Akashic

county

Clay County, NE

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German38.2%31.0%12.5%

Irish9.5%11.7%9.4%

English8.2%9.4%9.5%

American5.2%3.5%5.3%

Czech4.7%3.4%—

Swedish3.7%3.1%—

Danish1.9%——

Polish1.8%2.7%2.2%

Mexican8.7%8.7%11.3%

Spanish0.6%0.2%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Clay County	Nebraska	United States
Median age	39.1	37.3	39.1
Age 18–24	6.9%	9.8%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.2%	16.8%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Clay County	Nebraska	United States
Median household income	$78,986	$76,475	$84,427
Poverty rate	6.9%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.3%	34.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Clay County	Nebraska	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	6.4%	12.8%	22.3%
Spanish	5.3%	8.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Clay County	Nebraska	United States
Catholic	11.8%	19.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.4%	14.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	49.4%	50.8%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	27.4%	12.1%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 74.5% of 4,535 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic17.4%577TrumpRepublican80.7%2,677OliverNonpartisan0.8%28

R+63.3

Lead: 2,100
Total: 3,319
vs nation: R+61.8
Turnout: 74.5%

BidenDemocratic17.7%632TrumpRepublican79.8%2,848JorgensenLibertarian2.2%78

R+62.1

Lead: 2,216
Total: 3,570
vs nation: R+66.5
Turnout: 78.6%

ClintonDemocratic15.6%477TrumpRepublican79.0%2,422JohnsonLibertarian3.8%116

R+63.5

Lead: 1,945
Total: 3,065
vs nation: R+65.5
Turnout: 68.1%

ObamaDemocratic22.6%667RomneyRepublican75.7%2,232GrayLibertarian1.1%31

R+53.1

Lead: 1,565
Total: 2,947
vs nation: R+57.0
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic25.7%780McCainRepublican71.8%2,177OtherAll other candidates2.5%76

R+46.1

Lead: 1,397
Total: 3,033
vs nation: R+53.3
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic22.3%743BushRepublican76.2%2,543OtherAll other candidates1.5%51

R+53.9

Lead: 1,800
Total: 3,337
vs nation: R+51.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic24.1%774BushRepublican72.3%2,326NaderGreen2.7%86

R+48.3

Lead: 1,552
Total: 3,215
vs nation: R+48.8
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic26.6%880DoleRepublican59.9%1,982PerotReform12.8%425

R+33.3

Lead: 1,102
Total: 3,311
vs nation: R+41.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+63.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 6,0952024 5-year
Median household income: $78,9862024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.1%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 9.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+31.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+63.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Perkins County, NE · twin score 95.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 74.5%3,379 participants ÷ 4,535 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +14.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -7.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 60.5%–64.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	3,128	4,596	68.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	2,801	4,586	61.1%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	3,608	4,590	78.6%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	2,875	4,453	64.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	3,379	4,535	74.5%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

11 precincts · 3,310 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Clay County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -SUTTON 1STSUTTON 1ST	62	356	4	422	14.7%	84.4%	R+69.7
Precinct -CLAY CENTER CITYCLAY CENTER CITY	81	336	4	421	19.2%	79.8%	R+60.6
Precinct -HARVARD CONSHARVARD CONS	104	292	15	411	25.3%	71.0%	R+45.7
Precinct -SUTTON 2NDSUTTON 2ND	66	285	4	355	18.6%	80.3%	R+61.7
Precinct -EDGAR CONSEDGAR CONS	59	273	11	343	17.2%	79.6%	R+62.4
Precinct -SUTTON TWPSSUTTON TWPS	28	255	4	287	9.8%	88.9%	R+79.1
Precinct -LEICESTER-INLANDLEICESTER-INLAND	51	185	3	239	21.3%	77.4%	R+56.1
Precinct -LLLMLLLM	41	184	4	229	17.9%	80.3%	R+62.4
Precinct -FAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONSFAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONS	21	186	3	210	10.0%	88.6%	R+78.6
Precinct -FAIRFIELD 1STFAIRFIELD 1ST	33	165	2	200	16.5%	82.5%	R+66.0
Precinct -GLENVILGLENVIL	31	160	2	193	16.1%	82.9%	R+66.8

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−41.3%
1896	+0.3%
1900	−2.8%
1904	−39.8%
1908	+1.2%
1912	+31.1%
1916	+6.2%
1920	−38.5%
1924	−19.0%
1928	−39.5%
1932	+24.4%
1936	+1.3%
1940	−34.0%
1944	−37.6%
1948	−22.5%
1952	−52.3%
1956	−42.8%
1960	−38.6%
1964	+3.1%
1968	−39.2%
1972	−49.4%
1976	−23.9%
1980	−49.7%
1984	−56.2%
1988	−36.2%
1992	−28.5%
1996	−33.3%
2000	−48.3%
2004	−53.9%
2008	−46.1%
2012	−53.1%
2016	−63.5%
2020	−62.1%
2024	−63.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	17.4%Harris577	80.7%Trump2,677	0.8%Oliver28 +3	R+63.3	R+1.2	R+61.8	3,319
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican80.7%2,677 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.4%577 Chase OliverNonpartisan0.8%28 Cornel WestNonpartisan0.4%14 Jill SteinNonpartisan0.4%14 OtherAll other candidates0.3%9
2020	R	17.7%Biden632	79.8%Trump2,848	2.2%Jorgensen78	R+62.1	D+1.4	R+66.5	3,570
2016	R	15.6%Clinton477	79.0%Trump2,422	3.8%Johnson116	R+63.5	R+10.4	R+65.5	3,065
2012	R	22.6%Obama667	75.7%Romney2,232	1.1%Gray31	R+53.1	R+7.0	R+57.0	2,947
2008	R	25.7%Obama780	71.8%McCain2,177	2.5%	R+46.1	D+7.9	R+53.3	3,033
2004	R	22.3%Kerry743	76.2%Bush2,543	1.5%	R+53.9	R+5.7	R+51.5	3,337
2000	R	24.1%Gore774	72.3%Bush2,326	2.7%Nader86	R+48.3	R+15.0	R+48.8	3,215
1996	R	26.6%Clinton880	59.9%Dole1,982	12.8%Perot425	R+33.3	R+4.8	R+41.8	3,311
1992	R	22.4%Clinton802	50.8%Bush1,824	26.6%Perot953	R+28.5	D+7.7	R+34.0	3,588
1988	R	31.6%Dukakis1,097	67.8%Bush2,352	0.6%	R+36.2	D+20.0	R+28.4	3,470
1984	R	21.6%Mondale811	77.7%Reagan2,920	0.7%	R+56.2	R+6.5	R+37.9	3,756
1980	R	22.0%Carter840	71.6%Reagan2,739	6.4%	R+49.7	R+25.8	R+39.9	3,824
1976	R	37.0%Carter1,369	60.9%Ford2,254	2.2%	R+23.9	D+25.5	R+26.0	3,703
1972	R	25.3%McGovern861	74.7%Nixon2,542	0.0%	R+49.4	R+10.2	R+26.2	3,403
1968	R	27.4%Humphrey935	66.6%Nixon2,273	6.0%	R+39.2	R+42.3	R+38.5	3,414
1964	D	51.6%Johnson2,001	48.4%Goldwater1,879	0.0%	D+3.1	D+41.8	R+19.4	3,880
1960	R	30.7%Kennedy1,331	69.3%Nixon3,005	0.0%	R+38.6	D+4.2	R+38.8	4,336
1956	R	28.6%Stevenson1,240	71.4%Eisenhower3,099	0.0%	R+42.8	D+9.4	R+27.4	4,339
1952	R	23.9%Stevenson1,115	76.1%Eisenhower3,559	0.0%	R+52.3	R+29.8	R+41.5	4,674
1948	R	38.8%Truman1,589	61.2%Dewey2,511	0.0%	R+22.5	D+15.1	R+27.0	4,100
1944	R	31.2%Roosevelt1,530	68.8%Dewey3,375	0.0%	R+37.6	R+3.7	R+45.1	4,905
1940	R	33.0%Roosevelt1,763	67.0%Willkie3,576	0.0%	R+34.0	R+35.2	R+43.9	5,339
1936	D	49.5%Roosevelt2,932	48.3%Landon2,856	2.2%	D+1.3	R+23.2	R+23.0	5,918
1932	D	60.8%Roosevelt3,878	36.4%Hoover2,320	2.8%	D+24.4	D+63.9	D+6.6	6,376
1928	R	29.8%Smith1,767	69.3%Hoover4,105	0.9%	R+39.5	R+20.4	R+22.0	5,926
1924	R	31.3%Davis1,716	50.3%Coolidge2,758	18.0%La Follette986	R+19.0	D+19.4	D+6.2	5,481
1920	R	29.3%Cox1,466	67.7%Harding3,392	3.0%	R+38.5	R+44.7	R+12.3	5,008
1916	D	51.7%Wilson1,975	45.5%Hughes1,737	2.9%	D+6.2	R+24.9	D+3.1	3,821
1912	D	46.3%Wilson1,694	15.2%Taft557	38.5%	D+31.1	D+29.9	D+11.5	3,658
1908	D	49.0%Bryan1,939	47.8%Taft1,891	3.2%	D+1.2	D+41.0	D+10.8	3,956
1904	R	19.7%Parker701	59.5%Roosevelt2,118	20.8%	R+39.8	R+37.0	R+20.1	3,561
1900	R	47.7%Bryan1,826	50.5%McKinley1,932	1.9%	R+2.8	R+3.1	D+4.8	3,829
1896	D	49.0%Bryan1,703	48.7%McKinley1,691	2.3%	D+0.3	D+41.6	D+6.4	3,473
1892	R	6.9%Cleveland232	48.1%Harrison1,624	45.0%	R+41.3	—	R+42.9	3,374
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	14.8%480	85.2%2,758	3,238
2020	R	14.3%480	85.7%2,879	3,359
2018	R	18.3%492	81.7%2,195	2,687

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Class I	R	0.0%0	73.2%Deb Fischer2,397	3,275
2020Class II	R	12.6%Chis Janicek432	77.7%Ben Sasse2,660	3,422
2018Class I	R	22.1%Jane Raybould592	73.9%Deb Fischer1,979	2,679
2014Class II	R	17.5%Dave Domina380	77.9%Ben Sasse1,687	2,166
2012Class I	R	25.5%Bob Kerrey750	74.5%Deb Fischer2,194	2,944
2008Class II	R	39.9%Scott Kleeb1,210	58.3%Mike Johanns1,770	3,036
2006Class I	D	63.0%Ben Nelson1,572	37.0%Pete Ricketts922	2,494
2002Class II	R	10.1%Charlie A. Matulka231	87.4%Chuck Hagel1,990	2,278
2000Class I	R	43.0%Ben Nelson1,377	56.8%Don Stenberg1,819	3,200
1996Class II	R	38.3%Ben Nelson1,264	59.2%Chuck Hagel1,955	3,302
1994Class I	D	54.0%Bob Kerrey1,608	45.9%Jan Stoney1,366	2,979
1990Class II	D	58.0%J.James Exon1,945	41.4%Hal Daub1,388	3,352
1988Class I	D	53.5%Bob Kerrey1,898	46.0%Dave Karnes1,633	3,548
1984Class II	R	49.2%J.James Exon1,876	50.7%Nancy Hoch1,933	3,810
1982Class I	D	63.5%Edward Zorinsky2,111	32.4%Jim Keck1,078	3,323
1978Class II	D	64.6%J.James Exon2,288	35.4%Donald Shasteen1,253	3,541
1976Class I	R	43.1%Edward Zorinsky1,598	56.9%John McCollister2,110	3,708
1972Class II	R	42.1%Terry Carpenter1,418	57.9%Carl T. Curtis1,954	3,372
1970Class I	R	46.2%Frank B. Morrison1,321	53.8%Roman Hruska1,541	2,862
1966Class II	R	36.6%Frank B. Morrison1,099	63.4%Carl T. Curtis1,905	3,004
1964Class I	R	36.4%Raymond W. Arndt1,391	63.6%Roman Hruska2,434	3,825
1960Class II	R	38.4%Robert B. Conrad1,646	61.6%Carl T. Curtis2,638	4,284
1958Class I	R	40.8%Frank B. Morrison1,124	59.2%Roman Hruska1,632	2,756
1954Class II	R	32.2%Keith Neville1,008	67.8%Carl T. Curtis2,127	3,135
1952Class I	R	21.9%Stanley D. Long1,011	65.5%Hugh Butler3,027	4,622
1948Class II	R	36.7%Terry Carpenter1,480	63.3%Kenneth Wherry2,552	4,032
1946Class I	R	23.6%John E. Mekota826	76.4%Hugh Butler2,669	3,495
1942Class II	R	19.9%Foster May721	55.1%Kenneth Wherry1,995	3,623
1940Class I	R	25.7%R.L. Cochran1,340	72.2%Hugh Butler3,767	5,216
1936Class II	R	11.4%Terry Carpenter666	43.9%Robert G. Simmons2,565	5,847
1934Class I	R	46.6%Edward R. Burke2,779	51.9%Robert G. Simmons3,091	5,958
1930Class II	R	30.2%Gilbert Hitchcock1,704	64.7%George Norris3,645	5,638
1928Class I	R	33.9%Richard Metcalfe1,994	66.1%Robert B. Howell3,893	5,887
1924Class II	R	34.5%J.J. Thomas1,849	65.5%George Norris3,510	5,359
1922Class I	R	34.8%Gilbert Hitchcock1,835	62.9%Robert B. Howell3,321	5,277
1918Class II	R	37.3%John H. Morehead1,225	62.7%George Norris2,056	3,281
1916Class I	R	46.4%Gilbert Hitchcock1,772	50.5%John L. Kennedy1,930	3,822

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024Special · Class II	R	15.5%Preston Love Jr.506	84.5%Pete Ricketts2,767	3,273
1954Special · Class I	R	33.3%James F. Green1,018	66.7%Roman Hruska2,038	3,056

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	14.9%Carol Blood405	80.1%Jim Pillen2,175	2,714
2018	R	21.0%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz564	79.0%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley2,122	2,686
2014	R	32.5%Chuck Hassebrook698	62.8%Pete Ricketts1,348	2,148
2010	R	15.0%Mike Meister329	85.0%Dave Heineman1,861	2,190
2006	R	13.0%David Hahn343	85.4%Dave Heineman2,250	2,636
2002	R	25.8%Stormy Dean583	68.2%Mike Johanns1,539	2,258
1998	R	43.8%Bill Hoppner1,195	56.2%Mike Johanns1,536	2,731
1994	D	72.1%Ben Nelson2,183	27.6%Gene Spence835	3,027
1990	R	47.8%Ben Nelson1,554	51.5%Kay A. Orr1,673	3,249
1986	R	46.0%Helen Boosalis1,569	53.5%Kay Orr1,825	3,409
1982	R	48.4%Bob Kerrey1,630	51.6%Charles Thone1,736	3,366
1978	R	44.4%Gerald T. Whelan1,569	55.6%Charles Thone1,964	3,533

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+59.9

Presidential vote · 2024R+63.3

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.3 points more Democratic.

4,127 registered voters · 2026

Democratic12.6%Republican72.5%Unaffiliated13.5%Other1.4%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+33 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −407 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,721 in average income, against $89,616 for residents who stayed — 50% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+41.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, NE itself (R+63.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Adams County, NE51R+41.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Adams County, NE54

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Clay County, NE in Clay County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−77
2012	−71
2013	−32
2014	−53
2015	−36
2016	−169
2017	+38
2018	−6
2019	−8
2021	−32
2022	−9
2023	+70
2024	−55
2025	+33

Clay County's population has contracted steadily for decades as agricultural consolidation hollowed out small towns, leaving an older, rural electorate that has voted Republican by widening margins in each of the last four presidential cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.3 points.

A population of 6,095, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,986 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perkins County and Stanton County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2000–2016 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Frequently asked questions

How did Clay County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clay County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.3 points (R+63.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,319 votes cast, 577 went Democratic and 2,677 went Republican.

When did Clay County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Clay County, Nebraska?

Clay County, Nebraska has a population of 6,095 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clay County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Clay County, Nebraska is $78,986 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Clay County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.

Measure

Clay County

Nebraska

United States

Median age

39.1

37.3

39.1

Age 18–24

6.9%

9.8%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

20.2%

16.8%

17.2%

Measure

Clay County

Nebraska

United States

Median household income

$78,986

$76,475

$84,427

Poverty rate

6.9%

10.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

22.3%

34.7%

35.6%

Measure

Clay County

Nebraska

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

6.4%

12.8%

22.3%

Spanish

5.3%

8.5%

13.6%

Measure

Clay County

Nebraska

United States

Catholic

11.8%

19.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

11.4%

14.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

49.4%

50.8%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

27.4%

12.1%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+63.3MIT Election Lab

Population

6,0952024 5-year

Median household income

$78,9862024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.1%2024 5-year

Black

0.7%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

9.7%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+31.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+63.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Perkins County, NE · twin score 95.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

3,128

4,596

68.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

2,801

4,586

61.1%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

3,608

4,590

78.6%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

2,875

4,453

64.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

3,379

4,535

74.5%

A/A

Clay County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -SUTTON 1STSUTTON 1ST

356

422

14.7%

84.4%

R+69.7

Precinct -CLAY CENTER CITYCLAY CENTER CITY

336

421

19.2%

79.8%

R+60.6

Precinct -HARVARD CONSHARVARD CONS

104

292

411

25.3%

71.0%

R+45.7

Precinct -SUTTON 2NDSUTTON 2ND

285

355

18.6%

80.3%

R+61.7

Precinct -EDGAR CONSEDGAR CONS

273

343

17.2%

79.6%

R+62.4

Precinct -SUTTON TWPSSUTTON TWPS

255

287

9.8%

88.9%

R+79.1

Precinct -LEICESTER-INLANDLEICESTER-INLAND

185

239

21.3%

77.4%

R+56.1

Precinct -LLLMLLLM

184

229

17.9%

80.3%

R+62.4

Precinct -FAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONSFAIRFIELD 2ND-SPRINGRANCH CONS

186

210

10.0%

88.6%

R+78.6

Precinct -FAIRFIELD 1STFAIRFIELD 1ST

165

200

16.5%

82.5%

R+66.0

Precinct -GLENVILGLENVIL

160

193

16.1%

82.9%

R+66.8

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−41.3%
1896	+0.3%
1900	−2.8%
1904	−39.8%
1908	+1.2%
1912	+31.1%
1916	+6.2%
1920	−38.5%
1924	−19.0%
1928	−39.5%
1932	+24.4%
1936	+1.3%
1940	−34.0%
1944	−37.6%
1948	−22.5%
1952	−52.3%
1956	−42.8%
1960	−38.6%
1964	+3.1%
1968	−39.2%
1972	−49.4%
1976	−23.9%
1980	−49.7%
1984	−56.2%
1988	−36.2%
1992	−28.5%
1996	−33.3%
2000	−48.3%
2004	−53.9%
2008	−46.1%
2012	−53.1%
2016	−63.5%
2020	−62.1%
2024	−63.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

17.4%Harris577

80.7%Trump2,677

0.8%Oliver28 +3

R+63.3

R+1.2

R+61.8

3,319

All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican80.7%2,677
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.4%577
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.8%28
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.4%14
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.4%14
OtherAll other candidates0.3%9

2020

17.7%Biden632

79.8%Trump2,848

2.2%Jorgensen78

R+62.1

D+1.4

R+66.5

3,570

2016

15.6%Clinton477

79.0%Trump2,422

3.8%Johnson116

R+63.5

R+10.4

R+65.5

3,065

2012

22.6%Obama667

75.7%Romney2,232

1.1%Gray31

R+53.1

R+7.0

R+57.0

2,947

2008

25.7%Obama780

71.8%McCain2,177

2.5%

R+46.1

D+7.9

R+53.3

3,033

2004

22.3%Kerry743

76.2%Bush2,543

1.5%

R+53.9

R+5.7

R+51.5

3,337

2000

24.1%Gore774

72.3%Bush2,326

2.7%Nader86

R+48.3

R+15.0

R+48.8

3,215

1996

26.6%Clinton880

59.9%Dole1,982

12.8%Perot425

R+33.3

R+4.8

R+41.8

3,311

1992

22.4%Clinton802

50.8%Bush1,824

26.6%Perot953

R+28.5

D+7.7

R+34.0

3,588

1988

31.6%Dukakis1,097

67.8%Bush2,352

0.6%

R+36.2

D+20.0

R+28.4

3,470

1984

21.6%Mondale811

77.7%Reagan2,920

0.7%

R+56.2

R+6.5

R+37.9

3,756

1980

22.0%Carter840

71.6%Reagan2,739

6.4%

R+49.7

R+25.8

R+39.9

3,824

1976

37.0%Carter1,369

60.9%Ford2,254

2.2%

R+23.9

D+25.5

R+26.0

3,703

1972

25.3%McGovern861

74.7%Nixon2,542

0.0%

R+49.4

R+10.2

R+26.2

3,403

1968

27.4%Humphrey935

66.6%Nixon2,273

6.0%

R+39.2

R+42.3

R+38.5

3,414

1964

51.6%Johnson2,001

48.4%Goldwater1,879

0.0%

D+3.1

D+41.8

R+19.4

3,880

1960

30.7%Kennedy1,331

69.3%Nixon3,005

0.0%

R+38.6

D+4.2

R+38.8

4,336

1956

28.6%Stevenson1,240

71.4%Eisenhower3,099

0.0%

R+42.8

D+9.4

R+27.4

4,339

1952

23.9%Stevenson1,115

76.1%Eisenhower3,559

0.0%

R+52.3

R+29.8

R+41.5

4,674

1948

38.8%Truman1,589

61.2%Dewey2,511

0.0%

R+22.5

D+15.1

R+27.0

4,100

1944

31.2%Roosevelt1,530

68.8%Dewey3,375

0.0%

R+37.6

R+3.7

R+45.1

4,905

1940

33.0%Roosevelt1,763

67.0%Willkie3,576

0.0%

R+34.0

R+35.2

R+43.9

5,339

1936

49.5%Roosevelt2,932

48.3%Landon2,856

2.2%

D+1.3

R+23.2

R+23.0

5,918

1932

60.8%Roosevelt3,878

36.4%Hoover2,320

2.8%

D+24.4

D+63.9

D+6.6

6,376

1928

29.8%Smith1,767

69.3%Hoover4,105

0.9%

R+39.5

R+20.4

R+22.0

5,926

1924

31.3%Davis1,716

50.3%Coolidge2,758

18.0%La Follette986

R+19.0

D+19.4

D+6.2

5,481

1920

29.3%Cox1,466

67.7%Harding3,392

3.0%

R+38.5

R+44.7

R+12.3

5,008

1916

51.7%Wilson1,975

45.5%Hughes1,737

2.9%

D+6.2

R+24.9

D+3.1

3,821

1912

46.3%Wilson1,694

15.2%Taft557

38.5%

D+31.1

D+29.9

D+11.5

3,658

1908

49.0%Bryan1,939

47.8%Taft1,891

3.2%

D+1.2

D+41.0

D+10.8

3,956

1904

19.7%Parker701

59.5%Roosevelt2,118

20.8%

R+39.8

R+37.0

R+20.1

3,561

1900

47.7%Bryan1,826

50.5%McKinley1,932

1.9%

R+2.8

R+3.1

D+4.8

3,829

1896

49.0%Bryan1,703

48.7%McKinley1,691

2.3%

D+0.3

D+41.6

D+6.4

3,473

1892

6.9%Cleveland232

48.1%Harrison1,624

45.0%

R+41.3

—

R+42.9

3,374

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

14.8%480

85.2%2,758

3,238

2020

14.3%480

85.7%2,879

3,359

2018

18.3%492

81.7%2,195

2,687

Sources · Akashic canonical election database — certified Nebraska 2024 U.S. Senate county returns; Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · Source-provenance retained in canonical database / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Class I

0.0%0

73.2%Deb Fischer2,397

3,275

2020Class II

12.6%Chis Janicek432

77.7%Ben Sasse2,660

3,422

2018Class I

22.1%Jane Raybould592

73.9%Deb Fischer1,979

2,679

2014Class II

17.5%Dave Domina380

77.9%Ben Sasse1,687

2,166

2012Class I

25.5%Bob Kerrey750

74.5%Deb Fischer2,194

2,944

2008Class II

39.9%Scott Kleeb1,210

58.3%Mike Johanns1,770

3,036

2006Class I

63.0%Ben Nelson1,572

37.0%Pete Ricketts922

2,494

2002Class II

10.1%Charlie A. Matulka231

87.4%Chuck Hagel1,990

2,278

2000Class I

43.0%Ben Nelson1,377

56.8%Don Stenberg1,819

3,200

1996Class II

38.3%Ben Nelson1,264

59.2%Chuck Hagel1,955

3,302

1994Class I

54.0%Bob Kerrey1,608

45.9%Jan Stoney1,366

2,979

1990Class II

58.0%J.James Exon1,945

41.4%Hal Daub1,388

3,352

1988Class I

53.5%Bob Kerrey1,898

46.0%Dave Karnes1,633

3,548

1984Class II

49.2%J.James Exon1,876

50.7%Nancy Hoch1,933

3,810

1982Class I

63.5%Edward Zorinsky2,111

32.4%Jim Keck1,078

3,323

1978Class II

64.6%J.James Exon2,288

35.4%Donald Shasteen1,253

3,541

1976Class I

43.1%Edward Zorinsky1,598

56.9%John McCollister2,110

3,708

1972Class II

42.1%Terry Carpenter1,418

57.9%Carl T. Curtis1,954

3,372

1970Class I

46.2%Frank B. Morrison1,321

53.8%Roman Hruska1,541

2,862

1966Class II

36.6%Frank B. Morrison1,099

63.4%Carl T. Curtis1,905

3,004

1964Class I

36.4%Raymond W. Arndt1,391

63.6%Roman Hruska2,434

3,825

1960Class II

38.4%Robert B. Conrad1,646

61.6%Carl T. Curtis2,638

4,284

1958Class I

40.8%Frank B. Morrison1,124

59.2%Roman Hruska1,632

2,756

1954Class II

32.2%Keith Neville1,008

67.8%Carl T. Curtis2,127

3,135

1952Class I

21.9%Stanley D. Long1,011

65.5%Hugh Butler3,027

4,622

1948Class II

36.7%Terry Carpenter1,480

63.3%Kenneth Wherry2,552

4,032

1946Class I

23.6%John E. Mekota826

76.4%Hugh Butler2,669

3,495

1942Class II

19.9%Foster May721

55.1%Kenneth Wherry1,995

3,623

1940Class I

25.7%R.L. Cochran1,340

72.2%Hugh Butler3,767

5,216

1936Class II

11.4%Terry Carpenter666

43.9%Robert G. Simmons2,565

5,847

1934Class I

46.6%Edward R. Burke2,779

51.9%Robert G. Simmons3,091

5,958

1930Class II

30.2%Gilbert Hitchcock1,704

64.7%George Norris3,645

5,638

1928Class I

33.9%Richard Metcalfe1,994

66.1%Robert B. Howell3,893

5,887

1924Class II

34.5%J.J. Thomas1,849

65.5%George Norris3,510

5,359

1922Class I

34.8%Gilbert Hitchcock1,835

62.9%Robert B. Howell3,321

5,277

1918Class II

37.3%John H. Morehead1,225

62.7%George Norris2,056

3,281

1916Class I

46.4%Gilbert Hitchcock1,772

50.5%John L. Kennedy1,930

3,822

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024Special · Class II

15.5%Preston Love Jr.506

84.5%Pete Ricketts2,767

3,273

1954Special · Class I

33.3%James F. Green1,018

66.7%Roman Hruska2,038

3,056

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

14.9%Carol Blood405

80.1%Jim Pillen2,175

2,714

2018

21.0%Bob Krist And Lynne M Walz564

79.0%Pete Ricketts And Mike Foley2,122

2,686

2014

32.5%Chuck Hassebrook698

62.8%Pete Ricketts1,348

2,148

2010

15.0%Mike Meister329

85.0%Dave Heineman1,861

2,190

2006

13.0%David Hahn343

85.4%Dave Heineman2,250

2,636

2002

25.8%Stormy Dean583

68.2%Mike Johanns1,539

2,258

1998

43.8%Bill Hoppner1,195

56.2%Mike Johanns1,536

2,731

1994

72.1%Ben Nelson2,183

27.6%Gene Spence835

3,027

1990

47.8%Ben Nelson1,554

51.5%Kay A. Orr1,673

3,249

1986

46.0%Helen Boosalis1,569

53.5%Kay Orr1,825

3,409

1982

48.4%Bob Kerrey1,630

51.6%Charles Thone1,736

3,366

1978

44.4%Gerald T. Whelan1,569

55.6%Charles Thone1,964

3,533

Frequently asked questions

How did Clay County, Nebraska vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clay County, Nebraska voted Republican by 63.3 points (R+63.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,319 votes cast, 577 went Democratic and 2,677 went Republican.

When did Clay County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Clay County, Nebraska?

Clay County, Nebraska has a population of 6,095 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clay County, Nebraska?

Median household income in Clay County, Nebraska is $78,986 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.

What is the political history of Clay County, Nebraska?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.