Warren County, Illinois
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 61.5% | 4,579 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 36.4% | 2,711 |
| Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent | 1.9% | 142 |
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −8.0% |
| 1896 | −12.9% |
| 1900 | −17.6% |
| 1904 | −34.5% |
| 1908 | −15.8% |
| 1912 | +19.5% |
| 1916 | −16.1% |
| 1920 | −44.8% |
| 1924 | −42.1% |
| 1928 | −48.7% |
| 1932 | +1.0% |
| 1936 | −12.1% |
| 1940 | −22.9% |
| 1944 | −28.6% |
| 1948 | −33.1% |
| 1952 | −45.9% |
| 1956 | −43.3% |
| 1960 | −30.6% |
| 1964 | −5.9% |
| 1968 | −28.5% |
| 1972 | −40.5% |
| 1976 | −20.5% |
| 1980 | −32.1% |
| 1984 | −27.5% |
| 1988 | −11.7% |
| 1992 | +4.0% |
| 1996 | +7.3% |
| 2000 | −4.9% |
| 2004 | −6.3% |
| 2008 | +8.1% |
| 2012 | +5.4% |
| 2016 | −16.5% |
| 2020 | −20.0% |
| 2024 | −25.1% |
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,457 |
| 2018 | 11,814 |
| 2020 | 12,159 |
| 2022 | 12,054 |
| 2024 | 11,011 |
Warren County's population has declined steadily as agriculture consolidates, leaving a smaller, older, and more reliably Republican electorate. In 2024 the GOP presidential margin reached 25 points, up sharply from the single-digit gaps of two decades ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 48.7 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 16,447, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,385 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shiawassee County and Juneau County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Warren County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17187/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.