HarrisDemocratic55.5%285,156TrumpRepublican41.8%214,406KennedyKennedy1.0%5,045
D+13.8- Lead
- 70,750
- Total
- 513,386
- vs nation
- D+15.3
- Turnout
- 63.2%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+13.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,101,8012024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,066 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,034 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,7962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Massachusetts, MA · twin score 75.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 63.2%522,164 participants ÷ 826,622 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.7%–47.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 469,547 | 780,248 | 60.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 389,161 | 789,062 | 49.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 519,412 | 795,022 | 65.3% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 361,275 | 824,516 | 43.8% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 522,164 | 826,622 | 63.2% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
80.9%
315,463 votes · D+61.7
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 64.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
68.3%
37,437 votes · R+41.9
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 64.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
315,463votes
80.9% of the vote · D+61.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 307,486 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
225,819votes
58.3% of the vote · R+16.5
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 220,383 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+39.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+61.7 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +32.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+35.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.9 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +17.2 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governorno nominee yet
Dan McKeeHelena FoulkesKen Block
Not an open seat: incumbent Gov. Dan McKee (D) is running for a second full term, but he faces a serious, genuinely contested Democratic primary against Helena Foulkes (former CVS executive, 2022 candidate), who leads in polling and won the state party endorsement over McKee. Both are 'candidate' (not presumptive). Ken Block is a notable independent. Primary moved from Sept 8 to Wednesday Sept 9 2026 due to the Labor Day setup crunch; not yet held. GOP field has no major candidate of note.
U.S. Senateno nominee yet
Jack Reedpresumptive nomineeRay McKaypresumptive nominee
Primary Sept 9, 2026 (not yet held). Reed presumptive D; McKay presumptive R after Allen Waters left for Providence mayor.
U.S. House elections · 50 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 | 60.4% | 37.2% | 484,598 | |
| D 2 | 56.4% | 41.9% | 357,823 | |
| D 2 | 64.0% | 22.5% | 488,417 | |
| D 2 | 65.0% | 34.8% | 373,280 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+19.3
Presidential vote · 2024D+13.8
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 5.5 points more Republican than the rolls.
689,737 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−1,551 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −48,378 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6,018 |
| 2012 | −5,043 |
| 2013 | −4,539 |
| 2014 | −3,539 |
| 2015 | −5,129 |
| 2016 | −4,458 |
| 2017 | −3,912 |
| 2018 | −2,769 |
| 2019 | −3,215 |
| 2021 | +405 |
| 2022 | −4,992 |
| 2023 | −3,254 |
| 2024 | −364 |
| 2025 | −1,551 |
Even in the most Catholic state in the country, reliably Democratic since 1988, the margin slid 6.8 points toward Trump in 2024 — and Kent County came within two points.
- Blue, but narrowing
- D+20.6 (2020) → D+13.8 (2024) — a 6.8-pt move toward Trump, with the working-class Northeast · MIT Election Lab
- The most Catholic state
- 40.6% of residents are Catholic adherents — 1st of 50 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- Italian and Portuguese roots
- 14.7% Italian and 7.0% Portuguese ancestry — among the highest of any state; 16.1% Irish · ACS 2024 5-year (B04006)
- Providence holds the state
- 269,989 of 513,386 votes and 151,508 of the Democratic vote — over half of each; D+14.4, down from D+22.9 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest
- Bristol D+26.4 (bluest); Kent the closest at D+1.9, down from D+7.6 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Senate race in 2026
- Sen. Jack Reed (D), in office since 1996, stands for re-election vs Ray McKay (R) · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
75.8twin score
2000–2008 trajectory% Catholic≠ 12-yr trend
New York
New York
75.1twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ population scale
New Jersey
New Jersey
71.5twin score
12-yr trend2000–2016 trajectory% Evangelical≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/RI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Rhode Island at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Rhode Island
More in Rhode Island
Frequently asked questions
How did Rhode Island vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rhode Island voted Democratic by 13.8 points (D+13.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 513,386 votes cast, 285,156 went Democratic and 214,406 went Republican.
When did Rhode Island last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Rhode Island voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Rhode Island?
Rhode Island has a population of 1,101,801 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rhode Island?
Median household income in Rhode Island is $87,796 — above the national median of $80,734. The Rhode Island state median is $87,796.
What is the political history of Rhode Island?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Rhode Island from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.