- Lead
- 396
- Total
- 22,625
- vs nation
- R+0.3
Massachusetts 47th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 738
- Total
- 23,248
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Lead
- 693
- Total
- 21,677
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Lead
- 742
- Total
- 19,766
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Lead
- 837
- Total
- 19,705
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 18,755
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Lead
- 163
- Total
- 17,624
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Lead
- 2,130
- Total
- 17,155
- vs nation
- D+3.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,5052024 5-year
- Population density
- 607 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 71.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,0802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 3rd Hampden District, MA · twin score 89.9
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 47th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
9,980 votes · D+28.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 50.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
77.7%
5,953 votes · R+58.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 76.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
11,616votes
50.0% of the vote · D+3.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,815 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
13,136votes
68.1% of the vote · R+37.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 12,351 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+7.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+7.2 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +5.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+55.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +42.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 97.6%15,568 | 2.4%385 | 15,953 |
The 4th Hampden District sits in a region that trends Democratic statewide yet delivered an R+1.8 presidential margin in 2024, marking it as one of the more genuinely contested state house seats in the Connecticut River valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.8 points.
A population of 43,505, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,080 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 3rd Hampden District and 1st Hampden District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 47th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.