- Lead
- 1,813
- Total
- 8,879
- vs nation
- R+18.9
Rhode Island 40th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,093
- Total
- 8,673
- vs nation
- R+17.1
- Lead
- 1,323
- Total
- 7,537
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Lead
- 308
- Total
- 6,733
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Lead
- 410
- Total
- 7,176
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Lead
- 871
- Total
- 6,775
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Lead
- 58
- Total
- 6,200
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 472
- Total
- 5,960
- vs nation
- R+0.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,0332024 5-year
- Population density
- 115 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 122 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $114,4082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 47, RI · twin score 97.2
presidential history
Party record book
Rhode Island 40th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.1%
4,225 votes · D+38.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 48.0%
Republican
William McKinley1896
83.8%
1,100 votes · R+71.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James A. Garfield, 1880 · 82.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
4,225votes
69.1% of the vote · D+38.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,692 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
6,560votes
74.3% of the vote · R+48.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 6,196 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +2.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+65.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+71.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +50.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 62.0%3,371 | 38.0%2,069 | 5,440 |
District 40 recorded a 20.4-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, an unusual result in a state that leans heavily Democratic statewide, signaling a distinct voter profile from most of its neighbors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 71.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.4 points.
A population of 14,033, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $114,408 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 47 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Rhode Island 40th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/44040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.