HarrisDemocratic34.1%11,292TrumpRepublican64.3%21,280KennedyIndependent1.0%339
R+30.2- Lead
- 9,988
- Total
- 33,102
- vs nation
- R+28.7
- Turnout
- 68.1%
Akashiccounty
Warrick County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.1% of 49,363 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.2%11,923TrumpRepublican63.0%21,326JorgensenLibertarian1.6%557
R+27.8- Lead
- 9,403
- Total
- 33,829
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- 72.9%
ClintonDemocratic30.3%9,086TrumpRepublican63.9%19,133JohnsonLibertarian4.6%1,390
R+33.5- Lead
- 10,047
- Total
- 29,960
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- 67.2%
ObamaDemocratic35.8%10,181RomneyRepublican62.2%17,680JohnsonLibertarian1.7%486
R+26.4- Lead
- 7,499
- Total
- 28,427
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.0%12,329McCainRepublican55.9%16,013OtherAll other candidates1.1%323
R+12.9- Lead
- 3,684
- Total
- 28,665
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.5%8,980BushRepublican65.1%16,930OtherAll other candidates0.4%115
R+30.5- Lead
- 7,950
- Total
- 26,025
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.2%8,749BushRepublican59.2%13,205OtherAll other candidates1.6%355
R+20.0- Lead
- 4,456
- Total
- 22,309
- vs nation
- R+20.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.0%9,285DoleRepublican43.7%9,221PerotReform11.7%2,471
D+0.3- Lead
- 64
- Total
- 21,109
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 65,2612024 5-year
- Population density
- 170 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 385 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,8442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.5 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Piatt County, IL · twin score 87.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.1%33,609 participants ÷ 49,363 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +30.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +5.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.6%–51.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 30,616 | 45,590 | 67.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 29,202 | 45,966 | 63.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 33,814 | 46,404 | 72.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,378 | 48,031 | 42.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 33,609 | 49,363 | 68.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Warrick County, IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.0%
7,222 votes · D+24.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 59.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
65.8%
8,520 votes · R+32.6
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 65.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
12,329votes
43.0% of the vote · R+12.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,923 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
21,326votes
63.0% of the vote · R+27.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 21,280 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+17.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +17.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+35.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.5 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +32.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.2%10,083 | 67.8%21,271 | 31,354 |
| 2020 | R | 31.7%10,251 | 68.3%22,115 | 32,366 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 49,769 |
| 2018 | 44,753 |
| 2020 | 47,358 |
| 2022 | 47,946 |
| 2024 | 48,992 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+459 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +4,613 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,530 in average income, against $110,209 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.9 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Warrick County, IN itself (R+30.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vanderburgh County, IN959R+12.6
- Spencer County, IN78R+43.2
- Gibson County, IN65R+51.4
- Daviess County, KY48R+31.9
- Posey County, IN39R+43.4
- Henderson County, KY34R+29.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vanderburgh County, IN841
- Spencer County, IN76
- Gibson County, IN61
- Marion County, IN47
- Henderson County, KY39
- Posey County, IN34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +144 |
| 2012 | −93 |
| 2013 | +378 |
| 2014 | −89 |
| 2015 | +397 |
| 2016 | +333 |
| 2017 | +342 |
| 2018 | −16 |
| 2019 | +460 |
| 2021 | +700 |
| 2022 | +664 |
| 2023 | +664 |
| 2024 | +270 |
| 2025 | +459 |
Warrick County's suburban and rural mix along the Kentucky border has shifted steadily toward Republican margins, with the 2024 presidential result landing 30 points to the right — up markedly from a decade ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 65,261, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,844 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Piatt County and Hancock County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Piatt County
Illinois
87.5twin score
elasticity12-yr trendmedian income
Hancock County
Indiana
81.8twin score
elasticitymedian incomecollege share
Johnson County
Indiana
79.5twin score
elasticitymedian incomecollege share≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warrick County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Warrick County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Warrick County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warrick County, Indiana voted Republican by 30.2 points (R+30.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 33,102 votes cast, 11,292 went Democratic and 21,280 went Republican.
When did Warrick County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warrick County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Warrick County, Indiana?
Warrick County, Indiana has a population of 65,261 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warrick County, Indiana?
Median household income in Warrick County, Indiana is $89,844 — above the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Warrick County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warrick County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.