- Lead
- 4,614
- Total
- 13,286
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Turnout
- 77.5%
Teton County, WY
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.5% of 17,325 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,507
- Total
- 14,677
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Turnout
- 86.2%
- Lead
- 3,393
- Total
- 12,627
- vs nation
- D+24.8
- Turnout
- 78.2%
- Lead
- 1,355
- Total
- 11,464
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,907
- Total
- 12,316
- vs nation
- D+16.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 848
- Total
- 11,359
- vs nation
- D+9.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,435
- Total
- 10,431
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 124
- Total
- 8,998
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+34.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,3962024 5-year
- Median household income
- $124,1722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.2 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Routt County, CO · twin score 93.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.5%13,424 participants ÷ 17,325 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +26.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +7.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.5%–60.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,769 | 16,335 | 78.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,852 | 16,730 | 70.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,787 | 17,153 | 86.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,356 | 17,189 | 60.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,424 | 17,325 | 77.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
51 precincts · 13,286 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -001-02001-02 | 1,393 | 440 | 51 | 1,884 | 73.9% | 23.4% | D+50.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -001-05001-05 | 1,275 | 461 | 63 | 1,799 | 70.9% | 25.6% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -004-02004-02 | 715 | 339 | 29 | 1,083 | 66.0% | 31.3% | D+34.7 |
| Precinct -002-01002-01 | 617 | 399 | 41 | 1,057 | 58.4% | 37.7% | D+20.6 |
| Precinct -001-10001-10 | 595 | 345 | 23 | 963 | 61.8% | 35.8% | D+26.0 |
| Precinct -001-12001-12 | 411 | 382 | 18 | 811 | 50.7% | 47.1% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -001-06001-06 | 513 | 211 | 21 | 745 | 68.9% | 28.3% | D+40.5 |
| Precinct -001-07001-07 | 536 | 179 | 22 | 737 | 72.7% | 24.3% | D+48.4 |
| Precinct -004-01004-01 | 491 | 181 | 19 | 691 | 71.1% | 26.2% | D+44.9 |
| Precinct -004-03004-03 | 507 | 120 | 19 | 646 | 78.5% | 18.6% | D+59.9 |
| Precinct -001-04001-04 | 358 | 209 | 20 | 587 | 61.0% | 35.6% | D+25.4 |
| Precinct -001-03001-03 | 362 | 199 | 16 | 577 | 62.7% | 34.5% | D+28.2 |
| Precinct -004-04004-04 | 270 | 146 | 22 | 438 | 61.6% | 33.3% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -001-01001-01 | 205 | 188 | 16 | 409 | 50.1% | 46.0% | D+4.2 |
| Precinct -005-01005-01 | 182 | 180 | 12 | 374 | 48.7% | 48.1% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -003-01003-01 | 208 | 111 | 7 | 326 | 63.8% | 34.0% | D+29.8 |
| Precinct -001-11001-11 | 110 | 44 | 5 | 159 | 69.2% | 27.7% | D+41.5 |
| 4-H BUILDING JACKSON NORTH Voting District56_560390104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 4-H BUILDING JACKSON NORTH Voting District56_560390104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALTA SCHOOL NORTH Voting District56_560390501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ALTA SCHOOL NORTH Voting District56_560390501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COTTONWOOD PARK Voting District56_560390106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| COTTONWOOD PARK Voting District56_560390106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIR BUILDING JACKSON WEST Voting District56_560390105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIR BUILDING JACKSON WEST Voting District56_560390105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON HOLE AIRPORT Voting District56_560390201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| JACKSON HOLE AIRPORT Voting District56_560390201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| L V P & L Voting District56_560390101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| L V P & L Voting District56_560390101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LDS Church Voting District56_56039010201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LDS Church Voting District56_56039010201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAN SCHOOL Voting District56_560390301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MORAN SCHOOL Voting District56_560390301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Wilson Firehouse Voting District56_56039040201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Wilson Firehouse Voting District56_56039040201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAFTER-J CHURCH Voting District56_560390107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| RAFTER-J CHURCH Voting District56_560390107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Senior Center Voting District56_56039010202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Senior Center Voting District56_56039010202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skyline Voting District56_56039010301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Skyline Voting District56_56039010301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TETON PINES Voting District56_560390402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TETON PINES Voting District56_560390402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VISITORS CENTER Voting District56_560390103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VISITORS CENTER Voting District56_560390103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson School Voting District56_56039040102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson School Voting District56_56039040102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILSON Voting District56_560390401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILSON Voting District56_560390401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WyDOT Voting District56_56039010101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WyDOT Voting District56_56039010101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1924–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1924 | −27.0% |
| 1928 | −29.2% |
| 1932 | +26.3% |
| 1936 | +21.7% |
| 1940 | +7.8% |
| 1944 | −12.1% |
| 1948 | −12.6% |
| 1952 | −57.2% |
| 1956 | −55.5% |
| 1960 | −33.0% |
| 1964 | −5.5% |
| 1968 | −46.8% |
| 1972 | −44.0% |
| 1976 | −37.0% |
| 1980 | −31.5% |
| 1984 | −37.4% |
| 1988 | −23.6% |
| 1992 | +3.2% |
| 1996 | +1.4% |
| 2000 | −13.8% |
| 2004 | +7.5% |
| 2008 | +23.6% |
| 2012 | +11.8% |
| 2016 | +26.9% |
| 2020 | +37.5% |
| 2024 | +34.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 65.6%7,919 | 34.4%4,148 | 12,067 |
| 2020 | D | 62.4%8,628 | 37.6%5,210 | 13,838 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Teton County, WY registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 57-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
13,745 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−253 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,081 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $184,519 in average income, against $509,842 for residents who stayed — 64% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.0 on average — 32 points more Republican-leaning than Teton County, WY itself (D+34.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Teton County, ID67D+6.8
- Lincoln County, WY31R+67.7
- Los Angeles County, CA30D+32.9
- Cook County, IL23D+41.6
- Salt Lake County, UT21D+10.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Teton County, ID124
- Lincoln County, WY85
- Gallatin County, MT46
- Sublette County, WY32
- Los Angeles County, CA29
- Salt Lake County, UT27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −39 |
| 2012 | +28 |
| 2013 | +400 |
| 2014 | +311 |
| 2015 | +36 |
| 2016 | −33 |
| 2017 | −102 |
| 2018 | −378 |
| 2019 | −37 |
| 2021 | +107 |
| 2022 | −488 |
| 2023 | −232 |
| 2024 | −401 |
| 2025 | −253 |
Teton County's Jackson Hole economy draws high-income transplants whose voting patterns diverge sharply from the rest of Wyoming, producing a D+34.7 margin that makes it a statistical outlier in one of the nation's most reliably Republican states.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 57.2 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.7 points.
A population of 23,396, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $124,172 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Routt County and Summit County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Teton County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.