- Lead
- 2,895
- Total
- 5,377
- vs nation
- R+52.4
- Turnout
- 62.4%
Wabash County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.4% of 8,692 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,984
- Total
- 5,607
- vs nation
- R+57.7
- Turnout
- 64.5%
- Lead
- 2,896
- Total
- 5,464
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Turnout
- 61.5%
- Lead
- 1,888
- Total
- 5,134
- vs nation
- R+40.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 792
- Total
- 5,782
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,460
- Total
- 6,006
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,419
- Total
- 5,508
- vs nation
- R+26.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 204
- Total
- 5,274
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,1192024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,0862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rush County, IN · twin score 94.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.4%5,423 participants ÷ 8,692 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.9%–45.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,464 | 8,890 | 61.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,070 | 8,852 | 46.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,645 | 8,757 | 64.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,104 | 8,745 | 46.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,423 | 8,692 | 62.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 1,740 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -WABASHWABASH | 88 | 402 | 15 | 505 | 17.4% | 79.6% | R+62.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BELLMONTBELLMONT | 51 | 240 | 7 | 298 | 17.1% | 80.5% | R+63.4 |
| Precinct -LANCASTERLANCASTER | 46 | 241 | 2 | 289 | 15.9% | 83.4% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -FRIENDSVILLEFRIENDSVILLE | 51 | 231 | 5 | 287 | 17.8% | 80.5% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -COFFEECOFFEE | 22 | 120 | 4 | 146 | 15.1% | 82.2% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -LICK PRAIRIELICK PRAIRIE | 4 | 121 | 3 | 128 | 3.1% | 94.5% | R+91.4 |
| Precinct -COMPTONCOMPTON | 14 | 71 | 2 | 87 | 16.1% | 81.6% | R+65.5 |
| BELLMONT 14 Voting District17_1718500014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COFFEE 15 Voting District17_1718500015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COMPTON 16 Voting District17_1718500016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRIENDSVILLE 11 Voting District17_1718500011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LANCASTER 12 Voting District17_1718500012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LICK PRAIRIE 13 Voting District17_1718500013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 1 Voting District17_1718500001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 2 Voting District17_1718500002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 3 Voting District17_1718500003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 4 Voting District17_1718500004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 5 Voting District17_1718500005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 6 Voting District17_1718500006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 7 Voting District17_1718500007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 8 Voting District17_1718500008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT CARMEL 9 Voting District17_1718500009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 1MOUNT CARMEL 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 2MOUNT CARMEL 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 3MOUNT CARMEL 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 4MOUNT CARMEL 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 5MOUNT CARMEL 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 6MOUNT CARMEL 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 7MOUNT CARMEL 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 8MOUNT CARMEL 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -MOUNT CARMEL 9MOUNT CARMEL 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WABASH 10 Voting District17_1718500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +11.6% |
| 1896 | +13.4% |
| 1900 | +13.9% |
| 1904 | +0.1% |
| 1908 | +8.6% |
| 1912 | +25.1% |
| 1916 | +10.8% |
| 1920 | −6.5% |
| 1924 | −2.2% |
| 1928 | +24.8% |
| 1932 | +29.4% |
| 1936 | +18.7% |
| 1940 | +6.6% |
| 1944 | −7.1% |
| 1948 | −1.0% |
| 1952 | −22.9% |
| 1956 | −24.0% |
| 1960 | −17.1% |
| 1964 | +12.3% |
| 1968 | −20.1% |
| 1972 | −36.9% |
| 1976 | −9.7% |
| 1980 | −27.3% |
| 1984 | −33.8% |
| 1988 | −21.2% |
| 1992 | −0.8% |
| 1996 | −3.9% |
| 2000 | −25.8% |
| 2004 | −41.0% |
| 2008 | −13.7% |
| 2012 | −36.8% |
| 2016 | −53.0% |
| 2020 | −53.2% |
| 2024 | −53.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,174 |
| 2018 | 8,973 |
| 2020 | 9,132 |
| 2022 | 8,345 |
| 2024 | 8,539 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−67 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −910 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,283 in average income, against $80,113 for residents who stayed — 43% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.0 on average — 4.8 points more Democratic-leaning than Wabash County, IL itself (R+53.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gibson County, IN38R+51.4
- Edwards County, IL29R+71.1
- Vanderburgh County, IN20R+12.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Gibson County, IN25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −120 |
| 2012 | −131 |
| 2013 | −38 |
| 2014 | −99 |
| 2015 | −12 |
| 2016 | −130 |
| 2017 | −56 |
| 2018 | −66 |
| 2019 | −55 |
| 2021 | −44 |
| 2022 | −95 |
| 2023 | +14 |
| 2024 | −11 |
| 2025 | −67 |
Wabash County, tucked into southeastern Illinois along the Indiana border, has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for over a decade, reflecting a broader rural realignment across the region's small agricultural communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 53.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.8 points.
A population of 11,119, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,086 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rush County and Richland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wabash County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17185/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.