- Lead
- 7,410
- Total
- 28,117
- vs nation
- D+27.8
- Turnout
- 71.0%
Bristol County, RI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.0% of 40,351 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,305
- Total
- 28,415
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Turnout
- 74.5%
- Lead
- 5,644
- Total
- 25,475
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- 67.5%
- Lead
- 5,743
- Total
- 24,676
- vs nation
- D+19.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,902
- Total
- 25,807
- vs nation
- D+19.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,593
- Total
- 24,732
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,049
- Total
- 23,272
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,269
- Total
- 21,671
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+26.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 50,4902024 5-year
- Median household income
- $114,4902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, RI · twin score 97.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.0%28,668 participants ÷ 40,351 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.1%–54.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,821 | 38,260 | 67.5% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 21,952 | 38,251 | 57.4% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 28,608 | 38,419 | 74.5% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,789 | 40,356 | 51.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,668 | 40,351 | 71.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 28,335 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -001-Bristol001-Bristol | 6,556 | 4,711 | 305 | 11,572 | 56.7% | 40.7% | D+15.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001-Barrington001-Barrington | 7,418 | 2,886 | 353 | 10,657 | 69.6% | 27.1% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct -001-Warren001-Warren | 3,484 | 2,451 | 171 | 6,106 | 57.1% | 40.1% | D+16.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.7% |
| 1896 | −49.0% |
| 1900 | −26.3% |
| 1904 | −20.0% |
| 1908 | −27.2% |
| 1912 | −1.8% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −39.4% |
| 1924 | −23.4% |
| 1928 | +3.8% |
| 1932 | +10.8% |
| 1936 | +4.3% |
| 1940 | +5.8% |
| 1944 | +12.2% |
| 1948 | +17.1% |
| 1952 | −0.9% |
| 1956 | −19.8% |
| 1960 | +19.1% |
| 1964 | +52.4% |
| 1968 | +21.4% |
| 1972 | −9.5% |
| 1976 | +5.1% |
| 1980 | +6.1% |
| 1984 | −10.7% |
| 1988 | +2.5% |
| 1992 | +12.9% |
| 1996 | +24.3% |
| 2000 | +21.7% |
| 2004 | +18.6% |
| 2008 | +26.7% |
| 2012 | +23.3% |
| 2016 | +22.2% |
| 2020 | +29.2% |
| 2024 | +26.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 66.7%17,098 | 33.3%8,553 | 25,651 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950Special · Class I | D | 61.0%John O. Pastore7,402 | 39.0%Austin T. Levy4,727 | 12,129 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 5.9 points more Republican.
35,122 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+21 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −124 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $110,863 in average income, against $147,559 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+19.8 on average — 6.6 points more Republican-leaning than Bristol County, RI itself (D+26.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Newport County, RI186D+25.5
- Bristol County, MA152D+1.3
- Norfolk County, MA37D+28.5
- Middlesex County, MA36D+39.2
- Suffolk County, MA32D+52.1
- Plymouth County, MA28D+8.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bristol County, MA152
- Newport County, RI135
- Suffolk County, MA42
- New York County, NY41
- Middlesex County, MA40
- Norfolk County, MA23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −516 |
| 2012 | +47 |
| 2013 | +59 |
| 2014 | −74 |
| 2015 | +152 |
| 2016 | −88 |
| 2017 | +128 |
| 2018 | +34 |
| 2019 | +6 |
| 2021 | +223 |
| 2022 | −232 |
| 2023 | +158 |
| 2024 | −42 |
| 2025 | +21 |
Bristol County covers just three towns on a narrow peninsula between Narragansett Bay and Mount Hope Bay, yet its dense concentration of college-educated coastal residents has made it one of Rhode Island's most reliably Democratic jurisdictions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.4 points.
A population of 50,490, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,490 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Newport County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bristol County, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/44001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.