- Lead
- 6,795
- Total
- 27,805
- vs nation
- D+25.9
- Turnout
- 72.2%
Eagle County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.2% of 39,108 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,697
- Total
- 29,139
- vs nation
- D+25.4
- Turnout
- 79.0%
- Lead
- 5,109
- Total
- 25,223
- vs nation
- D+18.2
- Turnout
- 77.5%
- Lead
- 3,381
- Total
- 22,668
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,008
- Total
- 21,652
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,211
- Total
- 18,511
- vs nation
- D+9.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 393
- Total
- 15,188
- vs nation
- R+3.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 457
- Total
- 11,341
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+24.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 55,1352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $104,0962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 30.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Summit County, CO · twin score 95.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.2%28,226 participants ÷ 39,108 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.3%–55.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 26,091 | 33,675 | 77.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,913 | 35,052 | 65.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 29,911 | 37,877 | 79.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,654 | 38,987 | 58.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,226 | 39,108 | 72.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
64 precincts · 27,805 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -20826190272082619027 | 968 | 575 | 36 | 1,579 | 61.3% | 36.4% | D+24.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -30557190243055719024 | 1,110 | 381 | 38 | 1,529 | 72.6% | 24.9% | D+47.7 |
| Precinct -20826190322082619032 | 902 | 540 | 38 | 1,480 | 60.9% | 36.5% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -20826190052082619005 | 866 | 481 | 50 | 1,397 | 62.0% | 34.4% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -20826190312082619031 | 714 | 632 | 40 | 1,386 | 51.5% | 45.6% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -30557190253055719025 | 800 | 404 | 26 | 1,230 | 65.0% | 32.8% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -20826190202082619020 | 710 | 489 | 26 | 1,225 | 58.0% | 39.9% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -20826190292082619029 | 772 | 416 | 30 | 1,218 | 63.4% | 34.2% | D+29.2 |
| Precinct -20826190152082619015 | 764 | 406 | 39 | 1,209 | 63.2% | 33.6% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -20826190262082619026 | 518 | 640 | 33 | 1,191 | 43.5% | 53.7% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -20826190222082619022 | 660 | 505 | 24 | 1,189 | 55.5% | 42.5% | D+13.0 |
| Precinct -20826190192082619019 | 774 | 359 | 24 | 1,157 | 66.9% | 31.0% | D+35.9 |
| Precinct -20826190122082619012 | 717 | 326 | 37 | 1,080 | 66.4% | 30.2% | D+36.2 |
| Precinct -30557190073055719007 | 791 | 248 | 19 | 1,058 | 74.8% | 23.4% | D+51.3 |
| Precinct -20826190182082619018 | 592 | 280 | 15 | 887 | 66.7% | 31.6% | D+35.2 |
| Precinct -20826190042082619004 | 571 | 254 | 15 | 840 | 68.0% | 30.2% | D+37.7 |
| Precinct -20826190172082619017 | 524 | 283 | 21 | 828 | 63.3% | 34.2% | D+29.1 |
| Precinct -20826190132082619013 | 498 | 280 | 21 | 799 | 62.3% | 35.0% | D+27.3 |
| Precinct -20826190282082619028 | 492 | 266 | 23 | 781 | 63.0% | 34.1% | D+28.9 |
| Precinct -20826190162082619016 | 388 | 346 | 19 | 753 | 51.5% | 45.9% | D+5.6 |
| Precinct -20826190062082619006 | 332 | 377 | 29 | 738 | 45.0% | 51.1% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -20826190092082619009 | 296 | 345 | 21 | 662 | 44.7% | 52.1% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -20826190022082619002 | 400 | 207 | 17 | 624 | 64.1% | 33.2% | D+30.9 |
| Precinct -20826190142082619014 | 400 | 194 | 16 | 610 | 65.6% | 31.8% | D+33.8 |
| Precinct -20826190032082619003 | 420 | 164 | 17 | 601 | 69.9% | 27.3% | D+42.6 |
| Precinct -30557190083055719008 | 383 | 204 | 6 | 593 | 64.6% | 34.4% | D+30.2 |
| Precinct -30857190113085719011 | 147 | 157 | 9 | 313 | 47.0% | 50.2% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct -30826190333082619033 | 142 | 133 | 7 | 282 | 50.4% | 47.2% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -20826190212082619021 | 119 | 97 | 8 | 224 | 53.1% | 43.3% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -20826190012082619001 | 122 | 45 | 7 | 174 | 70.1% | 25.9% | D+44.3 |
| Precinct -30826190233082619023 | 25 | 86 | 2 | 113 | 22.1% | 76.1% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -30857190343085719034 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 26 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -20857190102085719010 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 53.3% | 46.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -20826190302082619030 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 85.7% | 7.1% | D+78.6 |
| Eagle 108_0803719001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1008_0803719010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1108_0803719011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1208_0803719012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1308_0803719013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1408_0803719014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1508_0803719015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1608_0803719016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1708_0803719017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1808_0803719018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 1908_0803719019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 208_0803719002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2008_0803719020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2108_0803719021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2208_0803719022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2308_0803719023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2408_0803719024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2508_0803719025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2608_0803719026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2708_0803719027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2808_0803719028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 2908_0803719029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 308_0803719003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 3008_0803719030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 408_0803719004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 508_0803719005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 608_0803719006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 708_0803719007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 808_0803719008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Eagle 908_0803719009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −23.3% |
| 1888 | −20.3% |
| 1892 | −29.2% |
| 1896 | +90.7% |
| 1900 | +38.5% |
| 1904 | −12.0% |
| 1908 | +21.9% |
| 1912 | +22.7% |
| 1916 | +46.9% |
| 1920 | −13.2% |
| 1924 | −17.9% |
| 1928 | −27.7% |
| 1932 | +30.2% |
| 1936 | +32.6% |
| 1940 | +15.5% |
| 1944 | +1.6% |
| 1948 | +14.7% |
| 1952 | −8.0% |
| 1956 | −15.0% |
| 1960 | −5.8% |
| 1964 | +33.7% |
| 1968 | −5.7% |
| 1972 | −18.6% |
| 1976 | −31.6% |
| 1980 | −25.0% |
| 1984 | −37.2% |
| 1988 | −13.5% |
| 1992 | +7.1% |
| 1996 | +4.0% |
| 2000 | −2.6% |
| 2004 | +6.5% |
| 2008 | +23.1% |
| 2012 | +14.9% |
| 2016 | +20.3% |
| 2020 | +29.8% |
| 2024 | +24.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 35,422 | 10,342 | 9,039 | 15,362 | 679 |
| 2018 | 37,169 | 10,605 | 8,627 | 17,211 | 726 |
| 2020 | 38,597 | 11,136 | 8,102 | 18,644 | 715 |
| 2022 | 39,377 | 10,500 | 7,492 | 20,689 | 696 |
| 2024 | 40,717 | 10,273 | 7,328 | 22,256 | 860 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−662 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −6,739 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $140,760 in average income, against $161,275 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+25.7 on average — 1.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Eagle County, CO itself (D+24.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pitkin County, CO151D+44.2
- Garfield County, CO141D+2.1
- Denver County, CO140D+56.1
- Jefferson County, CO63D+19.5
- Arapahoe County, CO50D+20.1
- Maricopa County, AZ37R+3.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Garfield County, CO293
- Denver County, CO140
- Pitkin County, CO110
- Jefferson County, CO67
- Mesa County, CO67
- Arapahoe County, CO55
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −904 |
| 2012 | −381 |
| 2013 | −55 |
| 2014 | −127 |
| 2015 | −81 |
| 2016 | +63 |
| 2017 | −189 |
| 2018 | −570 |
| 2019 | −364 |
| 2021 | −291 |
| 2022 | −990 |
| 2023 | −1,293 |
| 2024 | −895 |
| 2025 | −662 |
Eagle County's economy revolves around Vail and Beaver Creek, drawing a wealthy, transplant-heavy workforce whose presidential preferences have leaned Democratic by double digits for over two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.7 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 37.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.4 points.
A population of 55,135, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,096 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Summit County and Hood River County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Eagle County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.