Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
2024 total turnout
74.4%491 participants ÷ 660 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+26.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state
+5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario
47.5%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Election
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Quality
2016 · Presidential
474
659
71.9%
A/A
2018 · Midterm
421
667
63.1%
A/D
2020 · Presidential
506
593
85.3%
A/D
2022 · Midterm
367
628
58.4%
A/D
2024 · Presidential
491
660
74.4%
A/D
Sources and methods
2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 486 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Wheeler County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -WHEELERWHEELER
57
424
5
486
11.7%
87.2%
R+75.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−30.4%
1896
+24.1%
1900
+13.0%
1904
−37.1%
1908
+3.1%
1912
+25.7%
1916
+21.7%
1920
−30.6%
1924
−7.9%
1928
−29.0%
1932
+48.5%
1936
+13.7%
1940
−7.4%
1944
−11.7%
1948
+10.7%
1952
−32.7%
1956
−28.4%
1960
−27.9%
1964
−12.2%
1968
−38.2%
1972
−62.2%
1976
−29.4%
1980
−56.1%
1984
−57.6%
1988
−36.9%
1992
−34.1%
1996
−32.3%
2000
−58.7%
2004
−62.9%
2008
−54.1%
2012
−56.3%
2016
−67.7%
2020
−75.3%
2024
−75.5%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
11.7%Harris57
87.2%Trump424
0.6%Oliver3 +2
R+75.5
R+0.2
R+74.0
486
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican87.2%424
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic11.7%57
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.6%3
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.2%1
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.2%1
R
11.7%Biden59
87.1%Trump438
1.0%Jorgensen5
R+75.3
R+7.6
R+79.8
503
R
13.3%Clinton62
81.1%Trump377
3.7%Johnson17
R+67.7
R+11.5
R+69.8
465
R
20.8%Obama93
77.0%Romney345
1.8%Gray8
R+56.3
R+2.2
R+60.1
448
R
21.8%Obama96
75.9%McCain334
2.3%
R+54.1
D+8.8
R+61.4
440
R
17.9%Kerry81
80.8%Bush366
1.3%
R+62.9
R+4.2
R+60.5
453
R
18.8%Gore85
77.5%Bush351
2.4%Nader11
R+58.7
R+26.4
R+59.2
453
R
25.4%Clinton106
57.7%Dole241
16.5%Perot69
R+32.3
D+1.8
R+40.8
418
R
19.0%Clinton88
53.0%Bush246
27.4%Perot127
R+34.1
D+2.9
R+39.6
464
R
31.0%Dukakis141
67.9%Bush309
1.1%
R+36.9
D+20.7
R+29.2
455
R
20.9%Mondale97
78.5%Reagan365
0.6%
R+57.6
R+1.5
R+39.4
465
R
18.6%Carter93
74.7%Reagan374
6.8%
R+56.1
R+26.7
R+46.4
501
R
33.5%Carter146
62.8%Ford274
3.7%
R+29.4
D+32.9
R+31.4
436
R
18.9%McGovern84
81.1%Nixon361
0.0%
R+62.2
R+24.1
R+39.1
445
R
26.0%Humphrey131
64.2%Nixon323
9.7%
R+38.2
R+26.0
R+37.5
503
R
43.9%Johnson248
56.1%Goldwater317
0.0%
R+12.2
D+15.7
R+34.8
565
R
36.0%Kennedy239
64.0%Nixon424
0.0%
R+27.9
D+0.5
R+28.1
663
R
35.8%Stevenson218
64.2%Eisenhower391
0.0%
R+28.4
D+4.2
R+13.0
609
R
33.7%Stevenson231
66.3%Eisenhower455
0.0%
R+32.7
R+43.3
R+21.9
686
D
55.3%Truman327
44.7%Dewey264
0.0%
D+10.7
D+22.3
D+6.2
591
R
44.2%Roosevelt310
55.8%Dewey392
0.0%
R+11.7
R+4.3
R+19.2
702
R
46.3%Roosevelt427
53.7%Willkie495
0.0%
R+7.4
R+21.1
R+17.3
922
D
52.6%Roosevelt484
38.9%Landon358
8.5%
D+13.7
R+34.8
R+10.6
920
D
72.6%Roosevelt658
24.2%Hoover219
3.2%
D+48.5
D+77.4
D+30.7
906
R
35.2%Smith293
64.2%Hoover534
0.6%
R+29.0
R+21.1
R+11.5
832
O
19.1%Davis145
27.0%Coolidge205
53.2%La Follette404
La Follette +26.9
D+22.7
D+17.3
759
R
27.0%Cox165
57.5%Harding352
15.5%
R+30.6
R+52.2
R+4.4
612
D
54.7%Wilson270
33.0%Hughes163
12.3%
D+21.7
R+4.0
D+18.5
494
O
40.2%Wilson194
14.5%Taft70
45.3%
Roosevelt +5.2
D+22.6
D+6.1
483
D
48.7%Bryan252
45.6%Taft236
5.6%
D+3.1
D+40.2
D+12.6
517
R
15.9%Parker56
53.0%Roosevelt187
31.2%
R+37.1
R+50.2
R+17.4
353
D
55.9%Bryan180
42.9%McKinley138
1.2%
D+13.0
R+11.0
D+20.6
322
D
60.5%Bryan161
36.5%McKinley97
3.0%
D+24.1
D+54.5
D+30.1
266
O
9.5%Cleveland29
39.9%Harrison122
50.7%
Weaver +10.8
—
R+32.1
306
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Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Domestic migration in Wheeler County, NE in Wheeler County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−9
2012
−22
2013
−19
2014
+6
2015
−13
2016
+20
2017
+8
2018
−17
2019
−20
2021
+12
2022
−3
2023
−12
2024
+5
2025
−10
Wheeler County's 886 residents delivered a 75-point Republican margin in 2024, a figure more common to uncontested races than genuine campaigns. Sparsely settled Sandhills ranching country, it has trended heavily Republican for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 75.5 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 75.5 points.
A population of 847, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Deuel County and Banner County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Wheeler County, Nebraska voted Republican by 75.5 points (R+75.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 486 votes cast, 57 went Democratic and 424 went Republican.
When did Wheeler County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wheeler County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Wheeler County, Nebraska?
Wheeler County, Nebraska has a population of 847 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wheeler County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Wheeler County, Nebraska is $70,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Wheeler County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wheeler County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.