- Lead
- 7,611
- Total
- 15,110
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 54.9%
Knox County, IN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.9% of 27,847 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,588
- Total
- 16,011
- vs nation
- R+51.8
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 7,305
- Total
- 15,602
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 53.9%
- Lead
- 4,384
- Total
- 15,145
- vs nation
- R+32.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,070
- Total
- 16,424
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,341
- Total
- 15,746
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,185
- Total
- 15,054
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 608
- Total
- 15,532
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,0072024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,2372024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Clay County, IN · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.9%15,286 participants ÷ 27,847 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 35.7%–45.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,023 | 29,723 | 53.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 15,810 | 29,154 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 16,168 | 28,628 | 56.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,412 | 27,897 | 37.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,286 | 27,847 | 54.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 15,110 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -HARRISONHARRISON | 165 | 862 | 16 | 1,043 | 15.8% | 82.6% | R+66.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 4VINCENNES CITY 4 | 312 | 688 | 20 | 1,020 | 30.6% | 67.5% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON | 176 | 772 | 13 | 961 | 18.3% | 80.3% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES TWP. 02VINCENNES TWP. 02 | 218 | 651 | 19 | 888 | 24.5% | 73.3% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -PALMYRAPALMYRA | 169 | 706 | 10 | 885 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 6VINCENNES CITY 6 | 259 | 583 | 14 | 856 | 30.3% | 68.1% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 8VINCENNES CITY 8 | 274 | 551 | 12 | 837 | 32.7% | 65.8% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 7VINCENNES CITY 7 | 253 | 533 | 16 | 802 | 31.5% | 66.5% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 1VINCENNES CITY 1 | 286 | 467 | 14 | 767 | 37.3% | 60.9% | R+23.6 |
| Precinct -VIGOVIGO | 143 | 588 | 11 | 742 | 19.3% | 79.2% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES TWP. 01VINCENNES TWP. 01 | 164 | 515 | 16 | 695 | 23.6% | 74.1% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -JOHNSONJOHNSON | 115 | 539 | 13 | 667 | 17.2% | 80.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -BUSSERONBUSSERON | 98 | 445 | 13 | 556 | 17.6% | 80.0% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -WIDNERWIDNER | 76 | 472 | 8 | 556 | 13.7% | 84.9% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 5VINCENNES CITY 5 | 147 | 381 | 8 | 536 | 27.4% | 71.1% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 3VINCENNES CITY 3 | 166 | 356 | 8 | 530 | 31.3% | 67.2% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES TWP. 04VINCENNES TWP. 04 | 94 | 360 | 4 | 458 | 20.5% | 78.6% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -STEENSTEEN | 66 | 332 | 3 | 401 | 16.5% | 82.8% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES CITY 2VINCENNES CITY 2 | 101 | 258 | 6 | 365 | 27.7% | 70.7% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES TWP. 03VINCENNES TWP. 03 | 78 | 233 | 2 | 313 | 24.9% | 74.4% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -BICKNELL 02BICKNELL 02 | 57 | 238 | 4 | 299 | 19.1% | 79.6% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -BICKNELL 01BICKNELL 01 | 61 | 205 | 6 | 272 | 22.4% | 75.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -BICKNELL 03BICKNELL 03 | 56 | 197 | 9 | 262 | 21.4% | 75.2% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -VINCENNES TWP. 05VINCENNES TWP. 05 | 40 | 108 | 4 | 152 | 26.3% | 71.1% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -BICKNELL 04BICKNELL 04 | 30 | 106 | 0 | 136 | 22.1% | 77.9% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -DECKERDECKER | 21 | 90 | 0 | 111 | 18.9% | 81.1% | R+62.2 |
| BICKNELL 118_1808300010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BICKNELL 218_1808300020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BICKNELL 318_1808300030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BICKNELL 418_1808300040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUSSERON18_1808300050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECKER18_1808300060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARRISON18_1808300070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JOHNSON18_1808300080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PALMYRA18_1808300090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEEN18_1808300100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIGO 0118_1808300110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIGO 0218_1808300120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VIGO 318_1808300130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0218_1808300150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0318_1808300160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0518_1808300180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0618_1808300190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0718_1808300200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0818_1808300210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 0918_1808300220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 118_1808300140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1018_1808300230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1118_1808300240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1218_1808300250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1318_1808300260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1418_1808300270 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1518_1808300280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 1618_1808300290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES CITY 418_1808300170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES TWP. 0518_1808300340 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES TWP. 118_1808300300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES TWP. 218_1808300310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES TWP. 318_1808300320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VINCENNES TWP. 418_1808300330 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WASHINGTON18_1808300350 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WIDNER18_1808300370 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +11.2% |
| 1896 | +11.0% |
| 1900 | +10.8% |
| 1904 | −2.1% |
| 1908 | +8.7% |
| 1912 | +16.8% |
| 1916 | +5.1% |
| 1920 | −10.1% |
| 1924 | +0.6% |
| 1928 | −1.0% |
| 1932 | +35.4% |
| 1936 | +22.7% |
| 1940 | +4.5% |
| 1944 | +1.3% |
| 1948 | +11.3% |
| 1952 | −15.2% |
| 1956 | −20.0% |
| 1960 | −7.3% |
| 1964 | +24.8% |
| 1968 | −6.0% |
| 1972 | −32.2% |
| 1976 | +2.7% |
| 1980 | −12.0% |
| 1984 | −25.5% |
| 1988 | −16.6% |
| 1992 | +0.2% |
| 1996 | +3.9% |
| 2000 | −14.5% |
| 2004 | −27.6% |
| 2008 | −6.5% |
| 2012 | −28.9% |
| 2016 | −46.8% |
| 2020 | −47.4% |
| 2024 | −50.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.1%3,249 | 76.9%10,824 | 14,073 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 27,033 |
| 2018 | 24,254 |
| 2020 | 24,497 |
| 2022 | 22,378 |
| 2024 | 22,882 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−56 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,310 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,089 in average income, against $68,764 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+51.7 on average — 1.3 points more Republican-leaning than Knox County, IN itself (R+50.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Daviess County, IN104R+64.3
- Lawrence County, IL45R+56.2
- Vanderburgh County, IN42R+12.6
- Gibson County, IN39R+51.4
- Sullivan County, IN37R+52.7
- Greene County, IN20R+53.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Daviess County, IN69
- Vanderburgh County, IN66
- Lawrence County, IL55
- Marion County, IN48
- Gibson County, IN46
- Sullivan County, IN32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +57 |
| 2012 | −537 |
| 2013 | +12 |
| 2014 | −139 |
| 2015 | −168 |
| 2016 | −430 |
| 2017 | −302 |
| 2018 | −495 |
| 2019 | −17 |
| 2021 | −169 |
| 2022 | −53 |
| 2023 | +159 |
| 2024 | −172 |
| 2025 | −56 |
Knox County, anchored by Vincennes on the Wabash River, swung to R+50.4 in 2024 — a margin typical of deep-rural southwestern Indiana, where manufacturing decline and agricultural identity have steadily reshaped the electorate over two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.4 points.
A population of 36,007, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,237 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Wabash County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Knox County, Indiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/18083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.