combined metro areaCincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+23.5
2008R+13.9
2012R+16.2
2016R+18.2
2020R+14.4
2024R+16.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 67.3% of 1,715,767 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
475,124
665,585
13,425
1,154,134
1,715,767
67.3%
2020
491,063
660,095
19,040
1,170,198
1,670,668
70.0%
2016
409,187
607,222
69,209
1,085,618
1,628,287
66.7%
2012
431,694
602,334
22,513
1,056,541
1,589,580
66.5%
2008
448,050
595,003
13,937
1,056,990
1,599,361
66.1%
2004
387,707
627,824
4,951
1,020,482
1,609,142†
63.4%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
16 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-INUnited States
German25.5%12.5%
Irish12.9%9.4%
English12.1%9.5%
American5.6%5.3%
Italian3.8%4.8%
Scottish1.8%1.3%
French1.6%1.6%
Polish1.5%2.2%
African American†10.1%9.9%
African0.6%0.5%
Mexican1.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.5%0.5%
Dominican0.2%0.7%
Asian Indian1.1%1.4%
Chinese0.5%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.9%
Nepalese0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
United States
Median age
38.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
United States
Median household income
$81,833
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
36.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
7.5%
22.3%
Spanish
2.8%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.1%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
United States
Catholic
16.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
24.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+4.0%
1896
−7.2%
1900
−3.9%
1904
−22.1%
1908
−4.8%
1912
+10.7%
1916
+2.9%
1920
−8.2%
1924
−30.6%
1928
−17.9%
1932
+8.1%
1936
+17.8%
1940
+1.2%
1944
−1.7%
1948
−0.4%
1952
−15.4%
1956
−28.1%
1960
−11.8%
1964
+12.6%
1968
−14.1%
1972
−35.8%
1976
−15.8%
1980
−22.9%
1984
−35.1%
1988
−30.0%
1992
−15.0%
1996
−13.6%
2000
−23.3%
2004
−23.5%
2008
−13.9%
2012
−16.2%
2016
−18.2%
2020
−14.4%
2024
−16.5%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.2%Harris475,124
57.7%Trump665,585
1.2%
R+16.5
R+2.1
R+15.0
1,154,134
R
42.0%Biden491,063
56.4%Trump660,095
1.6%
R+14.4
D+3.8
R+18.9
1,170,198
R
37.7%Clinton409,187
55.9%Trump607,222
6.4%
R+18.2
R+2.1
R+20.3
1,085,618
R
40.9%Obama431,694
57.0%Romney602,334
2.1%
R+16.2
R+2.2
R+20.0
1,056,541
R
42.4%Obama448,050
56.3%McCain595,003
1.3%
R+13.9
D+9.6
R+21.2
1,056,990
R
38.0%Kerry387,707
61.5%Bush627,824
0.5%
R+23.5
R+0.2
R+21.1
1,020,482
R
36.9%Gore314,925
60.2%Bush513,641
2.9%
R+23.3
R+9.7
R+23.8
853,017
R
39.1%Clinton310,801
52.6%Dole418,627
8.3%
R+13.6
D+1.4
R+22.1
795,442
R
33.3%Clinton277,709
48.3%Bush402,649
18.3%
R+15.0
D+15.0
R+20.6
833,176
R
34.7%Dukakis253,546
64.6%Bush472,969
0.7%
R+30.0
D+5.1
R+22.3
731,725
R
32.2%Mondale238,361
67.3%Reagan498,274
0.6%
R+35.1
R+12.2
R+16.9
740,906
R
35.7%Carter244,143
58.6%Reagan400,681
5.7%
R+22.9
R+7.0
R+13.1
684,147
R
41.2%Carter264,282
57.1%Ford365,773
1.7%
R+15.8
D+20.0
R+17.9
640,973
R
31.1%McGovern196,634
66.9%Nixon422,886
2.0%
R+35.8
R+21.7
R+12.6
632,266
R
35.1%Humphrey220,337
49.1%Nixon308,782
15.8%
R+14.1
R+26.7
R+13.4
628,528
D
56.3%Johnson349,300
43.7%Goldwater271,039
0.0%
D+12.6
D+24.4
R+10.0
620,536
R
44.1%Kennedy291,917
55.9%Nixon370,247
0.0%
R+11.8
D+16.2
R+12.0
662,204
R
35.9%Stevenson206,412
64.0%Eisenhower367,750
0.1%
R+28.1
R+12.7
R+12.7
574,718
R
42.3%Stevenson249,209
57.7%Eisenhower339,848
0.0%
R+15.4
R+15.0
R+4.6
589,271
R
49.4%Truman234,635
49.8%Dewey236,395
0.8%
R+0.4
D+1.4
R+4.9
474,739
R
49.1%Roosevelt242,774
50.8%Dewey251,373
0.1%
R+1.7
R+3.0
R+9.2
494,425
D
50.6%Roosevelt261,471
49.4%Willkie255,211
0.1%
D+1.2
R+16.6
R+8.7
516,969
D
55.9%Roosevelt272,990
38.1%Landon186,018
6.1%
D+17.8
D+9.7
R+6.5
488,611
D
52.8%Roosevelt237,823
44.6%Hoover201,142
2.6%
D+8.1
D+26.0
R+9.7
450,675
R
40.9%Smith187,456
58.7%Hoover269,357
0.4%
R+17.9
D+12.8
R+0.4
458,551
R
25.7%Davis91,556
56.3%Coolidge200,625
18.0%
R+30.6
R+22.4
R+5.4
356,215
R
44.3%Cox162,859
52.5%Harding192,977
3.2%
R+8.2
R+11.1
D+18.0
367,479
D
49.7%Wilson108,614
46.8%Hughes102,339
3.5%
D+2.9
R+7.8
R+0.3
218,690
D
43.9%Wilson86,938
33.2%Taft65,757
23.0%
D+10.7
D+15.5
R+8.9
198,261
R
45.9%Bryan98,424
50.7%Taft108,831
3.4%
R+4.8
D+17.3
D+4.7
214,590
R
35.6%Parker67,393
57.7%Roosevelt109,275
6.7%
R+22.1
R+18.2
R+2.5
189,338
R
47.1%Bryan91,096
51.0%McKinley98,676
1.9%
R+3.9
D+3.3
D+3.6
193,473
R
46.0%Bryan88,403
53.2%McKinley102,220
0.8%
R+7.2
R+11.2
R+1.1
192,181
D
50.4%Cleveland82,824
46.5%Harrison76,302
3.1%
D+4.0
—
D+2.3
164,260
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
1,235,510
2018 (partial)
1,270,155
2020 (partial)
1,288,079
2022 (partial)
1,288,314
2024
1,696,878
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,026 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −20,583 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−6,925
2012
−6,176
2013
−4,129
2014
−1,789
2015
−2,678
2016
−1,377
2017
+1,630
2018
+813
2019
+1,027
2021
−4,222
2022
−10
2023
+2,268
2024
−1,041
2025
+2,026
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 35.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.5 points.
A population of 2,312,718, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,833 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oklahoma City-Shawnee, OK and Jacksonville-Kingsland-Palatka, FL-GA.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/178/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Republican by 16.5 points (R+16.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,154,134 votes cast, 475,124 went Democratic and 665,585 went Republican.
When did Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?
Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky has a population of 2,312,718 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?
Median household income in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky is $81,833 — above the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Cincinnati-Wilmington, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.
