- Lead
- 3,198
- Total
- 10,942
- vs nation
- D+30.7
- Turnout
- 77.5%
Gunnison County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.5% of 14,355 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,377
- Total
- 10,887
- vs nation
- D+26.6
- Turnout
- 82.9%
- Lead
- 1,839
- Total
- 9,412
- vs nation
- D+17.4
- Turnout
- 76.5%
- Lead
- 1,703
- Total
- 8,667
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,425
- Total
- 8,870
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,303
- Total
- 8,420
- vs nation
- D+17.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 69
- Total
- 7,236
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 582
- Total
- 6,021
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,2412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,5272024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.7 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Routt County, CO · twin score 95.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.5%11,126 participants ÷ 14,355 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.6%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,784 | 12,782 | 76.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,052 | 13,197 | 68.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,494 | 13,863 | 82.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,430 | 14,070 | 67.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,126 | 14,355 | 77.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 10,942 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -30558260053055826005 | 1,497 | 374 | 56 | 1,927 | 77.7% | 19.4% | D+58.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -30558260033055826003 | 959 | 130 | 28 | 1,117 | 85.9% | 11.6% | D+74.2 |
| Precinct -30558260133055826013 | 637 | 434 | 40 | 1,111 | 57.3% | 39.1% | D+18.3 |
| Precinct -30558260143055826014 | 662 | 404 | 41 | 1,107 | 59.8% | 36.5% | D+23.3 |
| Precinct -30558260093055826009 | 572 | 331 | 28 | 931 | 61.4% | 35.6% | D+25.9 |
| Precinct -30558260073055826007 | 442 | 334 | 25 | 801 | 55.2% | 41.7% | D+13.5 |
| Precinct -30558260083055826008 | 299 | 454 | 24 | 777 | 38.5% | 58.4% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -30558260063055826006 | 349 | 345 | 25 | 719 | 48.5% | 48.0% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -30558260043055826004 | 562 | 123 | 22 | 707 | 79.5% | 17.4% | D+62.1 |
| Precinct -30558260153055826015 | 301 | 132 | 13 | 446 | 67.5% | 29.6% | D+37.9 |
| Precinct -30558260103055826010 | 248 | 134 | 32 | 414 | 59.9% | 32.4% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -30558260113055826011 | 84 | 227 | 14 | 325 | 25.8% | 69.8% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -30558260023055826002 | 172 | 106 | 4 | 282 | 61.0% | 37.6% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -30558260123055826012 | 81 | 117 | 9 | 207 | 39.1% | 56.5% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -30558260013055826001 | 22 | 44 | 5 | 71 | 31.0% | 62.0% | R+31.0 |
| Gunnison 108_0805126001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1008_0805126010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1108_0805126011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1208_0805126012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1308_0805126013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1408_0805126014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 1508_0805126015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 208_0805126002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 308_0805126003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 408_0805126004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 508_0805126005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 608_0805126006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 708_0805126007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 808_0805126008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gunnison 908_0805126009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1880–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1880 | +2.3% |
| 1884 | −10.3% |
| 1888 | −17.7% |
| 1892 | −38.7% |
| 1896 | +87.1% |
| 1900 | +24.1% |
| 1904 | −3.2% |
| 1908 | +23.5% |
| 1912 | +28.4% |
| 1916 | +35.5% |
| 1920 | −1.5% |
| 1924 | −20.9% |
| 1928 | −12.2% |
| 1932 | +28.2% |
| 1936 | +37.4% |
| 1940 | +6.4% |
| 1944 | +7.2% |
| 1948 | +8.9% |
| 1952 | −18.9% |
| 1956 | −24.7% |
| 1960 | −10.8% |
| 1964 | +26.1% |
| 1968 | −22.5% |
| 1972 | −29.8% |
| 1976 | −31.8% |
| 1980 | −29.4% |
| 1984 | −36.4% |
| 1988 | −13.8% |
| 1992 | +12.6% |
| 1996 | +9.7% |
| 2000 | −1.0% |
| 2004 | +15.5% |
| 2008 | +27.3% |
| 2012 | +19.6% |
| 2016 | +19.5% |
| 2020 | +31.0% |
| 2024 | +29.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,374 | 4,146 | 3,337 | 5,545 | 346 |
| 2018 | 14,068 | 4,301 | 3,261 | 6,146 | 360 |
| 2020 | 14,579 | 4,498 | 3,210 | 6,518 | 353 |
| 2022 | 14,949 | 4,040 | 2,930 | 7,621 | 358 |
| 2024 | 15,330 | 3,860 | 2,817 | 8,299 | 354 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−32 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,550 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $95,603 in average income, against $100,267 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+32.7 on average — 3.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Gunnison County, CO itself (D+29.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Boulder County, CO36D+55.7
- Denver County, CO32D+56.1
- El Paso County, CO24R+9.8
- Jefferson County, CO22D+19.5
- Arapahoe County, CO21D+20.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Jefferson County, CO34
- Montrose County, CO29
- Delta County, CO26
- Mesa County, CO22
- Denver County, CO21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −136 |
| 2012 | +42 |
| 2013 | +122 |
| 2014 | +107 |
| 2015 | +265 |
| 2016 | +236 |
| 2017 | +371 |
| 2018 | +240 |
| 2019 | +226 |
| 2021 | +303 |
| 2022 | −27 |
| 2023 | −65 |
| 2024 | −102 |
| 2025 | −32 |
Gunnison's economy revolves around skiing and outdoor recreation, drawing a younger, college-educated population that has pushed its presidential margins well above the state's Democratic baseline — D+29.2 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.1 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 38.7 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.2 points.
A population of 17,241, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,527 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Routt County and Pitkin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Gunnison County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.