- Lead
- 4,142
- Total
- 7,755
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- 65.2%
Richland County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.2% of 11,900 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,259
- Total
- 8,077
- vs nation
- R+57.2
- Turnout
- 79.5%
- Lead
- 4,155
- Total
- 7,694
- vs nation
- R+56.1
- Turnout
- 63.7%
- Lead
- 2,394
- Total
- 7,282
- vs nation
- R+36.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,148
- Total
- 7,650
- vs nation
- R+22.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,624
- Total
- 7,749
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,227
- Total
- 7,428
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 458
- Total
- 6,815
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+53.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,5982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.0 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jasper County, IL · twin score 93.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.2%7,755 participants ÷ 11,900 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.8%–46.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,874 | 12,355 | 63.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,253 | 12,081 | 51.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,491 | 11,943 | 79.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,365 | 11,978 | 53.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,755 | 11,900 | 65.2% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
43 precincts · 7,817 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OLNEY 7-4OLNEY 7-4 | 234 | 572 | 27 | 833 | 28.1% | 68.7% | R+40.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OLNEY 4-1OLNEY 4-1 | 135 | 380 | 13 | 528 | 25.6% | 72.0% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -PRESTON 1-1PRESTON 1-1 | 116 | 391 | 9 | 516 | 22.5% | 75.8% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -CLAREMONT-3CLAREMONT-3 | 73 | 422 | 13 | 508 | 14.4% | 83.1% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 11-1OLNEY 11-1 | 100 | 363 | 7 | 470 | 21.3% | 77.2% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 9-1OLNEY 9-1 | 108 | 354 | 7 | 469 | 23.0% | 75.5% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 5-1OLNEY 5-1 | 93 | 357 | 10 | 460 | 20.2% | 77.6% | R+57.4 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 10-1OLNEY 10-1 | 113 | 296 | 16 | 425 | 26.6% | 69.6% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 3-1OLNEY 3-1 | 99 | 303 | 11 | 413 | 24.0% | 73.4% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 1-2NOBLE 1-2 | 77 | 265 | 11 | 353 | 21.8% | 75.1% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 6-1OLNEY 6-1 | 108 | 228 | 8 | 344 | 31.4% | 66.3% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -NOBLE 2-2NOBLE 2-2 | 40 | 281 | 3 | 324 | 12.3% | 86.7% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 2-1OLNEY 2-1 | 106 | 189 | 13 | 308 | 34.4% | 61.4% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -OLNEY 1-4OLNEY 1-4 | 87 | 191 | 7 | 285 | 30.5% | 67.0% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -DECKER-2DECKER-2 | 35 | 222 | 3 | 260 | 13.5% | 85.4% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -BONPAS-3BONPAS-3 | 28 | 209 | 2 | 239 | 11.7% | 87.4% | R+75.7 |
| Precinct -DENVER-2DENVER-2 | 46 | 187 | 5 | 238 | 19.3% | 78.6% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -MADISON 2-3MADISON 2-3 | 45 | 169 | 4 | 218 | 20.6% | 77.5% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -GERMAN-1GERMAN-1 | 47 | 163 | 6 | 216 | 21.8% | 75.5% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -PRESTON 2-1PRESTON 2-1 | 33 | 179 | 3 | 215 | 15.3% | 83.3% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -MADISON 1-3MADISON 1-3 | 23 | 167 | 5 | 195 | 11.8% | 85.6% | R+73.8 |
| BONPAS Voting District17_17159BONP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CLAREMONT Voting District17_17159CLAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DECKER Voting District17_17159DECK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DENVER Voting District17_17159DENV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GERMAN Voting District17_17159GERM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON 1 Voting District17_17159MAD1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MADISON 2 Voting District17_17159MAD2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 1 Voting District17_17159NOB1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NOBLE 2 Voting District17_17159NOB2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 1 Voting District17_17159OL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 10 Voting District17_17159OL10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 11 Voting District17_17159OL11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 2 Voting District17_17159OL02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 3 Voting District17_17159OL03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 4 Voting District17_17159OL04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 5 Voting District17_17159OL05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 6 Voting District17_17159OL06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 7 Voting District17_17159OL07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 8 Voting District17_17159OL08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OLNEY 9 Voting District17_17159OL09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRESTON 1 Voting District17_17159PRE1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRESTON 2 Voting District17_17159PRE2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.2% |
| 1896 | +9.7% |
| 1900 | +6.3% |
| 1904 | −4.7% |
| 1908 | +6.7% |
| 1912 | +25.2% |
| 1916 | +6.6% |
| 1920 | −16.1% |
| 1924 | −5.4% |
| 1928 | −22.5% |
| 1932 | +21.6% |
| 1936 | +2.7% |
| 1940 | −7.3% |
| 1944 | −22.9% |
| 1948 | −22.5% |
| 1952 | −36.9% |
| 1956 | −36.2% |
| 1960 | −27.7% |
| 1964 | +4.2% |
| 1968 | −28.1% |
| 1972 | −37.0% |
| 1976 | −11.8% |
| 1980 | −34.2% |
| 1984 | −44.2% |
| 1988 | −19.6% |
| 1992 | +2.9% |
| 1996 | −6.7% |
| 2000 | −30.0% |
| 2004 | −33.9% |
| 2008 | −15.0% |
| 2012 | −32.9% |
| 2016 | −54.0% |
| 2020 | −52.7% |
| 2024 | −53.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 11,981 |
| 2018 | 11,783 |
| 2020 | 12,090 |
| 2022 | 11,932 |
| 2024 | 10,755 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−70 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −793 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,841 in average income, against $71,118 for residents who stayed — 40% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+60.4 on average — 7.0 points more Republican-leaning than Richland County, IL itself (R+53.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lawrence County, IL25R+56.2
- Jasper County, IL22R+65.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Edwards County, IL25
- Lawrence County, IL25
- Jasper County, IL24
- Clay County, IL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −40 |
| 2012 | −76 |
| 2013 | −106 |
| 2014 | +22 |
| 2015 | −54 |
| 2016 | −109 |
| 2017 | +29 |
| 2018 | −104 |
| 2019 | −157 |
| 2021 | +32 |
| 2022 | −109 |
| 2023 | +30 |
| 2024 | −81 |
| 2025 | −70 |
Richland County, tucked in southeastern Illinois's oil-patch belt, recorded an R+53.4 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state whose statewide results run sharply the other direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 54.0 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.4 points.
A population of 15,598, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,455 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jasper County and Wabash County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Richland County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17159/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.