- Lead
- 1,952
- Total
- 3,494
- vs nation
- R+54.4
- Turnout
- 64.6%
Union County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.6% of 5,470 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,952
- Total
- 3,483
- vs nation
- R+60.5
- Turnout
- 64.1%
- Lead
- 1,730
- Total
- 3,315
- vs nation
- R+54.3
- Turnout
- 60.5%
- Lead
- 1,004
- Total
- 3,104
- vs nation
- R+36.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 837
- Total
- 3,348
- vs nation
- R+32.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,221
- Total
- 3,344
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 911
- Total
- 2,828
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 315
- Total
- 2,730
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 6,9852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,4242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+3.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.0 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Morgan County, WV · twin score 92.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.6%3,532 participants ÷ 5,470 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.6%–53.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,362 | 5,558 | 60.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,135 | 5,500 | 57.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,544 | 5,533 | 64.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,552 | 5,532 | 46.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,532 | 5,470 | 64.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 3,500 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CENTERCENTER | 218 | 818 | 18 | 1,054 | 20.7% | 77.6% | R+56.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -LIBERTYLIBERTY | 121 | 444 | 5 | 570 | 21.2% | 77.9% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -UNIONUNION | 83 | 370 | 7 | 460 | 18.0% | 80.4% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -BROWNSVILLEBROWNSVILLE | 74 | 313 | 7 | 394 | 18.8% | 79.4% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -CENTER 3CENTER 3 | 79 | 202 | 9 | 290 | 27.2% | 69.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -HARMONYHARMONY | 57 | 224 | 2 | 283 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.0 |
| Precinct -HARRISONHARRISON | 38 | 184 | 3 | 225 | 16.9% | 81.8% | R+64.9 |
| Precinct -WEST COLLEGE CORNERWEST COLLEGE CORNER | 76 | 143 | 5 | 224 | 33.9% | 63.8% | R+29.9 |
| BROWNSVILLE18_1816100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER18_1816100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0118_1816100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0218_1816100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTER 0318_1816100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY18_1816100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON18_1816100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LIBERTY18_1816100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CENTER 1CENTER 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CENTER 2CENTER 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| UNION18_1816100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WEST COLLEGE CORNER18_1816100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.5% |
| 1896 | −9.8% |
| 1900 | −8.1% |
| 1904 | −19.8% |
| 1908 | −13.1% |
| 1912 | +3.2% |
| 1916 | −9.1% |
| 1920 | −17.9% |
| 1924 | −19.2% |
| 1928 | −32.4% |
| 1932 | −2.2% |
| 1936 | +1.0% |
| 1940 | −17.3% |
| 1944 | −26.6% |
| 1948 | −27.6% |
| 1952 | −35.2% |
| 1956 | −27.2% |
| 1960 | −27.7% |
| 1964 | −2.3% |
| 1968 | −25.5% |
| 1972 | −45.4% |
| 1976 | −16.8% |
| 1980 | −31.2% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −31.3% |
| 1992 | −16.7% |
| 1996 | −11.5% |
| 2000 | −32.2% |
| 2004 | −36.5% |
| 2008 | −25.0% |
| 2012 | −32.3% |
| 2016 | −52.2% |
| 2020 | −56.0% |
| 2024 | −55.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 20.7%671 | 79.3%2,572 | 3,243 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,890 |
| 2018 | 5,218 |
| 2020 | 5,205 |
| 2022 | 4,994 |
| 2024 | 5,041 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−39 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −519 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,984 in average income, against $70,266 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+42.0 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, IN itself (R+55.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Butler County, OH43R+26.3
- Wayne County, IN31R+32.4
- Fayette County, IN30R+56.3
- Franklin County, IN24R+64.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Butler County, OH40
- Wayne County, IN35
- Fayette County, IN29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −48 |
| 2012 | −160 |
| 2013 | −32 |
| 2014 | −57 |
| 2015 | −55 |
| 2016 | −32 |
| 2017 | +38 |
| 2018 | −114 |
| 2019 | +37 |
| 2021 | −31 |
| 2022 | −31 |
| 2023 | +31 |
| 2024 | −26 |
| 2025 | −39 |
Union County's 2024 presidential margin of R+55.9 reflects a pattern common to rural southeastern Indiana micro-counties, where low population density and agricultural economies correlate with heavily skewed partisan outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 56.0 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 55.9 points.
A population of 6,985, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,424 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Cumberland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Union County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18161/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.