Akashic
1876–2024
Governors / Governor

Rhode Island — Governor

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Likely D

We expect Democratic to win 82%.

RatingLikely D
Win probabilityD 82%
Predicted marginD+13.8
The substrate
2024 baselineD+13.8
2022 resultD+19.1
Seat held byDemocratic

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the RI state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All Governors races →