- Lead
- 5,753
- Total
- 12,966
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 65.3%
Lewis County, NY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.3% of 20,434 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,067
- Total
- 12,939
- vs nation
- R+43.6
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 4,254
- Total
- 11,325
- vs nation
- R+39.7
- Turnout
- 55.9%
- Lead
- 927
- Total
- 10,522
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 983
- Total
- 11,138
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,078
- Total
- 11,397
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,770
- Total
- 10,932
- vs nation
- R+16.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 437
- Total
- 10,185
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 26,6072024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,1822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.8 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ste. Genevieve County, MO · twin score 80.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.3%13,349 participants ÷ 20,434 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.2%–54.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,455 | 20,507 | 55.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,495 | 20,243 | 46.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,058 | 20,178 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,753 | 20,441 | 52.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,349 | 20,434 | 65.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
32 precincts · 13,054 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 0800001360490800001 | 567 | 713 | 12 | 1,292 | 43.9% | 55.2% | R+11.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 1200001360491200001 | 317 | 838 | 10 | 1,165 | 27.2% | 71.9% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct 0100001360490100001 | 207 | 699 | 11 | 917 | 22.6% | 76.2% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct 0200001360490200001 | 208 | 664 | 3 | 875 | 23.8% | 75.9% | R+52.1 |
| Precinct 1600001360491600001 | 205 | 571 | 9 | 785 | 26.1% | 72.7% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct 0300001360490300001 | 245 | 513 | 17 | 775 | 31.6% | 66.2% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct 0400001360490400001 | 222 | 451 | 3 | 676 | 32.8% | 66.7% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct 0700001360490700001 | 120 | 524 | 5 | 649 | 18.5% | 80.7% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct 1000001360491000001 | 175 | 443 | 3 | 621 | 28.2% | 71.3% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 0100002360490100002 | 112 | 386 | 4 | 502 | 22.3% | 76.9% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct 1700001360491700001 | 88 | 374 | 3 | 465 | 18.9% | 80.4% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct 0800002360490800002 | 195 | 266 | 3 | 464 | 42.0% | 57.3% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct 0600001360490600001 | 73 | 364 | 1 | 438 | 16.7% | 83.1% | R+66.4 |
| Precinct 0900001360490900001 | 62 | 344 | 2 | 408 | 15.2% | 84.3% | R+69.1 |
| Precinct 1500001360491500001 | 60 | 250 | 4 | 314 | 19.1% | 79.6% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct 0200002360490200002 | 80 | 203 | 2 | 285 | 28.1% | 71.2% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct 0500001360490500001 | 45 | 210 | 1 | 256 | 17.6% | 82.0% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct 1700002360491700002 | 67 | 175 | 1 | 243 | 27.6% | 72.0% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct 0800004360490800004 | 65 | 157 | 1 | 223 | 29.1% | 70.4% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct 1600002360491600002 | 76 | 122 | 0 | 198 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct 0100003360490100003 | 58 | 122 | 3 | 183 | 31.7% | 66.7% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct 0700002360490700002 | 43 | 139 | 0 | 182 | 23.6% | 76.4% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct 1400001360491400001 | 39 | 140 | 0 | 179 | 21.8% | 78.2% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct 0800003360490800003 | 54 | 115 | 0 | 169 | 32.0% | 68.0% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct 1700003360491700003 | 33 | 118 | 1 | 152 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct 1300001360491300001 | 33 | 107 | 0 | 140 | 23.6% | 76.4% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct 1200002360491200002 | 41 | 78 | 0 | 119 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct 1500002360491500002 | 43 | 70 | 2 | 115 | 37.4% | 60.9% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct 1200003360491200003 | 37 | 69 | 0 | 106 | 34.9% | 65.1% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct 0900002360490900002 | 14 | 69 | 0 | 83 | 16.9% | 83.1% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct 1100001360491100001 | 9 | 42 | 0 | 51 | 17.6% | 82.4% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct 0900003360490900003 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 24 | 29.2% | 70.8% | R+41.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.8% |
| 1896 | −18.6% |
| 1900 | −20.0% |
| 1904 | −19.3% |
| 1908 | −18.9% |
| 1912 | +4.5% |
| 1916 | −11.9% |
| 1920 | −37.2% |
| 1924 | −36.0% |
| 1928 | −26.6% |
| 1932 | −20.8% |
| 1936 | −41.9% |
| 1940 | −39.7% |
| 1944 | −29.0% |
| 1948 | −27.3% |
| 1952 | −44.4% |
| 1956 | −50.8% |
| 1960 | −24.1% |
| 1964 | +34.8% |
| 1968 | −25.3% |
| 1972 | −37.5% |
| 1976 | −21.6% |
| 1980 | −9.8% |
| 1984 | −43.7% |
| 1988 | −15.1% |
| 1992 | −3.9% |
| 1996 | +4.3% |
| 2000 | −16.2% |
| 2004 | −18.2% |
| 2008 | −8.8% |
| 2012 | −8.8% |
| 2016 | −37.6% |
| 2020 | −39.2% |
| 2024 | −44.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 26.1%3,042 | 73.9%8,631 | 11,673 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.9 points more Democratic.
19,770 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,771 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,793 in average income, against $67,463 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Lewis County, NY itself (R+44.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jefferson County, NY140R+23.6
- Oneida County, NY61R+21.2
- St. Lawrence County, NY22R+18.0
- Oswego County, NY20R+24.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, NY149
- Oneida County, NY80
- St. Lawrence County, NY25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −112 |
| 2012 | +23 |
| 2013 | −219 |
| 2014 | −132 |
| 2015 | −358 |
| 2016 | −281 |
| 2017 | −154 |
| 2018 | −181 |
| 2019 | −250 |
| 2021 | +117 |
| 2022 | −116 |
| 2023 | −45 |
| 2024 | −46 |
| 2025 | −17 |
Tucked against the Tug Hill Plateau, Lewis County delivered a 44-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the state's sharpest rural-urban contrasts in a cycle where New York's statewide result ran in the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.8 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.4 points.
A population of 26,607, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,182 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ste. Genevieve County and Arenac County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lewis County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.