- Lead
- 1,715
- Total
- 3,091
- vs nation
- R+54.0
- Turnout
- 64.8%
Ohio County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.8% of 4,788 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,386
- Total
- 2,744
- vs nation
- R+55.0
- Turnout
- 73.7%
- Lead
- 1,432
- Total
- 2,921
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Turnout
- 64.2%
- Lead
- 765
- Total
- 2,819
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 555
- Total
- 2,918
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 657
- Total
- 2,958
- vs nation
- R+19.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 564
- Total
- 2,492
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15
- Total
- 2,474
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,9992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,3922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Van Buren County, IA · twin score 86.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.8%3,103 participants ÷ 4,788 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +31.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +6.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.3%–52.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,059 | 4,762 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,408 | 4,737 | 71.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,495 | 4,742 | 73.7% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,996 | 4,736 | 42.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,103 | 4,788 | 64.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 3,091 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 05RANDOLPH 05 | 131 | 585 | 9 | 725 | 18.1% | 80.7% | R+62.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CASS 07CASS 07 | 82 | 356 | 7 | 445 | 18.4% | 80.0% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 06RANDOLPH 06 | 42 | 242 | 6 | 290 | 14.5% | 83.4% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 03RANDOLPH 03 | 79 | 202 | 2 | 283 | 27.9% | 71.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 04RANDOLPH 04 | 80 | 189 | 7 | 276 | 29.0% | 68.5% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -UNION 09UNION 09 | 50 | 203 | 1 | 254 | 19.7% | 79.9% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -PIKE 08PIKE 08 | 37 | 202 | 6 | 245 | 15.1% | 82.4% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 01RANDOLPH 01 | 76 | 140 | 0 | 216 | 35.2% | 64.8% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 02RANDOLPH 02 | 61 | 139 | 5 | 205 | 29.8% | 67.8% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 10RANDOLPH 10 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 100 | 19.0% | 80.0% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -RANDOLPH 11RANDOLPH 11 | 9 | 43 | 0 | 52 | 17.3% | 82.7% | R+65.4 |
| CASS 718_1811500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PIKE 818_1811500020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 118_1811500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 1018_1811500090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 1118_1811500100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 218_1811500040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 318_1811500050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 418_1811500060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 518_1811500070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RANDOLPH 618_1811500080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION 918_1811500110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.4% |
| 1896 | −5.3% |
| 1900 | −7.1% |
| 1904 | −23.8% |
| 1908 | +0.2% |
| 1912 | +13.0% |
| 1916 | +2.8% |
| 1920 | −3.5% |
| 1924 | +3.3% |
| 1928 | −14.8% |
| 1932 | +12.6% |
| 1936 | +14.3% |
| 1940 | +1.0% |
| 1944 | −3.8% |
| 1948 | +6.4% |
| 1952 | −4.3% |
| 1956 | −6.4% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +21.3% |
| 1968 | −2.7% |
| 1972 | −19.4% |
| 1976 | +11.7% |
| 1980 | −7.9% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −11.8% |
| 1992 | −1.6% |
| 1996 | −0.6% |
| 2000 | −22.6% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −19.0% |
| 2012 | −27.1% |
| 2016 | −49.0% |
| 2020 | −50.5% |
| 2024 | −55.5% |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 4,949 |
| 2018 | 4,670 |
| 2020 | 4,887 |
| 2022 | 5,124 |
| 2024 | 5,231 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+34 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +102 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,907 in average income, against $72,781 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+58.1 on average — 2.6 points more Republican-leaning than Ohio County, IN itself (R+55.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dearborn County, IN50R+58.3
- Switzerland County, IN20R+57.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Dearborn County, IN56
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −19 |
| 2012 | +4 |
| 2013 | −70 |
| 2014 | −23 |
| 2015 | −56 |
| 2016 | +18 |
| 2017 | −35 |
| 2018 | +24 |
| 2019 | +1 |
| 2021 | +88 |
| 2022 | +151 |
| 2023 | −56 |
| 2024 | +41 |
| 2025 | +34 |
Ohio County, Indiana—not to be confused with the state—is a compact rural enclave along the Ohio River whose roughly 5,600 residents have delivered some of the widest presidential margins in the state, reaching R+55.5 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 55.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.5 points.
A population of 5,999, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,392 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Van Buren County and Montgomery County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ohio County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.