nation: R+56.0
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic24.5%974McCainRepublican74.1%2,942OtherAll other candidates1.3%52

R+49.6

Lead: 1,968
Total: 3,968
vs nation: R+56.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic18.0%743BushRepublican81.1%3,356OtherAll other candidates0.9%38

R+63.2

Lead: 2,613
Total: 4,137
vs nation: R+60.7
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic20.2%778BushRepublican76.7%2,953NaderGreen1.9%75

R+56.5

Lead: 2,175
Total: 3,849
vs nation: R+57.0
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic21.7%830DoleRepublican65.5%2,504PerotReform12.0%460

R+43.8

Lead: 1,674
Total: 3,823
vs nation: R+52.3
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+63.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 8,2192024 5-year
Median household income: $60,6452024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 85.4%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+35.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+68.6 in 1984MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Cheyenne County, NE · twin score 94.6

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 66.1%4,271 participants ÷ 6,459 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +24.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: +2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 42.1%–47.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	4,098	6,359	64.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	3,246	6,408	50.7%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	4,418	6,369	69.4%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	2,963	6,535	45.3%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	4,271	6,459	66.1%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 4,199 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Keith County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -WARD 5WARD 5	148	581	12	741	20.0%	78.4%	R+58.4
Precinct -RURAL OGALLALARURAL OGALLALA	101	555	8	664	15.2%	83.6%	R+68.4
Precinct -WARD 2WARD 2	110	384	13	507	21.7%	75.7%	R+54.0
Precinct -BRULEBRULE	60	404	5	469	12.8%	86.1%	R+73.3
Precinct -LONERGANLONERGAN	79	367	0	446	17.7%	82.3%	R+64.6
Precinct -PAXTONPAXTON	53	386	4	443	12.0%	87.1%	R+75.2
Precinct -WARD 3WARD 3	73	286	3	362	20.2%	79.0%	R+58.8
Precinct -WARD 4WARD 4	65	292	5	362	18.0%	80.7%	R+62.7
Precinct -WARD 1WARD 1	42	161	2	205	20.5%	78.5%	R+58.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−20.2%
1896	+20.3%
1900	−6.4%
1904	−39.8%
1908	−8.4%
1912	+14.2%
1916	+15.6%
1920	−35.6%
1924	−21.8%
1928	−34.5%
1932	+35.5%
1936	+28.7%
1940	−7.0%
1944	−20.5%
1948	−18.1%
1952	−56.8%
1956	−47.7%
1960	−37.8%
1964	−3.9%
1968	−47.8%
1972	−58.1%
1976	−35.8%
1980	−61.3%
1984	−68.6%
1988	−45.4%
1992	−33.0%
1996	−43.8%
2000	−56.5%
2004	−63.2%
2008	−49.6%
2012	−52.1%
2016	−66.0%
2020	−63.7%
2024	−63.8%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	17.4%Harris731	81.2%Trump3,416	0.6%Oliver27 +3	R+63.8	R+0.1	R+62.3	4,209
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican81.2%3,416 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.4%731 Chase OliverNonpartisan0.6%27 Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%14 Cornel WestNonpartisan0.3%11 OtherAll other candidates0.2%10
2020	R	17.5%Biden763	81.1%Trump3,544	1.3%Jorgensen57	R+63.7	D+2.4	R+68.1	4,369
2016	R	14.2%Clinton571	80.2%Trump3,235	4.1%Johnson164	R+66.0	R+13.9	R+68.1	4,034
2012	R	22.9%Obama928	75.0%Romney3,044	1.4%Gray58	R+52.1	R+2.5	R+56.0	4,058
2008	R	24.5%Obama974	74.1%McCain2,942	1.3%	R+49.6	D+13.6	R+56.9	3,968
2004	R	18.0%Kerry743	81.1%Bush3,356	0.9%	R+63.2	R+6.7	R+60.7	4,137
2000	R	20.2%Gore778	76.7%Bush2,953	1.9%Nader75	R+56.5	R+12.7	R+57.0	3,849
1996	R	21.7%Clinton830	65.5%Dole2,504	12.0%Perot460	R+43.8	R+10.8	R+52.3	3,823
1992	R	18.6%Clinton740	51.7%Bush2,050	29.3%Perot1,162	R+33.0	D+12.4	R+38.6	3,969
1988	R	26.9%Dukakis1,075	72.3%Bush2,886	0.8%	R+45.4	D+23.3	R+37.7	3,991
1984	R	15.5%Mondale631	84.1%Reagan3,433	0.4%	R+68.6	R+7.3	R+50.4	4,082
1980	R	16.3%Carter710	77.7%Reagan3,381	6.0%	R+61.3	R+25.5	R+51.6	4,354
1976	R	30.3%Carter1,139	66.1%Ford2,485	3.6%	R+35.8	D+22.4	R+37.9	3,760
1972	R	20.9%McGovern665	79.1%Nixon2,513	0.0%	R+58.1	R+10.4	R+35.0	3,178
1968	R	23.1%Humphrey694	70.9%Nixon2,126	5.9%	R+47.8	R+43.9	R+47.1	2,998
1964	R	48.1%Johnson1,784	51.9%Goldwater1,927	0.0%	R+3.9	D+33.9	R+26.4	3,711
1960	R	31.1%Kennedy1,211	68.9%Nixon2,680	0.0%	R+37.8	D+9.9	R+37.9	3,891
1956	R	26.2%Stevenson930	73.8%Eisenhower2,624	0.0%	R+47.7	D+9.1	R+32.3	3,554
1952	R	21.6%Stevenson769	78.4%Eisenhower2,790	0.0%	R+56.8	R+38.7	R+46.0	3,559
1948	R	40.9%Truman1,109	59.1%Dewey1,600	0.0%	R+18.1	D+2.4	R+22.6	2,709
1944	R	39.7%Roosevelt1,147	60.3%Dewey1,739	0.0%	R+20.5	R+13.6	R+28.0	2,886
1940	R	46.5%Roosevelt1,759	53.5%Willkie2,022	0.0%	R+7.0	R+35.7	R+16.9	3,781
1936	D	63.5%Roosevelt2,000	34.7%Landon1,094	1.8%	D+28.7	R+6.8	D+4.5	3,152
1932	D	67.2%Roosevelt2,009	31.6%Hoover946	1.2%	D+35.5	D+70.1	D+17.8	2,991
1928	R	32.6%Smith832	67.1%Hoover1,715	0.4%	R+34.5	R+12.7	R+17.1	2,556
1924	R	28.1%Davis602	49.9%Coolidge1,069	21.6%La Follette462	R+21.8	D+13.8	D+3.4	2,141
1920	R	29.1%Cox472	64.7%Harding1,050	6.2%	R+35.6	R+51.2	R+9.4	1,622
1916	D	54.6%Wilson544	39.1%Hughes389	6.3%	D+15.6	D+1.3	D+12.4	996
1912	O	37.3%Wilson304	23.0%Taft188	39.7%	Roosevelt +2.5	D+22.6	R+5.3	816
1908	R	45.0%Bryan310	53.4%Taft368	1.6%	R+8.4	D+31.4	D+1.1	689
1904	R	20.4%Parker89	60.2%Roosevelt263	19.5%	R+39.8	R+33.4	R+20.2	437
1900	R	46.0%Bryan216	52.3%McKinley246	1.7%	R+6.4	R+26.7	D+1.2	470
1896	D	59.9%Bryan269	39.6%McKinley178	0.4%	D+20.3	D+40.4	D+26.3	449
1892	O	17.7%Cleveland98	37.8%Harrison210	44.5%	Weaver +6.7	—	R+21.8	555
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	15.3%631	84.7%3,482	4,113
2020	R	14.4%598	85.6%3,557	4,155
2018	R	17.6%563	82.4%2,643	3,206

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Class I	R	0.0%0	71.3%Deb Fischer2,963	4,155
2020Class II	R	13.0%Chis Janicek553	78.9%Ben Sasse3,355	4,251
2018Class I	R	17.7%Jane Raybould567	79.2%Deb Fischer2,542	3,210
2014Class II	R	13.8%Dave Domina361	79.6%Ben Sasse2,083	2,616
2012Class I	R	26.2%Bob Kerrey1,063	73.8%Deb Fischer2,988	4,051
2008Class II	R	27.5%Scott Kleeb1,085	70.1%Mike Johanns2,763	3,942
2006Class I	R	48.8%Ben Nelson1,604	51.2%Pete Ricketts1,685	3,289
2002Class II	R	9.0%Charlie A. Matulka278	88.6%Chuck Hagel2,730	3,080
2000Class I	R	34.3%Ben Nelson1,311	65.7%Don Stenberg2,512	3,823
1996Class II	R	28.5%Ben Nelson1,075	69.5%Chuck Hagel2,624	3,776
1994Class I	R	33.1%Bob Kerrey1,195	66.9%Jan Stoney2,412	3,607
1990Class II	R	36.6%J.James Exon1,252	63.4%Hal Daub2,169	3,422
1988Class I	R	37.2%Bob Kerrey1,481	62.1%Dave Karnes2,476	3,985
1984Class II	R	34.5%J.James Exon1,407	65.5%Nancy Hoch2,673	4,080
1982Class I	D	49.5%Edward Zorinsky1,699	48.5%Jim Keck1,662	3,429
1978Class II	D	60.3%J.James Exon1,869	39.7%Donald Shasteen1,233	3,102
1976Class I	R	40.5%Edward Zorinsky1,509	59.5%John McCollister2,220	3,729
1972Class II	R	37.7%Terry Carpenter1,195	62.3%Carl T. Curtis1,977	3,172
1970Class I	R	42.5%Frank B. Morrison1,084	57.5%Roman Hruska1,469	2,553
1966Class II	R	31.1%Frank B. Morrison978	68.9%Carl T. Curtis2,167	3,145
1964Class I	R	33.5%Raymond W. Arndt1,188	66.5%Roman Hruska2,359	3,547
1960Class II	R	35.2%Robert B. Conrad1,332	64.8%Carl T. Curtis2,449	3,781
1958Class I	R	36.8%Frank B. Morrison1,099	63.2%Roman Hruska1,887	2,986
1954Class II	R	38.0%Keith Neville1,054	62.0%Carl T. Curtis1,720	2,774
1952Class I	R	19.6%Stanley D. Long674	72.5%Hugh Butler2,491	3,435
1948Class II	R	40.6%Terry Carpenter1,069	59.4%Kenneth Wherry1,565	2,634
1946Class I	R	23.5%John E. Mekota468	76.5%Hugh Butler1,523	1,991
1942Class II	R	8.9%Foster May210	49.1%Kenneth Wherry1,161	2,363
1940Class I	R	46.2%R.L. Cochran1,676	52.1%Hugh Butler1,888	3,625
1936Class II	R	26.1%Terry Carpenter801	33.2%Robert G. Simmons1,018	3,064
1934Class I	D	59.2%Edward R. Burke1,698	39.3%Robert G. Simmons1,127	2,868
1930Class II	R	42.5%Gilbert Hitchcock1,006	53.2%George Norris1,258	2,365
1928Class I	R	34.6%Richard Metcalfe856	65.4%Robert B. Howell1,615	2,471
1924Class II	R	31.6%J.J. Thomas644	68.4%George Norris1,393	2,037
1922Class I	R	36.0%Gilbert Hitchcock747	56.8%Robert B. Howell1,179	2,076
1918Class II	D	50.6%John H. Morehead477	49.4%George Norris466	943
1916Class I	D	51.1%Gilbert Hitchcock497	42.4%John L. Kennedy413	973

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Special · Class II	R	15.8%Preston Love Jr.656	84.2%Pete Ricketts3,486	4,142
1954Special · Class I	R	35.6%James F. Green978	64.4%Roman Hruska1,769	2,747

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	15.8%Carol Blood456	80.8%Jim Pillen2,337	2,891
2018	R	21.4%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz684	78.6%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley2,516	3,200
2014	R	19.8%Chuck Hassebrook517	76.6%Pete Ricketts1,996	2,606
2010	R	16.5%Mike Meister565	83.5%Dave Heineman2,865	3,430
2006	R	15.9%David Hahn520	82.0%Dave Heineman2,682	3,269
2002	R	17.5%Stormy Dean542	77.2%Mike Johanns2,390	3,097
1998	R	33.2%Bill Hoppner1,053	66.8%Mike Johanns2,117	3,170
1994	D	62.0%Ben Nelson2,247	37.9%Gene Spence1,374	3,622
1990	R	39.0%Ben Nelson1,306	60.5%Kay A. Orr2,024	3,347
1986	R	34.8%Helen Boosalis1,286	65.2%Kay Orr2,412	3,698
1982	R	38.3%Bob Kerrey1,335	61.7%Charles Thone2,149	3,485
1978	R	41.6%Gerald T. Whelan1,289	58.4%Charles Thone1,808	3,097

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+57.5

Presidential vote · 2024R+63.8

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.3 points more Democratic.

5,720 registered voters · 2026

Democratic11.4%Republican68.9%Unaffiliated18.2%Other1.4%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−31 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −259 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $55,534 in average income, against $70,792 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Lincoln County, NE28
Lancaster County, NE20

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Keith County, NE in Keith County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−94
2012	−14
2013	−28
2014	+35
2015	−13
2016	−13
2017	−31
2018	−63
2019	+34
2021	−24
2022	−18
2023	−18
2024	+19
2025	−31

Keith County's economy revolves around irrigation agriculture and recreation along Nebraska's largest reservoir, sustaining a small population spread across the North Platte River valley that votes with some of the widest Republican margins in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.6 points in 1984. The 2024 margin was 63.8 points.

A population of 8,219, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,645 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cheyenne County and Cherry County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Cheyenne County

Nebraska

94.6twin score

2000–2012 trajectory≠ median age

Cherry County

Nebraska

92.6twin score

2000–2016 trajectory≠ median age

Brown County

Nebraska

92.0twin score

2000–2016 trajectory≠ English ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Keith County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Keith County

Ogallala

R+58

4.8K residents

Nebraska at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Keith County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Keith County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+63.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,209 votes cast, 731 went Democratic and 3,416 went Republican.

When did Keith County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Keith County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Keith County, Nebraska?

Keith County, Nebraska has a population of 8,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Keith County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Keith County, Nebraska is $60,645 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Keith County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Keith County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.

Measure

Keith County

Nebraska

United States

Median age

48.4

37.3

39.1

Age 18–24

5.4%

9.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

27.9%

16.8%

17.2%

Measure

Keith County

Nebraska

United States

Median household income

$60,645

$76,475

$84,427

Poverty rate

10.4%

10.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

22.7%

34.7%

35.6%

Measure

Keith County

Nebraska

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

5.5%

12.8%

22.3%

Spanish

4.4%

8.5%

13.6%

Measure

Keith County

Nebraska

United States

Catholic

21.9%

19.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

12.5%

14.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

46.1%

50.8%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

17.7%

12.1%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+63.8MIT Election Lab

Population

8,2192024 5-year

Median household income

$60,6452024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

85.4%2024 5-year

Black

1.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

9.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+35.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+68.6 in 1984MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Cheyenne County, NE · twin score 94.6

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

4,098

6,359

64.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

3,246

6,408

50.7%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

4,418

6,369

69.4%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

2,963

6,535

45.3%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

4,271

6,459

66.1%

A/A

Keith County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -WARD 5WARD 5

148

581

741

20.0%

78.4%

R+58.4

Precinct -RURAL OGALLALARURAL OGALLALA

101

555

664

15.2%

83.6%

R+68.4

Precinct -WARD 2WARD 2

110

384

507

21.7%

75.7%

R+54.0

Precinct -BRULEBRULE

404

469

12.8%

86.1%

R+73.3

Precinct -LONERGANLONERGAN

367

446

17.7%

82.3%

R+64.6

Precinct -PAXTONPAXTON

386

443

12.0%

87.1%

R+75.2

Precinct -WARD 3WARD 3

286

362

20.2%

79.0%

R+58.8

Precinct -WARD 4WARD 4

292

362

18.0%

80.7%

R+62.7

Precinct -WARD 1WARD 1

161

205

20.5%

78.5%

R+58.0

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−20.2%
1896	+20.3%
1900	−6.4%
1904	−39.8%
1908	−8.4%
1912	+14.2%
1916	+15.6%
1920	−35.6%
1924	−21.8%
1928	−34.5%
1932	+35.5%
1936	+28.7%
1940	−7.0%
1944	−20.5%
1948	−18.1%
1952	−56.8%
1956	−47.7%
1960	−37.8%
1964	−3.9%
1968	−47.8%
1972	−58.1%
1976	−35.8%
1980	−61.3%
1984	−68.6%
1988	−45.4%
1992	−33.0%
1996	−43.8%
2000	−56.5%
2004	−63.2%
2008	−49.6%
2012	−52.1%
2016	−66.0%
2020	−63.7%
2024	−63.8%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

17.4%Harris731

81.2%Trump3,416

0.6%Oliver27 +3

R+63.8

R+0.1

R+62.3

4,209

All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican81.2%3,416
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.4%731
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.6%27
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.3%14
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.3%11
OtherAll other candidates0.2%10

2020

17.5%Biden763

81.1%Trump3,544

1.3%Jorgensen57

R+63.7

D+2.4

R+68.1

4,369

2016

14.2%Clinton571

80.2%Trump3,235

4.1%Johnson164

R+66.0

R+13.9

R+68.1

4,034

2012

22.9%Obama928

75.0%Romney3,044

1.4%Gray58

R+52.1

R+2.5

R+56.0

4,058

2008

24.5%Obama974

74.1%McCain2,942

1.3%

R+49.6

D+13.6

R+56.9

3,968

2004

18.0%Kerry743

81.1%Bush3,356

0.9%

R+63.2

R+6.7

R+60.7

4,137

2000

20.2%Gore778

76.7%Bush2,953

1.9%Nader75

R+56.5

R+12.7

R+57.0

3,849

1996

21.7%Clinton830

65.5%Dole2,504

12.0%Perot460

R+43.8

R+10.8

R+52.3

3,823

1992

18.6%Clinton740

51.7%Bush2,050

29.3%Perot1,162

R+33.0

D+12.4

R+38.6

3,969

1988

26.9%Dukakis1,075

72.3%Bush2,886

0.8%

R+45.4

D+23.3

R+37.7

3,991

1984

15.5%Mondale631

84.1%Reagan3,433

0.4%

R+68.6

R+7.3

R+50.4

4,082

1980

16.3%Carter710

77.7%Reagan3,381

6.0%

R+61.3

R+25.5

R+51.6

4,354

1976

30.3%Carter1,139

66.1%Ford2,485

3.6%

R+35.8

D+22.4

R+37.9

3,760

1972

20.9%McGovern665

79.1%Nixon2,513

0.0%

R+58.1

R+10.4

R+35.0

3,178

1968

23.1%Humphrey694

70.9%Nixon2,126

5.9%

R+47.8

R+43.9

R+47.1

2,998

1964

48.1%Johnson1,784

51.9%Goldwater1,927

0.0%

R+3.9

D+33.9

R+26.4

3,711

1960

31.1%Kennedy1,211

68.9%Nixon2,680

0.0%

R+37.8

D+9.9

R+37.9

3,891

1956

26.2%Stevenson930

73.8%Eisenhower2,624

0.0%

R+47.7

D+9.1

R+32.3

3,554

1952

21.6%Stevenson769

78.4%Eisenhower2,790

0.0%

R+56.8

R+38.7

R+46.0

3,559

1948

40.9%Truman1,109

59.1%Dewey1,600

0.0%

R+18.1

D+2.4

R+22.6

2,709

1944

39.7%Roosevelt1,147

60.3%Dewey1,739

0.0%

R+20.5

R+13.6

R+28.0

2,886

1940

46.5%Roosevelt1,759

53.5%Willkie2,022

0.0%

R+7.0

R+35.7

R+16.9

3,781

1936

63.5%Roosevelt2,000

34.7%Landon1,094

1.8%

D+28.7

R+6.8

D+4.5

3,152

1932

67.2%Roosevelt2,009

31.6%Hoover946

1.2%

D+35.5

D+70.1

D+17.8

2,991

1928

32.6%Smith832

67.1%Hoover1,715

0.4%

R+34.5

R+12.7

R+17.1

2,556

1924

28.1%Davis602

49.9%Coolidge1,069

21.6%La Follette462

R+21.8

D+13.8

D+3.4

2,141

1920

29.1%Cox472

64.7%Harding1,050

6.2%

R+35.6

R+51.2

R+9.4

1,622

1916

54.6%Wilson544

39.1%Hughes389

6.3%

D+15.6

D+1.3

D+12.4

996

1912

37.3%Wilson304

23.0%Taft188

39.7%

Roosevelt +2.5

D+22.6

R+5.3

816

1908

45.0%Bryan310

53.4%Taft368

1.6%

R+8.4

D+31.4

D+1.1

689

1904

20.4%Parker89

60.2%Roosevelt263

19.5%

R+39.8

R+33.4

R+20.2

437

1900

46.0%Bryan216

52.3%McKinley246

1.7%

R+6.4

R+26.7

D+1.2

470

1896

59.9%Bryan269

39.6%McKinley178

0.4%

D+20.3

D+40.4

D+26.3

449

1892

17.7%Cleveland98

37.8%Harrison210

44.5%

Weaver +6.7

—

R+21.8

555

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

15.3%631

84.7%3,482

4,113

2020

14.4%598

85.6%3,557

4,155

2018

17.6%563

82.4%2,643

3,206

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Class I

0.0%0

71.3%Deb Fischer2,963

4,155

2020Class II

13.0%Chis Janicek553

78.9%Ben Sasse3,355

4,251

2018Class I

17.7%Jane Raybould567

79.2%Deb Fischer2,542

3,210

2014Class II

13.8%Dave Domina361

79.6%Ben Sasse2,083

2,616

2012Class I

26.2%Bob Kerrey1,063

73.8%Deb Fischer2,988

4,051

2008Class II

27.5%Scott Kleeb1,085

70.1%Mike Johanns2,763

3,942

2006Class I

48.8%Ben Nelson1,604

51.2%Pete Ricketts1,685

3,289

2002Class II

9.0%Charlie A. Matulka278

88.6%Chuck Hagel2,730

3,080

2000Class I

34.3%Ben Nelson1,311

65.7%Don Stenberg2,512

3,823

1996Class II

28.5%Ben Nelson1,075

69.5%Chuck Hagel2,624

3,776

1994Class I

33.1%Bob Kerrey1,195

66.9%Jan Stoney2,412

3,607

1990Class II

36.6%J.James Exon1,252

63.4%Hal Daub2,169

3,422

1988Class I

37.2%Bob Kerrey1,481

62.1%Dave Karnes2,476

3,985

1984Class II

34.5%J.James Exon1,407

65.5%Nancy Hoch2,673

4,080

1982Class I

49.5%Edward Zorinsky1,699

48.5%Jim Keck1,662

3,429

1978Class II

60.3%J.James Exon1,869

39.7%Donald Shasteen1,233

3,102

1976Class I

40.5%Edward Zorinsky1,509

59.5%John McCollister2,220

3,729

1972Class II

37.7%Terry Carpenter1,195

62.3%Carl T. Curtis1,977

3,172

1970Class I

42.5%Frank B. Morrison1,084

57.5%Roman Hruska1,469

2,553

1966Class II

31.1%Frank B. Morrison978

68.9%Carl T. Curtis2,167

3,145

1964Class I

33.5%Raymond W. Arndt1,188

66.5%Roman Hruska2,359

3,547

1960Class II

35.2%Robert B. Conrad1,332

64.8%Carl T. Curtis2,449

3,781

1958Class I

36.8%Frank B. Morrison1,099

63.2%Roman Hruska1,887

2,986

1954Class II

38.0%Keith Neville1,054

62.0%Carl T. Curtis1,720

2,774

1952Class I

19.6%Stanley D. Long674

72.5%Hugh Butler2,491

3,435

1948Class II

40.6%Terry Carpenter1,069

59.4%Kenneth Wherry1,565

2,634

1946Class I

23.5%John E. Mekota468

76.5%Hugh Butler1,523

1,991

1942Class II

8.9%Foster May210

49.1%Kenneth Wherry1,161

2,363

1940Class I

46.2%R.L. Cochran1,676

52.1%Hugh Butler1,888

3,625

1936Class II

26.1%Terry Carpenter801

33.2%Robert G. Simmons1,018

3,064

1934Class I

59.2%Edward R. Burke1,698

39.3%Robert G. Simmons1,127

2,868

1930Class II

42.5%Gilbert Hitchcock1,006

53.2%George Norris1,258

2,365

1928Class I

34.6%Richard Metcalfe856

65.4%Robert B. Howell1,615

2,471

1924Class II

31.6%J.J. Thomas644

68.4%George Norris1,393

2,037

1922Class I

36.0%Gilbert Hitchcock747

56.8%Robert B. Howell1,179

2,076

1918Class II

50.6%John H. Morehead477

49.4%George Norris466

943

1916Class I

51.1%Gilbert Hitchcock497

42.4%John L. Kennedy413

973

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Special · Class II

15.8%Preston Love Jr.656

84.2%Pete Ricketts3,486

4,142

1954Special · Class I

35.6%James F. Green978

64.4%Roman Hruska1,769

2,747

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

15.8%Carol Blood456

80.8%Jim Pillen2,337

2,891

2018

21.4%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz684

78.6%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley2,516

3,200

2014

19.8%Chuck Hassebrook517

76.6%Pete Ricketts1,996

2,606

2010

16.5%Mike Meister565

83.5%Dave Heineman2,865

3,430

2006

15.9%David Hahn520

82.0%Dave Heineman2,682

3,269

2002

17.5%Stormy Dean542

77.2%Mike Johanns2,390

3,097

1998

33.2%Bill Hoppner1,053

66.8%Mike Johanns2,117

3,170

1994

62.0%Ben Nelson2,247

37.9%Gene Spence1,374

3,622

1990

39.0%Ben Nelson1,306

60.5%Kay A. Orr2,024

3,347

1986

34.8%Helen Boosalis1,286

65.2%Kay Orr2,412

3,698

1982

38.3%Bob Kerrey1,335

61.7%Charles Thone2,149

3,485

1978

41.6%Gerald T. Whelan1,289

58.4%Charles Thone1,808

3,097

Frequently asked questions

How did Keith County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Keith County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+63.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,209 votes cast, 731 went Democratic and 3,416 went Republican.

When did Keith County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Keith County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Keith County, Nebraska?

Keith County, Nebraska has a population of 8,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Keith County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Keith County, Nebraska is $60,645 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Keith County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Keith County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.