- Lead
- 2,079
- Total
- 22,191
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- 58.2%
Knox County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.2% of 38,110 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,306
- Total
- 23,208
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- 59.5%
- Lead
- 654
- Total
- 22,503
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Lead
- 4,043
- Total
- 23,356
- vs nation
- D+13.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,772
- Total
- 23,988
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,292
- Total
- 24,708
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,660
- Total
- 23,174
- vs nation
- D+11.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,665
- Total
- 22,548
- vs nation
- D+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 49,0462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,0302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.7 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Des Moines County, IA · twin score 91.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.2%22,191 participants ÷ 38,110 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 45.2%–46.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,503 | 40,722 | 55.3% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 17,700 | 40,030 | 44.2% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 23,208 | 39,015 | 59.5% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 17,942 | 38,655 | 46.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 22,191 | 38,110 | 58.2% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
109 precincts · 18,195 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 02GALESBURG CITY 02 | 444 | 360 | 18 | 822 | 54.0% | 43.8% | D+10.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 16GALESBURG CITY 16 | 435 | 367 | 16 | 818 | 53.2% | 44.9% | D+8.3 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 20GALESBURG CITY 20 | 432 | 360 | 10 | 802 | 53.9% | 44.9% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 14GALESBURG CITY 14 | 456 | 324 | 9 | 789 | 57.8% | 41.1% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -PERSIFERPERSIFER | 266 | 473 | 27 | 766 | 34.7% | 61.7% | R+27.0 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 17GALESBURG CITY 17 | 387 | 347 | 13 | 747 | 51.8% | 46.5% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -HENDERSONHENDERSON | 261 | 441 | 25 | 727 | 35.9% | 60.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 01GALESBURG CITY 01 | 395 | 280 | 15 | 690 | 57.2% | 40.6% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 19GALESBURG CITY 19 | 348 | 319 | 10 | 677 | 51.4% | 47.1% | D+4.3 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 18GALESBURG CITY 18 | 342 | 291 | 9 | 642 | 53.3% | 45.3% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 09GALESBURG CITY 09 | 316 | 296 | 15 | 627 | 50.4% | 47.2% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -INDIAN POINTINDIAN POINT | 185 | 410 | 18 | 613 | 30.2% | 66.9% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 05GALESBURG CITY 05 | 308 | 279 | 14 | 601 | 51.2% | 46.4% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct -SPARTASPARTA | 178 | 360 | 24 | 562 | 31.7% | 64.1% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 03GALESBURG CITY 03 | 276 | 269 | 15 | 560 | 49.3% | 48.0% | D+1.3 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 08GALESBURG CITY 08 | 270 | 253 | 17 | 540 | 50.0% | 46.9% | D+3.1 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 06GALESBURG CITY 06 | 282 | 233 | 7 | 522 | 54.0% | 44.6% | D+9.4 |
| Precinct -ONTARIOONTARIO | 165 | 324 | 16 | 505 | 32.7% | 64.2% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 13GALESBURG CITY 13 | 266 | 222 | 13 | 501 | 53.1% | 44.3% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -SALEMSALEM | 141 | 341 | 12 | 494 | 28.5% | 69.0% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 11GALESBURG CITY 11 | 346 | 128 | 11 | 485 | 71.3% | 26.4% | D+44.9 |
| Precinct -TRUROTRURO | 135 | 283 | 15 | 433 | 31.2% | 65.4% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 15GALESBURG CITY 15 | 201 | 198 | 9 | 408 | 49.3% | 48.5% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 10GALESBURG CITY 10 | 252 | 140 | 10 | 402 | 62.7% | 34.8% | D+27.9 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 07GALESBURG CITY 07 | 204 | 183 | 5 | 392 | 52.0% | 46.7% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -WALNUT GROVEWALNUT GROVE | 115 | 234 | 7 | 356 | 32.3% | 65.7% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 12GALESBURG CITY 12 | 186 | 124 | 8 | 318 | 58.5% | 39.0% | D+19.5 |
| Precinct -RIORIO | 101 | 187 | 11 | 299 | 33.8% | 62.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -ORANGEORANGE | 100 | 193 | 5 | 298 | 33.6% | 64.8% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -COPLEYCOPLEY | 59 | 179 | 8 | 246 | 24.0% | 72.8% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -MAQUONMAQUON | 63 | 177 | 4 | 244 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -HAW CREEKHAW CREEK | 56 | 162 | 7 | 225 | 24.9% | 72.0% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG CITY 04GALESBURG CITY 04 | 127 | 91 | 6 | 224 | 56.7% | 40.6% | D+16.1 |
| Precinct -VICTORIAVICTORIA | 64 | 140 | 6 | 210 | 30.5% | 66.7% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -GALESBURG TWPGALESBURG TWP | 67 | 123 | 8 | 198 | 33.8% | 62.1% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -ELBAELBA | 35 | 126 | 2 | 163 | 21.5% | 77.3% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -LYNNLYNN | 55 | 85 | 6 | 146 | 37.7% | 58.2% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -CHESTNUTCHESTNUT | 43 | 98 | 2 | 143 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.5 |
| CEDAR 1 Voting District17_1709500201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CEDAR 2 Voting District17_1709500202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CEDAR 3 Voting District17_1709500203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CEDAR 4 Voting District17_1709500204 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTNUT Voting District17_1709500601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COPLEY Voting District17_1709501401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELBA Voting District17_1709501701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 1 Voting District17_1709500001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 10 Voting District17_1709500010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 11 Voting District17_1709500011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 12 Voting District17_1709500012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 13 Voting District17_1709500013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 14 Voting District17_1709500014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 15 Voting District17_1709500015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 16 Voting District17_1709500016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 17 Voting District17_1709500017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 18 Voting District17_1709500018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 19 Voting District17_1709500019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 2 Voting District17_1709500002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 20 Voting District17_1709500020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 21 Voting District17_1709500021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 22 Voting District17_1709500022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 23 Voting District17_1709500023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 24 Voting District17_1709500024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 25 Voting District17_1709500025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 26 Voting District17_1709500026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 27 Voting District17_1709500027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 28 Voting District17_1709500028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 29 Voting District17_1709500029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 3 Voting District17_1709500003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 30 Voting District17_1709500030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 31 Voting District17_1709500031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 4 Voting District17_1709500004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 5 Voting District17_1709500005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 6 Voting District17_1709500006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 7 Voting District17_1709500007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 8 Voting District17_1709500008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG CITY 9 Voting District17_1709500009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GALESBURG TOWNSHIP Voting District17_1709500301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HAW CREEK Voting District17_1709501201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HENDERSON 1 Voting District17_1709500401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HENDERSON 2 Voting District17_1709500402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN POINT 1 Voting District17_1709500101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| INDIAN POINT 2 Voting District17_1709500102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 1 Voting District17_1709500801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 2 Voting District17_1709500802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 3 Voting District17_1709500803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 4 Voting District17_1709500804 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 5 Voting District17_1709500805 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KNOX 6 Voting District17_1709500806 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNN Voting District17_1709502001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MAQUON Voting District17_1709501101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ONTARIO Voting District17_1709501001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ORANGE Voting District17_1709500701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERSIFER Voting District17_1709501301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CEDAR 1CEDAR 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CEDAR 2CEDAR 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CEDAR 3CEDAR 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -CEDAR 4CEDAR 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 1KNOX 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 2KNOX 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 3KNOX 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 4KNOX 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 5KNOX 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct -KNOX 6KNOX 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RIO Voting District17_1709500501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SALEM Voting District17_1709501601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA Voting District17_1709500901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TRURO Voting District17_1709501801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VICTORIA Voting District17_1709501901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALNUT GROVE Voting District17_1709501501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −28.4% |
| 1896 | −36.9% |
| 1900 | −39.1% |
| 1904 | −55.8% |
| 1908 | −34.3% |
| 1912 | +9.6% |
| 1916 | −22.3% |
| 1920 | −57.1% |
| 1924 | −52.6% |
| 1928 | −45.5% |
| 1932 | +0.2% |
| 1936 | −3.5% |
| 1940 | −16.1% |
| 1944 | −22.5% |
| 1948 | −21.0% |
| 1952 | −28.4% |
| 1956 | −32.2% |
| 1960 | −20.3% |
| 1964 | +7.7% |
| 1968 | −17.1% |
| 1972 | −29.8% |
| 1976 | −10.0% |
| 1980 | −23.5% |
| 1984 | −10.9% |
| 1988 | +8.1% |
| 1992 | +16.6% |
| 1996 | +20.7% |
| 2000 | +11.5% |
| 2004 | +9.3% |
| 2008 | +19.9% |
| 2012 | +17.3% |
| 2016 | −2.9% |
| 2020 | −5.6% |
| 2024 | −9.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,520 |
| 2018 | 15,272 |
| 2020 | 15,323 |
| 2022 | 14,112 |
| 2024 | 14,656 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−87 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −4,374 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,908 in average income, against $67,738 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.2 on average — about the same lean as Knox County, IL (R+9.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Warren County, IL88R+25.1
- Peoria County, IL77D+4.6
- Henry County, IL42R+24.4
- Tazewell County, IL33R+26.6
- Cook County, IL32D+41.6
- Rock Island County, IL32D+9.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Peoria County, IL95
- Warren County, IL62
- Cook County, IL60
- Henry County, IL44
- Fulton County, IL36
- Rock Island County, IL34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −97 |
| 2012 | −306 |
| 2013 | −77 |
| 2014 | −206 |
| 2015 | −537 |
| 2016 | −403 |
| 2017 | −358 |
| 2018 | −586 |
| 2019 | −296 |
| 2021 | −259 |
| 2022 | −514 |
| 2023 | −496 |
| 2024 | −152 |
| 2025 | −87 |
Knox County, home to Galesburg and its storied railroad history, has shifted rightward over two decades as union-household demographics gave way to a smaller, older, less college-educated electorate — a pattern visible across Illinois's western tier.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.7 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.
A population of 49,046, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,030 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Des Moines County and Grays Harbor County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Knox County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.