akashic
1876–2024
3rd Hampden District·Massachusetts

Massachusetts 46th State House District was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of western Mass.'s sharpest Republican-leaning state house seats

18762024·38 elections
MA
Latest
D+12
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
200,140
2024 ACS

Massachusetts 46th State House District, Massachusetts: Populist district. In 2024, voted D+12%. Democratic peak: D+50 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+12MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
200,1402024 5-year
Median household income
$72,4922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
65.2%2024 5-year
Black
8.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+50 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 2 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+11.7%
49,82039,13891,300
D
+20.0%
56,26436,98696,510
D
+18.2%
50,17833,48991,677
D
+26.7%
54,77331,34487,731
D
+27.1%
53,86130,44786,468
D
+24.4%
50,28130,34381,558
D
+24.0%
43,61525,60175,202
D
+33.5%
45,90120,77474,951
D
+17.9%
37,92623,30081,802
D
+13.8%
42,62832,20275,386
R
−1.4%
37,29738,33575,915
D
+4.8%
34,70630,96577,479
D
+21.6%
47,24730,06079,679
D
+5.0%
40,62236,73577,818
D
+30.7%
47,01323,81975,456
D
+49.7%
56,19418,77275,319
D
+24.7%
50,79130,61081,694
R
−12.8%
34,18244,31178,875
R
−4.7%
37,96241,68679,904
D
+13.9%
39,50229,70370,392
D
+17.9%
38,35526,69365,207
D
+15.7%
37,43327,24665,028
D
+19.8%
33,48521,81158,923
D
+6.1%
26,41123,23651,930
D
+4.5%
25,99223,72850,025
R
−35.8%
8,09719,88432,949
R
−40.7%
8,15319,91528,866
R
−4.0%
7,1997,81515,458
R
−3.4%
4,5344,97613,061
R
−17.5%
4,2056,29111,916
R
−23.0%
3,9596,53111,188
R
−15.0%
4,3906,01810,839
R
−40.5%
2,8637,02210,278
R
−1.7%
4,8325,00310,147
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
13.4%
Italian
8.5%
Polish
7.8%
French
7.7%
American
7.0%
English
6.8%
German
4.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
75.4%
speak English only
Spanish16.4%
Other Indo-European5.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
31.2%
Other Christian
4.6%
Non-Christian
3.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.2%
Baptist
1.2%
Methodist
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored in Hampden County's smaller cities and towns, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential candidate by 12.5 points — a notably wide margin in a state that trends heavily Democratic statewide.

The Democratic margin in Massachusetts 46th State House District peaked at fifty points in 1964. By 1988 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twelve points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the district's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,492 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts vote in 2024?
In 2024, 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts voted Democratic by 11.7 points (D+12), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 91,300 votes cast, 49,820 went Democratic and 39,138 went Republican.
What is 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts's political archetype?
Akashic classifies 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts?
3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts has a population of 200,140 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts?
Median household income in 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts is $72,492 — below the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in 3rd Hampden District, Massachusetts from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.