- Lead
- 7,163
- Total
- 14,333
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 61.6%
Randolph County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 61.6% of 23,513 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,484
- Total
- 14,910
- vs nation
- R+54.6
- Turnout
- 59.1%
- Lead
- 6,584
- Total
- 14,194
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 53.8%
- Lead
- 2,531
- Total
- 14,438
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 143
- Total
- 15,202
- vs nation
- R+8.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,305
- Total
- 14,956
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 333
- Total
- 14,287
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,997
- Total
- 14,647
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,0582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,1312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Perry County, IL · twin score 87.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 61.6%14,476 participants ÷ 23,513 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -11.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.0%–53.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 14,205 | 26,392 | 53.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,575 | 25,958 | 48.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,070 | 25,502 | 59.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,588 | 23,898 | 48.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,476 | 23,513 | 61.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
74 precincts · 14,476 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -RED BUD 2RED BUD 2 | 174 | 460 | 18 | 652 | 26.7% | 70.6% | R+43.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ELLIS GROVEELLIS GROVE | 107 | 460 | 15 | 582 | 18.4% | 79.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -RED BUD 4RED BUD 4 | 134 | 415 | 17 | 566 | 23.7% | 73.3% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -RED BUD 5RED BUD 5 | 125 | 410 | 16 | 551 | 22.7% | 74.4% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIE DU ROCHERPRAIRIE DU ROCHER | 91 | 418 | 16 | 525 | 17.3% | 79.6% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -STEELEVILLE 2STEELEVILLE 2 | 123 | 367 | 16 | 506 | 24.3% | 72.5% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 3SPARTA 3 | 155 | 329 | 20 | 504 | 30.8% | 65.3% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -STEELEVILLE 3STEELEVILLE 3 | 118 | 360 | 16 | 494 | 23.9% | 72.9% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -EVANSVILLEEVANSVILLE | 110 | 369 | 9 | 488 | 22.5% | 75.6% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 4CHESTER 4 | 113 | 357 | 11 | 481 | 23.5% | 74.2% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 6CHESTER 6 | 139 | 324 | 13 | 476 | 29.2% | 68.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -RED BUD 1RED BUD 1 | 92 | 369 | 7 | 468 | 19.7% | 78.8% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -BALDWINBALDWIN | 76 | 375 | 12 | 463 | 16.4% | 81.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -TILDENTILDEN | 112 | 337 | 9 | 458 | 24.5% | 73.6% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -RED BUD 3RED BUD 3 | 93 | 352 | 9 | 454 | 20.5% | 77.5% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -RUMARUMA | 81 | 357 | 8 | 446 | 18.2% | 80.0% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 4SPARTA 4 | 136 | 298 | 12 | 446 | 30.5% | 66.8% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -PERCYPERCY | 97 | 329 | 11 | 437 | 22.2% | 75.3% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -STEELEVILLE 1STEELEVILLE 1 | 100 | 315 | 12 | 427 | 23.4% | 73.8% | R+50.4 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 3CHESTER 3 | 108 | 292 | 10 | 410 | 26.3% | 71.2% | R+44.9 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 6SPARTA 6 | 126 | 237 | 13 | 376 | 33.5% | 63.0% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 2SPARTA 2 | 112 | 247 | 13 | 372 | 30.1% | 66.4% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 7CHESTER 7 | 79 | 279 | 6 | 364 | 21.7% | 76.6% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -PALESTINEPALESTINE | 97 | 230 | 12 | 339 | 28.6% | 67.8% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 1SPARTA 1 | 118 | 205 | 6 | 329 | 35.9% | 62.3% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -COULTERVILLE 2COULTERVILLE 2 | 79 | 237 | 11 | 327 | 24.2% | 72.5% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -SPARTA 5SPARTA 5 | 95 | 202 | 9 | 306 | 31.0% | 66.0% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 1CHESTER 1 | 70 | 226 | 5 | 301 | 23.3% | 75.1% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -WINE HILLWINE HILL | 61 | 211 | 7 | 279 | 21.9% | 75.6% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -CENTRALCENTRAL | 46 | 220 | 5 | 271 | 17.0% | 81.2% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -COULTERVILLE 1COULTERVILLE 1 | 60 | 196 | 4 | 260 | 23.1% | 75.4% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -BREMENBREMEN | 35 | 204 | 14 | 253 | 13.8% | 80.6% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -WALSHWALSH | 55 | 183 | 6 | 244 | 22.5% | 75.0% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 5CHESTER 5 | 42 | 180 | 11 | 233 | 18.0% | 77.3% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -CHESTER 2CHESTER 2 | 55 | 134 | 2 | 191 | 28.8% | 70.2% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -ROCKWOODROCKWOOD | 35 | 127 | 8 | 170 | 20.6% | 74.7% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -KASKASKIAKASKASKIA | 12 | 13 | 2 | 27 | 44.4% | 48.1% | R+3.7 |
| BALDWIN Voting District17_1715700101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BREMEN Voting District17_1715700301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BREWERVILLE Voting District17_1715700401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CENTRAL Voting District17_1715700501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 1 Voting District17_1715700601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 2 Voting District17_1715700602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 3 Voting District17_1715700603 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 4 Voting District17_1715700604 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 5 Voting District17_1715700605 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 6 Voting District17_1715700606 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHESTER 7 Voting District17_1715700607 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COULTERVILLE 1 Voting District17_1715700701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COULTERVILLE 2 Voting District17_1715700702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ELLIS GROVE Voting District17_1715700801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EVANSVILLE Voting District17_1715700901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KASKASKIA Voting District17_1715701001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PALESTINE Voting District17_1715701101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERCY Voting District17_1715701201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE-DU-ROCHER Voting District17_1715701301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED BUD 1 Voting District17_1715701401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED BUD 2 Voting District17_1715701402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED BUD 3 Voting District17_1715701403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RED BUD 4 Voting District17_1715701404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKWOOD Voting District17_1715701501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RUMA Voting District17_1715701601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 1 Voting District17_1715701701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 2 Voting District17_1715701702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 3 Voting District17_1715701703 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 4 Voting District17_1715701704 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 5 Voting District17_1715701705 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPARTA 6 Voting District17_1715701706 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEELEVILLE 1 Voting District17_1715701801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEELEVILLE 2 Voting District17_1715701802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| STEELEVILLE 3 Voting District17_1715701803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TILDEN Voting District17_1715701901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALSH Voting District17_1715702001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WINE HILL Voting District17_1715702101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +5.0% |
| 1896 | +0.9% |
| 1900 | +3.6% |
| 1904 | −11.6% |
| 1908 | +2.0% |
| 1912 | +26.1% |
| 1916 | −1.0% |
| 1920 | −30.3% |
| 1924 | −7.3% |
| 1928 | +4.2% |
| 1932 | +28.5% |
| 1936 | +7.6% |
| 1940 | −8.9% |
| 1944 | −9.6% |
| 1948 | −0.1% |
| 1952 | −9.3% |
| 1956 | −10.9% |
| 1960 | −4.2% |
| 1964 | +22.6% |
| 1968 | −11.3% |
| 1972 | −20.5% |
| 1976 | +3.0% |
| 1980 | −17.8% |
| 1984 | −19.3% |
| 1988 | +2.9% |
| 1992 | +21.9% |
| 1996 | +13.6% |
| 2000 | −2.3% |
| 2004 | −8.7% |
| 2008 | −0.9% |
| 2012 | −17.5% |
| 2016 | −46.4% |
| 2020 | −50.2% |
| 2024 | −50.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 21,563 |
| 2018 | 23,651 |
| 2020 | 21,133 |
| 2022 | 19,703 |
| 2024 | 20,743 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+92 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,414 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,913 in average income, against $72,348 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.7 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Randolph County, IL itself (R+50.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Clair County, IL94D+7.8
- Monroe County, IL52R+36.3
- Perry County, IL50R+51.9
- Jackson County, IL35D+3.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Clair County, IL80
- Monroe County, IL60
- Perry County, IL56
- Jackson County, IL35
- Perry County, MO30
- St. Louis County, MO27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −33 |
| 2012 | −323 |
| 2013 | +112 |
| 2014 | −50 |
| 2015 | −250 |
| 2016 | −352 |
| 2017 | −106 |
| 2018 | −95 |
| 2019 | −344 |
| 2021 | +239 |
| 2022 | −231 |
| 2023 | −109 |
| 2024 | +36 |
| 2025 | +92 |
Randolph County sits along Illinois's southwestern border with Missouri, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+50 points places it among the state's most lopsided rural counties — a sharp contrast to the statewide outcome.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 30,058, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,131 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Perry County and Bond County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Randolph County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17157/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.