- Lead
- 74,362
- Total
- 788,664
- vs nation
- D+10.9
Providence-New Bedford
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 139,878
- Total
- 797,747
- vs nation
- D+13.1
- Lead
- 95,495
- Total
- 720,102
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Lead
- 171,793
- Total
- 687,225
- vs nation
- D+21.1
- Lead
- 188,034
- Total
- 713,159
- vs nation
- D+19.1
- Lead
- 156,044
- Total
- 670,012
- vs nation
- D+25.7
- Lead
- 192,430
- Total
- 620,449
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Lead
- 208,928
- Total
- 588,460
- vs nation
- D+27.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,684,0712024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,061 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,587 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,2042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Springfield-Holyoke, MA · twin score 89.7
presidential history
Party record book
Providence-New Bedford · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
80.2%
462,348 votes · D+60.4
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 64.7%
Republican
William McKinley1896
71.0%
59,066 votes · R+46.4
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
462,348votes
80.2% of the vote · D+60.4
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 459,587 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
348,607votes
44.2% of the vote · D+9.4
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 335,361 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+37.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.4 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +33.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+40.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+46.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +20.2 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 9.9 points more Republican than the rolls.
689,737 registered voters · 2026 · up from 427,089 in 2025
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−645 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −42,704 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −7,417 |
| 2012 | −5,043 |
| 2013 | −4,813 |
| 2014 | −2,499 |
| 2015 | −5,019 |
| 2016 | −5,311 |
| 2017 | −2,946 |
| 2018 | −1,494 |
| 2019 | −3,185 |
| 2021 | +3,180 |
| 2022 | −5,707 |
| 2023 | −2,075 |
| 2024 | +270 |
| 2025 | −645 |
Spanning two states, this media market pairs Providence's dense urban Democratic base with New Bedford's working-class Portuguese-American communities, producing a mixed electoral landscape that resists clean statewide narratives.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.
A population of 1,684,071, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,204 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Springfield-Holyoke and Syracuse.
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Providence-New Bedford, Rhode Island. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/521/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.