HarrisDemocratic23.6%5,010TrumpRepublican74.6%15,830KennedyIndependent1.1%232
R+51.0- Lead
- 10,820
- Total
- 21,220
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 60.8%
Akashiccounty
Lawrence County, IN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.8% of 35,340 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic23.6%4,961TrumpRepublican74.2%15,601JorgensenLibertarian2.2%463
R+50.6- Lead
- 10,640
- Total
- 21,025
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Turnout
- 61.1%
ClintonDemocratic21.9%4,210TrumpRepublican73.0%14,035JohnsonLibertarian4.3%832
R+51.1- Lead
- 9,825
- Total
- 19,238
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- 56.2%
ObamaDemocratic32.3%5,779RomneyRepublican65.0%11,622JohnsonLibertarian2.4%421
R+32.7- Lead
- 5,843
- Total
- 17,870
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic38.9%7,208McCainRepublican59.4%11,018OtherAll other candidates1.7%308
R+20.6- Lead
- 3,810
- Total
- 18,534
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic30.2%5,346BushRepublican69.0%12,207OtherAll other candidates0.8%145
R+38.8- Lead
- 6,861
- Total
- 17,698
- vs nation
- R+36.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic31.4%5,071BushRepublican66.1%10,677OtherAll other candidates2.4%394
R+34.7- Lead
- 5,606
- Total
- 16,142
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.6%5,703DoleRepublican50.6%8,107PerotReform12.9%2,063
R+15.0- Lead
- 2,404
- Total
- 16,009
- vs nation
- R+23.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,1022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,4682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.1 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wabash County, IN · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.8%21,489 participants ÷ 35,340 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +24.2 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.6%–50.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 19,778 | 35,187 | 56.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 21,270 | 35,238 | 60.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 21,557 | 35,305 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,037 | 35,334 | 36.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 21,489 | 35,340 | 60.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
79 precincts · 21,249 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PERRYPERRY | 226 | 955 | 23 | 1,204 | 18.8% | 79.3% | R+60.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MARSHALL 01MARSHALL 01 | 219 | 800 | 11 | 1,030 | 21.3% | 77.7% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -INDIAN CREEK NORTHINDIAN CREEK NORTH | 145 | 698 | 15 | 858 | 16.9% | 81.4% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -MARION 06MARION 06 | 162 | 670 | 16 | 848 | 19.1% | 79.0% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT RUNPLEASANT RUN | 150 | 669 | 14 | 833 | 18.0% | 80.3% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL 03MARSHALL 03 | 209 | 614 | 9 | 832 | 25.1% | 73.8% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 14BSHAWSWICK 14B | 153 | 629 | 11 | 793 | 19.3% | 79.3% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -MARION 05BMARION 05B | 151 | 600 | 13 | 764 | 19.8% | 78.5% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -SPICE VALLEY SOUTHSPICE VALLEY SOUTH | 142 | 585 | 18 | 745 | 19.1% | 78.5% | R+59.5 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 14ASHAWSWICK 14A | 134 | 571 | 13 | 718 | 18.7% | 79.5% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 15BSHAWSWICK 15B | 158 | 505 | 12 | 675 | 23.4% | 74.8% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -MARION 05AMARION 05A | 154 | 482 | 12 | 648 | 23.8% | 74.4% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 16SHAWSWICK 16 | 181 | 448 | 14 | 643 | 28.1% | 69.7% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -MARSHALL 02MARSHALL 02 | 143 | 466 | 14 | 623 | 23.0% | 74.8% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -GUTHRIEGUTHRIE | 105 | 479 | 10 | 594 | 17.7% | 80.6% | R+63.0 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 12SHAWSWICK 12 | 142 | 383 | 15 | 540 | 26.3% | 70.9% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 13SHAWSWICK 13 | 118 | 393 | 12 | 523 | 22.6% | 75.1% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -INDIAN CREEK SOUTHINDIAN CREEK SOUTH | 91 | 419 | 10 | 520 | 17.5% | 80.6% | R+63.1 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 07BSHAWSWICK 07B | 192 | 317 | 11 | 520 | 36.9% | 61.0% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -MARION 02MARION 02 | 158 | 325 | 9 | 492 | 32.1% | 66.1% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 08SHAWSWICK 08 | 166 | 284 | 10 | 460 | 36.1% | 61.7% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 02SHAWSWICK 02 | 113 | 322 | 6 | 441 | 25.6% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 05BSHAWSWICK 05B | 111 | 313 | 9 | 433 | 25.6% | 72.3% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 04SHAWSWICK 04 | 107 | 307 | 10 | 424 | 25.2% | 72.4% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 05ASHAWSWICK 05A | 139 | 266 | 6 | 411 | 33.8% | 64.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -BONOBONO | 72 | 321 | 6 | 399 | 18.0% | 80.5% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 10SHAWSWICK 10 | 95 | 271 | 10 | 376 | 25.3% | 72.1% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -MARION 03MARION 03 | 92 | 276 | 7 | 375 | 24.5% | 73.6% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 03SHAWSWICK 03 | 104 | 262 | 8 | 374 | 27.8% | 70.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -MARION 01MARION 01 | 91 | 235 | 15 | 341 | 26.7% | 68.9% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 06SHAWSWICK 06 | 123 | 212 | 5 | 340 | 36.2% | 62.4% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 01BSHAWSWICK 01B | 93 | 233 | 4 | 330 | 28.2% | 70.6% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 15ASHAWSWICK 15A | 78 | 224 | 10 | 312 | 25.0% | 71.8% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 09SHAWSWICK 09 | 102 | 199 | 5 | 306 | 33.3% | 65.0% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -SPICE VALLEY NORTHSPICE VALLEY NORTH | 44 | 252 | 4 | 300 | 14.7% | 84.0% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 07ASHAWSWICK 07A | 77 | 213 | 6 | 296 | 26.0% | 72.0% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 11SHAWSWICK 11 | 73 | 188 | 9 | 270 | 27.0% | 69.6% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -SHAWSWICK 01ASHAWSWICK 01A | 87 | 156 | 5 | 248 | 35.1% | 62.9% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -MARION 04MARION 04 | 60 | 177 | 7 | 244 | 24.6% | 72.5% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -MARION 05CMARION 05C | 50 | 111 | 5 | 166 | 30.1% | 66.9% | R+36.7 |
| BONO18_1809300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GUTHRIE18_1809300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN CREEK NORTH18_1809300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN CREEK SOUTH18_1809300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0118_1809300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0218_1809300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0318_1809300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0418_1809300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 05A18_1809300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 05B18_1809300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 05C18_1809300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 0618_1809300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARSHALL 0118_1809300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARSHALL 0218_1809300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARSHALL 0318_1809300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY18_1809300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT RUN18_1809300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 01A18_1809300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 01B18_1809300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0218_1809300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0318_1809300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0418_1809300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 05A18_1809300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 05B18_1809300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0618_1809300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 07A18_1809300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 07B18_1809300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0818_1809300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 0918_1809300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1018_1809300300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1118_1809300310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1218_1809300320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1318_1809300330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 14A18_1809300340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 14B18_1809300350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1518_1809300360 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SHAWSWICK 1618_1809300370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPICE VALLEY NORTH18_1809300380 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPICE VALLEY SOUTH18_1809300390 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.1% |
| 1896 | −12.2% |
| 1900 | −15.8% |
| 1904 | −18.5% |
| 1908 | −10.6% |
| 1912 | +13.8% |
| 1916 | −9.7% |
| 1920 | −17.9% |
| 1924 | −24.7% |
| 1928 | −37.8% |
| 1932 | −0.6% |
| 1936 | −10.6% |
| 1940 | −24.1% |
| 1944 | −27.2% |
| 1948 | −16.9% |
| 1952 | −30.1% |
| 1956 | −28.2% |
| 1960 | −22.8% |
| 1964 | +2.9% |
| 1968 | −21.4% |
| 1972 | −43.6% |
| 1976 | −7.9% |
| 1980 | −29.0% |
| 1984 | −34.0% |
| 1988 | −29.9% |
| 1992 | −12.8% |
| 1996 | −15.0% |
| 2000 | −34.7% |
| 2004 | −38.8% |
| 2008 | −20.6% |
| 2012 | −32.7% |
| 2016 | −51.1% |
| 2020 | −50.6% |
| 2024 | −51.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 33,441 |
| 2018 | 30,667 |
| 2020 | 32,538 |
| 2022 | 33,348 |
| 2024 | 34,761 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+500 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,284 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $52,703 in average income, against $65,295 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.5 on average — 43 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, IN itself (R+51.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Monroe County, IN303D+27.4
- Orange County, IN90R+52.1
- Greene County, IN45R+53.7
- Jackson County, IN41R+55.3
- Marion County, IN28D+27.6
- Washington County, IN27R+54.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Monroe County, IN236
- Orange County, IN85
- Greene County, IN43
- Jackson County, IN33
- Martin County, IN32
- Marion County, IN30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +29 |
| 2012 | +40 |
| 2013 | −179 |
| 2014 | −132 |
| 2015 | −27 |
| 2016 | +35 |
| 2017 | +123 |
| 2018 | +114 |
| 2019 | −164 |
| 2021 | +210 |
| 2022 | +452 |
| 2023 | −53 |
| 2024 | +336 |
| 2025 | +500 |
Lawrence County, anchored by the small city of Bedford, posts presidential margins that rank among the widest in the state — a pattern consistent with rural south-central Indiana's decades-long shift toward the Republican column.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 51.1 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 51.0 points.
A population of 45,102, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,468 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wabash County and Morgan County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wabash County
Indiana
93.2twin score
elasticity2004–2020 trajectory
Morgan County
Indiana
91.6twin score
elasticity2000–2016 trajectory% White≠ Irish ancestry
Tipton County
Indiana
90.3twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18093/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lawrence County
Indiana at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Indiana voted Republican by 51.0 points (R+51.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,220 votes cast, 5,010 went Democratic and 15,830 went Republican.
When did Lawrence County, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Indiana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Indiana?
Lawrence County, Indiana has a population of 45,102 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Indiana?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Indiana is $66,468 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.