- Lead
- 3,232
- Total
- 25,695
- vs nation
- R+11.1
Massachusetts 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,646
- Total
- 25,999
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Lead
- 3,096
- Total
- 24,144
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Lead
- 1,353
- Total
- 22,089
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Lead
- 1,262
- Total
- 22,092
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Lead
- 1,891
- Total
- 21,114
- vs nation
- R+6.5
- Lead
- 1,270
- Total
- 19,508
- vs nation
- R+7.0
- Lead
- 950
- Total
- 18,836
- vs nation
- R+3.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,7142024 5-year
- Population density
- 147 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 297 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $94,7012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+21.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 1st Hampden District, MA · twin score 97.4
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.3%
10,795 votes · D+21.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 47.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
81.3%
2,637 votes · R+67.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 81.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,879votes
45.7% of the vote · R+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,914 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
16,603votes
71.3% of the vote · R+43.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 15,632 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+1.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.8 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · −1.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+61.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +49.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in Hampden County's smaller cities and towns, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential candidate by 12.5 points — a notably wide margin in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 67.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.6 points.
A population of 43,714, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,701 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 1st Hampden District and 5th Worcester District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.