- Lead
- 38,950
- Total
- 269,989
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Turnout
- 58.2%
Providence County, RI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.2% of 473,328 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 62,461
- Total
- 272,667
- vs nation
- D+18.5
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 52,017
- Total
- 248,474
- vs nation
- D+18.8
- Turnout
- 56.5%
- Lead
- 83,735
- Total
- 239,786
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 86,956
- Total
- 252,553
- vs nation
- D+27.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 62,474
- Total
- 231,324
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 81,091
- Total
- 218,308
- vs nation
- D+36.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 84,965
- Total
- 212,122
- vs nation
- D+31.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 664,8542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $78,7872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampden County, MA · twin score 93.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.2%275,369 participants ÷ 473,328 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.1%–41.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 251,687 | 445,097 | 56.5% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 205,079 | 452,478 | 45.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 274,155 | 456,808 | 60.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 179,259 | 472,702 | 37.9% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 275,369 | 473,328 | 58.2% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 269,679 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -007-Providence007-Providence | 40,830 | 12,745 | 1,905 | 55,480 | 73.6% | 23.0% | D+50.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -007-Cranston007-Cranston | 21,299 | 18,702 | 1,000 | 41,001 | 51.9% | 45.6% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct -007-Pawtucket007-Pawtucket | 15,838 | 7,961 | 719 | 24,518 | 64.6% | 32.5% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct -007-East Providence007-East Providence | 13,852 | 8,649 | 588 | 23,089 | 60.0% | 37.5% | D+22.5 |
| Precinct -007-Cumberland007-Cumberland | 10,218 | 8,853 | 542 | 19,613 | 52.1% | 45.1% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -007-North Providence007-North Providence | 8,613 | 7,496 | 346 | 16,455 | 52.3% | 45.6% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -007-Johnston007-Johnston | 6,265 | 9,230 | 304 | 15,799 | 39.7% | 58.4% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -007-Woonsocket007-Woonsocket | 6,428 | 6,615 | 289 | 13,332 | 48.2% | 49.6% | R+1.4 |
| Precinct -007-Lincoln007-Lincoln | 6,344 | 6,037 | 337 | 12,718 | 49.9% | 47.5% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -007-Smithfield007-Smithfield | 5,302 | 6,200 | 287 | 11,789 | 45.0% | 52.6% | R+7.6 |
| Precinct -007-Burrillville007-Burrillville | 3,206 | 5,412 | 191 | 8,809 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -007-North Smithfield007-North Smithfield | 3,390 | 3,720 | 173 | 7,283 | 46.5% | 51.1% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -007-Scituate007-Scituate | 2,574 | 4,033 | 162 | 6,769 | 38.0% | 59.6% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -007-Glocester007-Glocester | 2,512 | 3,792 | 132 | 6,436 | 39.0% | 58.9% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -007-Central Falls007-Central Falls | 2,295 | 1,227 | 82 | 3,604 | 63.7% | 34.0% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -007-Foster007-Foster | 1,136 | 1,771 | 77 | 2,984 | 38.1% | 59.3% | R+21.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.3% |
| 1896 | −37.7% |
| 1900 | −21.5% |
| 1904 | −23.2% |
| 1908 | −24.5% |
| 1912 | +5.9% |
| 1916 | −1.7% |
| 1920 | −26.0% |
| 1924 | −18.6% |
| 1928 | +6.2% |
| 1932 | +16.5% |
| 1936 | +17.9% |
| 1940 | +18.7% |
| 1944 | +22.3% |
| 1948 | +22.5% |
| 1952 | +3.7% |
| 1956 | −11.6% |
| 1960 | +35.0% |
| 1964 | +67.0% |
| 1968 | +39.5% |
| 1972 | −0.1% |
| 1976 | +16.3% |
| 1980 | +16.3% |
| 1984 | +3.4% |
| 1988 | +18.0% |
| 1992 | +22.0% |
| 1996 | +40.1% |
| 2000 | +37.1% |
| 2004 | +27.0% |
| 2008 | +34.4% |
| 2012 | +34.9% |
| 2016 | +20.9% |
| 2020 | +22.9% |
| 2024 | +14.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950Special · Class I | D | 64.6%John O. Pastore143,573 | 35.4%Austin T. Levy78,714 | 222,287 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 10 points more Democratic.
381,895 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2,765 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −47,731 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,671 in average income, against $78,000 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.4 on average — 2.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Providence County, RI itself (D+14.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kent County, RI1,891D+1.9
- Bristol County, MA1,424D+1.3
- Norfolk County, MA691D+28.5
- Suffolk County, MA676D+52.1
- Worcester County, MA570D+10.0
- Middlesex County, MA555D+39.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kent County, RI2,400
- Bristol County, MA1,087
- Washington County, RI597
- Norfolk County, MA513
- Worcester County, MA497
- Suffolk County, MA474
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3,923 |
| 2012 | −3,750 |
| 2013 | −4,729 |
| 2014 | −3,554 |
| 2015 | −4,420 |
| 2016 | −4,221 |
| 2017 | −4,285 |
| 2018 | −2,907 |
| 2019 | −2,744 |
| 2021 | −2,820 |
| 2022 | −4,383 |
| 2023 | −2,672 |
| 2024 | −558 |
| 2025 | −2,765 |
Home to more than half of Rhode Island's residents, Providence County combines a majority-minority capital city with older post-industrial suburbs, producing consistent Democratic margins that have held above ten points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.4 points.
A population of 664,854, a 57% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,787 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampden County and Camden County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Providence County, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/44007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.