- Lead
- 7,085
- Total
- 12,111
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 61.0%
Decatur County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.0% of 20,029 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,136
- Total
- 12,287
- vs nation
- R+62.5
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Lead
- 6,669
- Total
- 11,478
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Turnout
- 58.4%
- Lead
- 4,178
- Total
- 10,327
- vs nation
- R+44.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,557
- Total
- 10,488
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,878
- Total
- 10,199
- vs nation
- R+45.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,226
- Total
- 9,171
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,592
- Total
- 9,409
- vs nation
- R+25.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+58.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,4222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,7832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shelby County, IN · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.0%12,220 participants ÷ 20,029 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 39.1%–49.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,478 | 19,648 | 58.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,370 | 19,781 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,417 | 19,893 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,050 | 19,892 | 40.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 12,220 | 20,029 | 61.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 12,111 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FUGIT TOWNSHIPFUGIT TOWNSHIP | 218 | 876 | 16 | 1,110 | 19.6% | 78.9% | R+59.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WASHINGTON TOWNSHIPWASHINGTON TOWNSHIP | 184 | 792 | 24 | 1,000 | 18.4% | 79.2% | R+60.8 |
| Precinct -MARION TOWNSHIPMARION TOWNSHIP | 120 | 802 | 16 | 938 | 12.8% | 85.5% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 04GREENSBURG 04 | 227 | 638 | 14 | 879 | 25.8% | 72.6% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 07GREENSBURG 07 | 157 | 514 | 14 | 685 | 22.9% | 75.0% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct -SALTCREEK TOWNSHIPSALTCREEK TOWNSHIP | 73 | 560 | 6 | 639 | 11.4% | 87.6% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -ADAMS TOWNSHIPADAMS TOWNSHIP | 125 | 498 | 8 | 631 | 19.8% | 78.9% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 01GREENSBURG 01 | 158 | 457 | 10 | 625 | 25.3% | 73.1% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 05GREENSBURG 05 | 132 | 448 | 16 | 596 | 22.1% | 75.2% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -CLAY TOWNSHIPCLAY TOWNSHIP | 84 | 490 | 15 | 589 | 14.3% | 83.2% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 08GREENSBURG 08 | 143 | 429 | 11 | 583 | 24.5% | 73.6% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 02GREENSBURG 02 | 154 | 398 | 12 | 564 | 27.3% | 70.6% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -WESTPORTWESTPORT | 107 | 438 | 6 | 551 | 19.4% | 79.5% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -JACKSON TOWNSHIPJACKSON TOWNSHIP | 78 | 417 | 9 | 504 | 15.5% | 82.7% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 03GREENSBURG 03 | 141 | 329 | 11 | 481 | 29.3% | 68.4% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -SANDCREEK NORTHSANDCREEK NORTH | 59 | 369 | 9 | 437 | 13.5% | 84.4% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -SANDCREEK SOUTHSANDCREEK SOUTH | 65 | 339 | 6 | 410 | 15.9% | 82.7% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -GREENSBURG 06GREENSBURG 06 | 92 | 268 | 6 | 366 | 25.1% | 73.2% | R+48.1 |
| Precinct -CLINTON TOWNSHIPCLINTON TOWNSHIP | 32 | 238 | 1 | 271 | 11.8% | 87.8% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -ST. PAULST. PAUL | 57 | 191 | 4 | 252 | 22.6% | 75.8% | R+53.2 |
| ADAMS TOWNSHIP18_1803100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAY TOWNSHIP18_1803100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLINTON TOWNSHIP18_1803100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FUGIT TOWNSHIP18_1803100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0118_1803100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0218_1803100060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0318_1803100070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0418_1803100080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0518_1803100090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0618_1803100100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0718_1803100110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GREENSBURG 0818_1803100120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON TOWNSHIP18_1803100130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION TOWNSHIP18_1803100140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALTCREEK TOWNSHIP18_1803100150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDCREEK NORTH18_1803100160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SANDCREEK SOUTH18_1803100170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST. PAUL18_1803100180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP18_1803100190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WESTPORT18_1803100200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.2% |
| 1896 | −6.1% |
| 1900 | −5.4% |
| 1904 | −14.6% |
| 1908 | −4.9% |
| 1912 | +19.0% |
| 1916 | −6.5% |
| 1920 | −16.9% |
| 1924 | −8.8% |
| 1928 | −17.4% |
| 1932 | +7.8% |
| 1936 | −2.4% |
| 1940 | −15.8% |
| 1944 | −22.3% |
| 1948 | −14.9% |
| 1952 | −31.1% |
| 1956 | −30.1% |
| 1960 | −20.8% |
| 1964 | +8.4% |
| 1968 | −19.0% |
| 1972 | −38.4% |
| 1976 | −11.9% |
| 1980 | −21.8% |
| 1984 | −40.4% |
| 1988 | −35.2% |
| 1992 | −23.5% |
| 1996 | −16.9% |
| 2000 | −35.2% |
| 2004 | −47.8% |
| 2008 | −24.4% |
| 2012 | −40.5% |
| 2016 | −58.1% |
| 2020 | −58.1% |
| 2024 | −58.5% |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,079 |
| 2018 | 16,355 |
| 2020 | 17,216 |
| 2022 | 17,188 |
| 2024 | 17,631 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+4 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +15 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,270 in average income, against $70,135 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+39.5 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Decatur County, IN itself (R+58.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bartholomew County, IN90R+27.3
- Shelby County, IN86R+48.0
- Ripley County, IN78R+61.4
- Marion County, IN53D+27.6
- Rush County, IN42R+54.0
- Franklin County, IN39R+64.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bartholomew County, IN72
- Ripley County, IN69
- Shelby County, IN68
- Marion County, IN50
- Rush County, IN46
- Jennings County, IN43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +6 |
| 2012 | +77 |
| 2013 | +86 |
| 2014 | +92 |
| 2015 | −188 |
| 2016 | +136 |
| 2017 | −23 |
| 2018 | +43 |
| 2019 | −232 |
| 2021 | −146 |
| 2022 | +128 |
| 2023 | −33 |
| 2024 | +65 |
| 2025 | +4 |
Decatur County, a rural stretch of south-central Indiana anchored by Greensburg, recorded an R+58.5 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state where small agricultural counties have moved sharply toward one-party dominance over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 58.5 points in 2024. The 2024 margin was 58.5 points.
A population of 26,422, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,783 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shelby County and Huntington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Decatur County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.