Monmouth County, New Jersey: Democratic loyalist county. In 2024, voted R+11%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 645,3532024 5-year
- Median household income
- $124,8452024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cape May County, NJ · similarity 0.91
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 156,382 | 197,409 | 361,596 | ||
| R | 181,291 | 191,808 | 375,807 | ||
| R | 137,181 | 166,723 | 317,750 | ||
| R | 133,820 | 148,000 | 285,667 | ||
| R | 148,737 | 160,433 | 312,616 | ||
| R | 133,773 | 163,650 | 299,939 | ||
| D | 131,476 | 119,291 | 262,141 | ||
| D | 120,414 | 99,975 | 248,961 | ||
| R | 101,750 | 117,715 | 266,116 | ||
| R | 91,844 | 147,320 | 240,957 | ||
| R | 79,382 | 152,595 | 232,909 | ||
| R | 71,328 | 120,173 | 211,971 | ||
| R | 88,956 | 110,104 | 202,790 | ||
| R | 63,176 | 124,830 | 189,977 | ||
| R | 69,669 | 87,311 | 170,456 | ||
| D | 95,320 | 61,367 | 157,055 | ||
| R | 62,434 | 81,382 | 144,060 | ||
| R | 32,329 | 83,828 | 116,751 | ||
| R | 37,006 | 73,228 | 110,491 | ||
| R | 30,507 | 52,908 | 85,033 | ||
| R | 34,720 | 49,349 | 84,122 | ||
| R | 36,298 | 49,675 | 86,047 | ||
| R | 38,914 | 41,460 | 80,767 | ||
| R | 35,219 | 40,467 | 76,741 | ||
| R | 24,286 | 47,046 | 71,454 | ||
| R | 14,931 | 34,451 | 52,482 | ||
| R | 12,975 | 28,818 | 42,336 | ||
| R | 10,729 | 11,624 | 22,590 | ||
| D | 9,799 | 3,683 | 20,182 | ||
| R | 9,252 | 12,519 | 22,239 | ||
| R | 9,032 | 10,885 | 20,534 | ||
| R | 8,568 | 10,363 | 19,514 | ||
| R | 7,799 | 10,611 | 19,197 | ||
| D | 9,013 | 7,676 | 17,277 | ||
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Demographics
Monmouth's mix of affluent Shore towns, commuter suburbs, and rural inland townships once made it a competitive swing county, but its presidential margins have widened toward Republicans by double digits over the past two election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Monmouth County reached its widest at thirty points in 1912. The margin in 2024 was eleven points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $124,845, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 645,353 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cape May County and Dorchester County.
Monmouth County, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/34025/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
