- Lead
- 15,509
- Total
- 26,600
- vs nation
- R+56.8
- Turnout
- 68.0%
Dearborn County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.0% of 39,743 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 14,082
- Total
- 25,383
- vs nation
- R+59.9
- Turnout
- 68.4%
- Lead
- 13,227
- Total
- 24,128
- vs nation
- R+56.9
- Turnout
- 75.5%
- Lead
- 8,866
- Total
- 22,356
- vs nation
- R+43.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,763
- Total
- 22,217
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,635
- Total
- 20,969
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,432
- Total
- 17,650
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,049
- Total
- 16,439
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,0942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,7352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, IN · twin score 89.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.0%27,017 participants ÷ 39,743 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +6.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.5%–41.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 28,581 | 37,839 | 75.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,705 | 38,067 | 54.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,152 | 38,242 | 68.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 14,489 | 39,273 | 36.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 27,017 | 39,743 | 68.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
91 precincts · 26,600 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LOGAN 01LOGAN 01 | 183 | 1,071 | 18 | 1,272 | 14.4% | 84.2% | R+69.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LOGAN 02LOGAN 02 | 148 | 923 | 18 | 1,089 | 13.6% | 84.8% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -MILLER 06MILLER 06 | 221 | 778 | 18 | 1,017 | 21.7% | 76.5% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -JACKSON 01JACKSON 01 | 134 | 844 | 19 | 997 | 13.4% | 84.7% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -MANCHESTER 02MANCHESTER 02 | 139 | 816 | 8 | 963 | 14.4% | 84.7% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 03HARRISON 03 | 131 | 773 | 10 | 914 | 14.3% | 84.6% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -MILLER 01MILLER 01 | 174 | 710 | 14 | 898 | 19.4% | 79.1% | R+59.7 |
| Precinct -MILLER 03MILLER 03 | 207 | 677 | 14 | 898 | 23.1% | 75.4% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -MILLER 04MILLER 04 | 127 | 718 | 12 | 857 | 14.8% | 83.8% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -MILLER 02MILLER 02 | 152 | 678 | 11 | 841 | 18.1% | 80.6% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 02HARRISON 02 | 145 | 649 | 18 | 812 | 17.9% | 79.9% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -MANCHESTER 01MANCHESTER 01 | 135 | 640 | 10 | 785 | 17.2% | 81.5% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTON 01WASHINGTON 01 | 176 | 577 | 13 | 766 | 23.0% | 75.3% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -MILLER 07MILLER 07 | 158 | 578 | 15 | 751 | 21.0% | 77.0% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 02SPARTA 02 | 118 | 590 | 14 | 722 | 16.3% | 81.7% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -KELSO 03KELSO 03 | 97 | 592 | 1 | 690 | 14.1% | 85.8% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 03LAWRENCEBURG 03 | 152 | 524 | 9 | 685 | 22.2% | 76.5% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -YORK 01YORK 01 | 119 | 523 | 6 | 648 | 18.4% | 80.7% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -MILLER 05MILLER 05 | 91 | 513 | 6 | 610 | 14.9% | 84.1% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -HOGAN 01HOGAN 01 | 115 | 467 | 11 | 593 | 19.4% | 78.8% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 09LAWRENCEBURG 09 | 110 | 466 | 5 | 581 | 18.9% | 80.2% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -GREENDALE 05GREENDALE 05 | 117 | 379 | 10 | 506 | 23.1% | 74.9% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 04LAWRENCEBURG 04 | 150 | 343 | 9 | 502 | 29.9% | 68.3% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 01LAWRENCEBURG 01 | 158 | 330 | 13 | 501 | 31.5% | 65.9% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -CLAY 01CLAY 01 | 98 | 388 | 7 | 493 | 19.9% | 78.7% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -GREENDALE 03GREENDALE 03 | 150 | 326 | 13 | 489 | 30.7% | 66.7% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -GREENDALE 02GREENDALE 02 | 168 | 304 | 9 | 481 | 34.9% | 63.2% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -GREENDALE 04GREENDALE 04 | 153 | 311 | 11 | 475 | 32.2% | 65.5% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -GREENDALE 01GREENDALE 01 | 155 | 313 | 6 | 474 | 32.7% | 66.0% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -CLAY 03CLAY 03 | 74 | 390 | 5 | 469 | 15.8% | 83.2% | R+67.4 |
| Precinct -CENTER 05CENTER 05 | 91 | 342 | 9 | 442 | 20.6% | 77.4% | R+56.8 |
| Precinct -KELSO 02KELSO 02 | 75 | 351 | 4 | 430 | 17.4% | 81.6% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 03SPARTA 03 | 53 | 344 | 6 | 403 | 13.2% | 85.4% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -CLAY 02CLAY 02 | 92 | 305 | 3 | 400 | 23.0% | 76.3% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 06CENTER 06 | 84 | 296 | 7 | 387 | 21.7% | 76.5% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -CENTER 03CENTER 03 | 92 | 270 | 8 | 370 | 24.9% | 73.0% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -CENTER 02CENTER 02 | 98 | 257 | 11 | 366 | 26.8% | 70.2% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -KELSO 01KELSO 01 | 50 | 302 | 11 | 363 | 13.8% | 83.2% | R+69.4 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 02LAWRENCEBURG 02 | 122 | 229 | 7 | 358 | 34.1% | 64.0% | R+29.9 |
| Precinct -CENTER 04CENTER 04 | 87 | 262 | 4 | 353 | 24.6% | 74.2% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -LAWRENCEBURG 08LAWRENCEBURG 08 | 72 | 184 | 4 | 260 | 27.7% | 70.8% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 01SPARTA 01 | 47 | 187 | 6 | 240 | 19.6% | 77.9% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -CENTER 01CENTER 01 | 67 | 145 | 3 | 215 | 31.2% | 67.4% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -CAESAR CREEK 01CAESAR CREEK 01 | 37 | 124 | 4 | 165 | 22.4% | 75.2% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -HARRISON 01HARRISON 01 | 13 | 55 | 1 | 69 | 18.8% | 79.7% | R+60.9 |
| CAESAR CREEK 118_1802900010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 118_1802900020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 218_1802900030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 318_1802900040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 418_1802900050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 518_1802900060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 618_1802900070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAY 118_1802900080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAY 218_1802900090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAY 318_1802900100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENDALE 118_1802900110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENDALE 218_1802900120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENDALE 318_1802900130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENDALE 418_1802900140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENDALE 518_1802900150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 118_1802900170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 218_1802900180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON 318_1802900190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HOGAN 118_1802900200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON 118_1802900210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KELSO 118_1802900220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KELSO 218_1802900230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KELSO 318_1802900240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 118_1802900250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 11 (NV)18_1802900320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 218_1802900260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 318_1802900270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 418_1802900280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 818_1802900290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAWRENCEBURG 918_1802900300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGAN 118_1802900330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LOGAN 218_1802900340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANCHESTER 118_1802900350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MANCHESTER 218_1802900360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 118_1802900370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 218_1802900380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 318_1802900390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 418_1802900400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 518_1802900410 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 618_1802900420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MILLER 718_1802900430 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 118_1802900440 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 218_1802900450 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 318_1802900460 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON 118_1802900470 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| YORK 118_1802900480 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +19.4% |
| 1896 | +9.9% |
| 1900 | +13.9% |
| 1904 | +11.2% |
| 1908 | +14.0% |
| 1912 | +30.2% |
| 1916 | +12.6% |
| 1920 | −2.7% |
| 1924 | −2.7% |
| 1928 | −17.3% |
| 1932 | +15.2% |
| 1936 | +15.1% |
| 1940 | +1.1% |
| 1944 | −3.1% |
| 1948 | +6.0% |
| 1952 | −9.9% |
| 1956 | −13.0% |
| 1960 | −10.1% |
| 1964 | +16.9% |
| 1968 | −10.7% |
| 1972 | −29.9% |
| 1976 | +1.4% |
| 1980 | −17.6% |
| 1984 | −29.9% |
| 1988 | −23.5% |
| 1992 | −11.9% |
| 1996 | −12.5% |
| 2000 | −30.8% |
| 2004 | −36.4% |
| 2008 | −34.9% |
| 2012 | −39.7% |
| 2016 | −54.8% |
| 2020 | −55.5% |
| 2024 | −58.3% |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 40,032 |
| 2018 | 38,573 |
| 2020 | 39,371 |
| 2022 | 39,894 |
| 2024 | 40,526 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−55 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +136 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,122 in average income, against $86,659 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.8 on average — 38 points more Democratic-leaning than Dearborn County, IN itself (R+58.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hamilton County, OH359D+14.9
- Ripley County, IN164R+61.4
- Boone County, KY67R+37.2
- Butler County, OH67R+26.3
- Ohio County, IN56R+55.5
- Franklin County, IN51R+64.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hamilton County, OH280
- Ripley County, IN217
- Kenton County, KY64
- Franklin County, IN57
- Boone County, KY56
- Ohio County, IN50
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −170 |
| 2012 | −324 |
| 2013 | −57 |
| 2014 | −383 |
| 2015 | +18 |
| 2016 | −40 |
| 2017 | +202 |
| 2018 | −84 |
| 2019 | −6 |
| 2021 | +150 |
| 2022 | +248 |
| 2023 | +485 |
| 2024 | +152 |
| 2025 | −55 |
Dearborn sits in Indiana's southeastern corner along the Ohio River, where rural demographics and a manufacturing heritage have produced presidential margins exceeding 58 points in 2024, among the widest in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.3 points.
A population of 51,094, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,735 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Miami County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Dearborn County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.