HarrisDemocratic20.5%898TrumpRepublican77.8%3,402KennedyIndependent1.1%46
R+57.3- Lead
- 2,504
- Total
- 4,370
- vs nation
- R+55.8
- Turnout
- 66.5%
Akashiccounty
Warren County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 66.5% of 6,624 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.8%974TrumpRepublican76.1%3,401JorgensenLibertarian2.1%96
R+54.3- Lead
- 2,427
- Total
- 4,472
- vs nation
- R+58.7
- Turnout
- 70.2%
ClintonDemocratic21.2%839TrumpRepublican73.3%2,898JohnsonLibertarian4.7%184
R+52.1- Lead
- 2,059
- Total
- 3,953
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- 63.2%
ObamaDemocratic34.8%1,324RomneyRepublican62.6%2,377JohnsonLibertarian2.6%97
R+27.7- Lead
- 1,053
- Total
- 3,800
- vs nation
- R+31.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.9%1,755McCainRepublican54.2%2,166OtherAll other candidates1.9%77
R+10.3- Lead
- 411
- Total
- 3,998
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.2%1,356BushRepublican64.8%2,565OtherAll other candidates1.0%39
R+30.5- Lead
- 1,209
- Total
- 3,960
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.0%1,471BushRepublican58.9%2,218OtherAll other candidates2.1%79
R+19.8- Lead
- 747
- Total
- 3,768
- vs nation
- R+20.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.2%1,394DoleRepublican46.0%1,678PerotReform15.4%560
R+7.8- Lead
- 284
- Total
- 3,647
- vs nation
- R+16.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,4642024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 365 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,4252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Parke County, IN · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.5%4,407 participants ÷ 6,624 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +27.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.3%–54.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,097 | 6,482 | 63.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,233 | 6,408 | 66.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,527 | 6,446 | 70.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,837 | 6,591 | 43.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,407 | 6,624 | 66.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Warren County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.1%
2,261 votes · D+2.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 49.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77.8%
3,402 votes · R+57.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 76.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
2,261votes
51.1% of the vote · D+2.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 2,256 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,402votes
77.8% of the vote · R+57.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,401 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
−10.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+18.5 · U.S. R+7.7
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · −11.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+58.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +55.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 22.0%966 | 78.0%3,426 | 4,392 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,311 |
| 2018 | 6,066 |
| 2020 | 6,221 |
| 2022 | 6,198 |
| 2024 | 6,213 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+24 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −200 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,038 in average income, against $78,395 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.2 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Warren County, IN itself (R+57.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fountain County, IN57R+59.9
- Tippecanoe County, IN43R+0.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fountain County, IN68
- Tippecanoe County, IN41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −80 |
| 2012 | −125 |
| 2013 | −29 |
| 2014 | −44 |
| 2015 | −64 |
| 2016 | −99 |
| 2017 | +38 |
| 2018 | +69 |
| 2019 | −19 |
| 2021 | +73 |
| 2022 | +35 |
| 2023 | +36 |
| 2024 | −15 |
| 2025 | +24 |
Warren County's small, farm-dependent population in the Wabash River corridor has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, making it among the most lopsided counties in a state already tilted heavily toward the GOP.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.3 points.
A population of 8,464, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,425 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Parke County and Fountain County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Parke County
Indiana
92.2twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Fountain County
Indiana
90.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Greene County
Indiana
89.9twin score
elasticity2016–2020 trajectory% White≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18171/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Warren County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren County, Indiana voted Republican by 57.3 points (R+57.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,370 votes cast, 898 went Democratic and 3,402 went Republican.
When did Warren County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Warren County, Indiana?
Warren County, Indiana has a population of 8,464 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren County, Indiana?
Median household income in Warren County, Indiana is $82,425 — above the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Warren County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.