- Lead
- 232,131
- Total
- 1,223,252
- vs nation
- R+17.5
Cincinnati
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 208,173
- Total
- 1,238,489
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Lead
- 231,502
- Total
- 1,149,162
- vs nation
- R+22.2
- Lead
- 187,884
- Total
- 1,115,774
- vs nation
- R+20.7
- Lead
- 162,062
- Total
- 1,119,698
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Lead
- 259,586
- Total
- 1,082,722
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Lead
- 213,682
- Total
- 906,382
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Lead
- 111,086
- Total
- 847,275
- vs nation
- R+21.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 2,460,3332024 5-year
- Population density
- 330 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,449 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,6532024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oklahoma City, OK · twin score 65.8
presidential history
Party record book
Cincinnati · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.5%
379,429 votes · D+13.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 55.7%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
67.1%
530,453 votes · R+34.7
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
505,205votes
40.8% of the vote · R+16.8
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 488,505 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
720,636votes
58.9% of the vote · R+19.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 713,378 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+19.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.1 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +6.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+24.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+23.6 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +22.2 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 1,315,652 |
| 2018 (partial) | 1,347,812 |
| 2020 (partial) | 1,365,688 |
| 2022 (partial) | 1,366,569 |
| 2024 | 1,801,284 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,679 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −21,353 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −7,711 |
| 2012 | −7,700 |
| 2013 | −4,511 |
| 2014 | −2,346 |
| 2015 | −2,927 |
| 2016 | −1,536 |
| 2017 | +1,666 |
| 2018 | +692 |
| 2019 | +897 |
| 2021 | −3,761 |
| 2022 | +391 |
| 2023 | +3,078 |
| 2024 | −264 |
| 2025 | +2,679 |
Cincinnati's media market spans the Ohio-Kentucky state line, forcing campaigns to buy cross-state advertising while targeting an audience whose presidential margins have shifted by double digits over two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 35.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.0 points.
A population of 2,460,333, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,653 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oklahoma City and Jacksonville.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cincinnati, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/515/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.