HarrisDemocratic69.2%58,617TrumpRepublican27.5%23,256SteinIndependent1.3%1,119
D+41.7- Lead
- 35,361
- Total
- 84,720
- vs nation
- D+43.2
- Turnout
- 64.3%
Akashiccounty
Hampshire County, MA
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.3% of 132,989 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic71.7%63,362TrumpRepublican25.2%22,281OtherAll other candidates3.0%2,689
D+46.5- Lead
- 41,081
- Total
- 88,332
- vs nation
- D+42.1
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ClintonDemocratic64.7%55,367TrumpRepublican25.4%21,790JohnsonLibertarian3.6%3,098
D+39.2- Lead
- 33,577
- Total
- 85,624
- vs nation
- D+37.1
- Turnout
- 66.1%
ObamaDemocratic70.3%57,359RomneyRepublican26.3%21,480OtherAll other candidates3.4%2,782
D+44.0- Lead
- 35,879
- Total
- 81,621
- vs nation
- D+40.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic71.5%56,869McCainRepublican25.9%20,618OtherAll other candidates2.6%2,083
D+45.6- Lead
- 36,251
- Total
- 79,570
- vs nation
- D+38.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic69.4%51,680BushRepublican28.6%21,315OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,427
D+40.8- Lead
- 30,365
- Total
- 74,422
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic56.2%38,543BushRepublican28.0%19,202NaderGreen14.6%10,010
D+28.2- Lead
- 19,341
- Total
- 68,626
- vs nation
- D+27.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic64.1%41,844DoleRepublican22.6%14,787PerotReform10.1%6,589
D+41.4- Lead
- 27,057
- Total
- 65,309
- vs nation
- D+32.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 162,0282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,0012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, MA · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.3%85,549 participants ÷ 132,989 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.4%–51.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 85,624 | 129,489 | 66.1% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 71,737 | 129,941 | 55.2% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 88,332 | 131,002 | 67.4% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 65,329 | 124,440 | 52.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 85,549 | 132,989 | 64.3% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
58 precincts · 84,720 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Hadley Precinct 1Hadley Precinct 1 | 2,234 | 968 | 97 | 3,299 | 67.7% | 29.3% | D+38.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct BBelchertown Precinct B | 1,361 | 1,175 | 48 | 2,584 | 52.7% | 45.5% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct CBelchertown Precinct C | 1,361 | 1,026 | 49 | 2,436 | 55.9% | 42.1% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 5BAmherst Precinct 5B | 2,171 | 152 | 73 | 2,396 | 90.6% | 6.3% | D+84.3 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct ABelchertown Precinct A | 1,477 | 834 | 56 | 2,367 | 62.4% | 35.2% | D+27.2 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct CSouth Hadley Precinct C | 1,351 | 883 | 60 | 2,294 | 58.9% | 38.5% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Hatfield Precinct 1Hatfield Precinct 1 | 1,472 | 707 | 51 | 2,230 | 66.0% | 31.7% | D+34.3 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct ESouth Hadley Precinct E | 1,367 | 806 | 57 | 2,230 | 61.3% | 36.1% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct BSouth Hadley Precinct B | 1,416 | 696 | 70 | 2,182 | 64.9% | 31.9% | D+33.0 |
| Precinct -Belchertown Precinct DBelchertown Precinct D | 1,404 | 685 | 61 | 2,150 | 65.3% | 31.9% | D+33.4 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 5Easthampton Precinct 5 | 1,304 | 782 | 48 | 2,134 | 61.1% | 36.6% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 3Easthampton Precinct 3 | 1,558 | 444 | 109 | 2,111 | 73.8% | 21.0% | D+52.8 |
| Precinct -Southampton Precinct 2Southampton Precinct 2 | 1,064 | 944 | 56 | 2,064 | 51.6% | 45.7% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 1Easthampton Precinct 1 | 1,442 | 540 | 58 | 2,040 | 70.7% | 26.5% | D+44.2 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct CWare Precinct C | 894 | 1,096 | 27 | 2,017 | 44.3% | 54.3% | R+10.0 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 4Easthampton Precinct 4 | 1,520 | 411 | 82 | 2,013 | 75.5% | 20.4% | D+55.1 |
| Precinct -Southampton Precinct 1Southampton Precinct 1 | 1,056 | 882 | 45 | 1,983 | 53.3% | 44.5% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 1Granby Precinct 1 | 1,029 | 886 | 45 | 1,960 | 52.5% | 45.2% | D+7.3 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct ASouth Hadley Precinct A | 1,193 | 683 | 43 | 1,919 | 62.2% | 35.6% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 2Granby Precinct 2 | 878 | 1,013 | 24 | 1,915 | 45.8% | 52.9% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Easthampton Precinct 2Easthampton Precinct 2 | 1,392 | 384 | 107 | 1,883 | 73.9% | 20.4% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -Williamsburg Precinct 1Williamsburg Precinct 1 | 1,373 | 366 | 72 | 1,811 | 75.8% | 20.2% | D+55.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 2BAmherst Precinct 2B | 1,502 | 171 | 57 | 1,730 | 86.8% | 9.9% | D+76.9 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct BWare Precinct B | 702 | 902 | 32 | 1,636 | 42.9% | 55.1% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 3BAmherst Precinct 3B | 1,397 | 165 | 63 | 1,625 | 86.0% | 10.2% | D+75.8 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 6-ANorthampton Precinct 6-A | 1,165 | 317 | 53 | 1,535 | 75.9% | 20.7% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 6-BNorthampton Precinct 6-B | 1,259 | 209 | 42 | 1,510 | 83.4% | 13.8% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -Ware Precinct AWare Precinct A | 702 | 674 | 39 | 1,415 | 49.6% | 47.6% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 7-BNorthampton Precinct 7-B | 1,097 | 164 | 61 | 1,322 | 83.0% | 12.4% | D+70.6 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 4-BNorthampton Precinct 4-B | 1,137 | 105 | 70 | 1,312 | 86.7% | 8.0% | D+78.7 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 5-BNorthampton Precinct 5-B | 1,141 | 113 | 57 | 1,311 | 87.0% | 8.6% | D+78.4 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 1-BNorthampton Precinct 1-B | 1,167 | 90 | 47 | 1,304 | 89.5% | 6.9% | D+82.6 |
| Precinct -South Hadley Precinct DSouth Hadley Precinct D | 910 | 322 | 40 | 1,272 | 71.5% | 25.3% | D+46.2 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 3-ANorthampton Precinct 3-A | 1,017 | 139 | 97 | 1,253 | 81.2% | 11.1% | D+70.1 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 7-ANorthampton Precinct 7-A | 1,057 | 142 | 44 | 1,243 | 85.0% | 11.4% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -Westhampton Precinct 1Westhampton Precinct 1 | 762 | 434 | 40 | 1,236 | 61.7% | 35.1% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 3-BNorthampton Precinct 3-B | 1,041 | 94 | 100 | 1,235 | 84.3% | 7.6% | D+76.7 |
| Precinct -Huntington Precinct 1Huntington Precinct 1 | 554 | 651 | 24 | 1,229 | 45.1% | 53.0% | R+7.9 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 1-ANorthampton Precinct 1-A | 958 | 144 | 43 | 1,145 | 83.7% | 12.6% | D+71.1 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 5-ANorthampton Precinct 5-A | 947 | 128 | 38 | 1,113 | 85.1% | 11.5% | D+73.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 1AAmherst Precinct 1A | 871 | 102 | 76 | 1,049 | 83.0% | 9.7% | D+73.3 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 2-ANorthampton Precinct 2-A | 899 | 39 | 51 | 989 | 90.9% | 3.9% | D+87.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 4-ANorthampton Precinct 4-A | 864 | 64 | 47 | 975 | 88.6% | 6.6% | D+82.1 |
| Precinct -Worthington Precinct 1Worthington Precinct 1 | 536 | 295 | 44 | 875 | 61.3% | 33.7% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 4AAmherst Precinct 4A | 751 | 55 | 52 | 858 | 87.5% | 6.4% | D+81.1 |
| Precinct -Pelham Precinct 1Pelham Precinct 1 | 743 | 88 | 19 | 850 | 87.4% | 10.4% | D+77.1 |
| Precinct -Chesterfield Precinct 1Chesterfield Precinct 1 | 497 | 291 | 35 | 823 | 60.4% | 35.4% | D+25.0 |
| Precinct -Northampton Precinct 2-BNorthampton Precinct 2-B | 728 | 52 | 37 | 817 | 89.1% | 6.4% | D+82.7 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 5AAmherst Precinct 5A | 610 | 42 | 34 | 686 | 88.9% | 6.1% | D+82.8 |
| Precinct -Goshen Precinct 1Goshen Precinct 1 | 391 | 257 | 18 | 666 | 58.7% | 38.6% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 2AAmherst Precinct 2A | 552 | 62 | 25 | 639 | 86.4% | 9.7% | D+76.7 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 3AAmherst Precinct 3A | 511 | 63 | 21 | 595 | 85.9% | 10.6% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -Cummington Precinct 1Cummington Precinct 1 | 399 | 158 | 24 | 581 | 68.7% | 27.2% | D+41.5 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 1BAmherst Precinct 1B | 478 | 49 | 26 | 553 | 86.4% | 8.9% | D+77.6 |
| Precinct -Amherst Precinct 4BAmherst Precinct 4B | 473 | 28 | 31 | 532 | 88.9% | 5.3% | D+83.6 |
| Precinct -Plainfield Precinct 1Plainfield Precinct 1 | 274 | 136 | 18 | 428 | 64.0% | 31.8% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -Middlefield Precinct 1Middlefield Precinct 1 | 185 | 126 | 4 | 315 | 58.7% | 40.0% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -Granby Precinct 2AGranby Precinct 2A | 23 | 22 | 0 | 45 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −13.5% |
| 1896 | −57.3% |
| 1900 | −38.0% |
| 1904 | −41.7% |
| 1908 | −31.3% |
| 1912 | −14.8% |
| 1916 | −15.1% |
| 1920 | −41.9% |
| 1924 | −42.3% |
| 1928 | −5.2% |
| 1932 | −3.4% |
| 1936 | +4.5% |
| 1940 | +6.4% |
| 1944 | +8.5% |
| 1948 | +1.9% |
| 1952 | −16.6% |
| 1956 | −24.1% |
| 1960 | +14.0% |
| 1964 | +47.4% |
| 1968 | +22.9% |
| 1972 | +7.5% |
| 1976 | +21.2% |
| 1980 | +10.8% |
| 1984 | +11.7% |
| 1988 | +23.9% |
| 1992 | +31.7% |
| 1996 | +41.4% |
| 2000 | +28.2% |
| 2004 | +40.8% |
| 2008 | +45.6% |
| 2012 | +44.0% |
| 2016 | +39.2% |
| 2020 | +46.5% |
| 2024 | +41.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 5 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%59,000 | 0.0%0 | 59,000 |
| 2020 | D | 87.3%67,427 | 12.7%9,825 | 77,252 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+24.5
Presidential vote · 2024D+41.7
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Republican.
111,861 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−698 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,887 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $67,955 in average income, against $95,952 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+22.1 on average — 20 points more Republican-leaning than Hampshire County, MA itself (D+41.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hampden County, MA1,063D+8.9
- Franklin County, MA384D+37.6
- Middlesex County, MA290D+39.2
- Worcester County, MA268D+10.0
- Capitol Planning Region, CT115D+20.1
- Suffolk County, MA95D+52.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hampden County, MA1,233
- Franklin County, MA396
- Middlesex County, MA279
- Worcester County, MA223
- Suffolk County, MA157
- Capitol Planning Region, CT130
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +234 |
| 2012 | −393 |
| 2013 | −67 |
| 2014 | −550 |
| 2015 | −621 |
| 2016 | +146 |
| 2017 | −842 |
| 2018 | −208 |
| 2019 | −469 |
| 2021 | +18,410 |
| 2022 | −209 |
| 2023 | −97 |
| 2024 | −749 |
| 2025 | −698 |
With UMass Amherst and four neighboring colleges anchoring its population, Hampshire County produces some of the widest Democratic presidential margins in Massachusetts, reaching D+41.7 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.7 points.
A population of 162,028, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,001 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Dane County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Franklin County
Massachusetts
93.5twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Dane County
Wisconsin
93.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Albany County
New York
93.2twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hampshire County, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/25015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Hampshire County
Massachusetts at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Hampshire County, Massachusetts vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hampshire County, Massachusetts voted Democratic by 41.7 points (D+41.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 84,720 votes cast, 58,617 went Democratic and 23,256 went Republican.
When did Hampshire County, Massachusetts last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hampshire County, Massachusetts voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in Hampshire County, Massachusetts?
Hampshire County, Massachusetts has a population of 162,028 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hampshire County, Massachusetts?
Median household income in Hampshire County, Massachusetts is $87,001 — above the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Hampshire County, Massachusetts?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hampshire County, Massachusetts from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.