- Lead
- 179,110
- Total
- 1,133,355
- vs nation
- R+14.3
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 158,241
- Total
- 1,149,671
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Lead
- 188,263
- Total
- 1,066,652
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Lead
- 164,422
- Total
- 1,038,212
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Lead
- 141,102
- Total
- 1,037,648
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Lead
- 232,596
- Total
- 1,002,068
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Lead
- 193,683
- Total
- 837,947
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Lead
- 105,625
- Total
- 780,921
- vs nation
- R+22.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,270,7062024 5-year
- Population density
- 518 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,385 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $82,0442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.5 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jacksonville, FL · twin score 79.8
presidential history
Party record book
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.4%
342,786 votes · D+12.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 56.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
67.1%
488,671 votes · R+34.8
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 66.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
486,366votes
42.3% of the vote · R+13.8
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 470,491 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
649,601votes
57.3% of the vote · R+15.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 644,607 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+18.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.5 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +5.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+23.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.1 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · +22.1 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 1,209,159 |
| 2018 (partial) | 1,242,903 |
| 2020 (partial) | 1,260,463 |
| 2022 (partial) | 1,260,946 |
| 2024 | 1,668,980 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,836 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −20,113 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6,833 |
| 2012 | −6,020 |
| 2013 | −4,076 |
| 2014 | −1,648 |
| 2015 | −2,623 |
| 2016 | −1,323 |
| 2017 | +1,584 |
| 2018 | +747 |
| 2019 | +1,156 |
| 2021 | −4,318 |
| 2022 | +149 |
| 2023 | +2,237 |
| 2024 | −981 |
| 2025 | +1,836 |
Cincinnati's core county has shifted between parties in presidential cycles while the surrounding Indiana and Kentucky exurbs trend reliably conservative, making the metro's aggregate margin a reliable stress-test for statewide coalitions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.8 points.
A population of 2,270,706, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,044 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jacksonville, FL and Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/17140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.