- Lead
- 1,012
- Total
- 3,439
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Turnout
- 77.8%
Hamilton County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.8% of 4,460 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,047
- Total
- 3,460
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- 90.2%
- Lead
- 1,115
- Total
- 3,225
- vs nation
- R+36.7
- Turnout
- 84.1%
- Lead
- 804
- Total
- 3,113
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 916
- Total
- 3,411
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,330
- Total
- 3,695
- vs nation
- R+33.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 3,682
- vs nation
- R+35.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 613
- Total
- 3,612
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,0892024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,8352024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.6 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Indian River County, FL · twin score 74.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.8%3,472 participants ÷ 4,460 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +23.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.1%–60.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,277 | 3,895 | 84.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,869 | 3,928 | 73.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,460 | 3,836 | 90.2% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,933 | 4,413 | 66.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,472 | 4,460 | 77.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 3,439 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0400001360410400001 | 327 | 411 | 1 | 739 | 44.2% | 55.6% | R+11.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 0600001360410600001 | 139 | 467 | 2 | 608 | 22.9% | 76.8% | R+53.9 |
| Precinct 0900001360410900001 | 121 | 378 | 1 | 500 | 24.2% | 75.6% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct 0700001360410700001 | 230 | 233 | 1 | 464 | 49.6% | 50.2% | R+0.6 |
| Precinct 0300001360410300001 | 70 | 193 | 0 | 263 | 26.6% | 73.4% | R+46.8 |
| Precinct 0500001360410500001 | 94 | 131 | 0 | 225 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct 0100001360410100001 | 70 | 152 | 0 | 222 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct 0200001360410200001 | 33 | 98 | 0 | 131 | 25.2% | 74.8% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct 0400002360410400002 | 72 | 43 | 0 | 115 | 62.6% | 37.4% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct 0700002360410700002 | 41 | 54 | 0 | 95 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 0800001360410800001 | 14 | 63 | 0 | 77 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +2.6% |
| 1896 | −31.7% |
| 1900 | −12.0% |
| 1904 | −2.4% |
| 1908 | −3.6% |
| 1912 | +3.4% |
| 1916 | +0.9% |
| 1920 | −26.0% |
| 1924 | −24.9% |
| 1928 | −19.0% |
| 1932 | −18.2% |
| 1936 | −28.9% |
| 1940 | −41.4% |
| 1944 | −37.6% |
| 1948 | −45.0% |
| 1952 | −65.4% |
| 1956 | −69.6% |
| 1960 | −46.3% |
| 1964 | +11.6% |
| 1968 | −44.6% |
| 1972 | −56.0% |
| 1976 | −37.2% |
| 1980 | −34.5% |
| 1984 | −56.2% |
| 1988 | −40.5% |
| 1992 | −28.2% |
| 1996 | −17.0% |
| 2000 | −34.6% |
| 2004 | −36.0% |
| 2008 | −26.9% |
| 2012 | −25.8% |
| 2016 | −34.6% |
| 2020 | −30.3% |
| 2024 | −29.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.8%1,019 | 67.2%2,089 | 3,108 |
| 2020 | R | 32.1%1,100 | 67.9%2,326 | 3,426 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.2 points more Republican.
4,423 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−28 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +34 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,929 in average income, against $74,816 for residents who stayed — 20% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −13 |
| 2012 | +8 |
| 2013 | −13 |
| 2014 | −15 |
| 2015 | +26 |
| 2016 | −117 |
| 2017 | −44 |
| 2018 | +7 |
| 2019 | +20 |
| 2021 | +88 |
| 2022 | +47 |
| 2023 | +8 |
| 2024 | +60 |
| 2025 | −28 |
Hamilton County's roughly 5,400 residents are spread across the Adirondack wilderness, making it the smallest county by population in New York and one where Republican presidential candidates have carried comfortable margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 69.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.4 points.
A population of 5,089, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,835 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Indian River County and Worcester County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hamilton County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.