- Lead
- 1,584
- Total
- 12,317
- vs nation
- D+14.3
Massachusetts 27th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,863
- Total
- 13,812
- vs nation
- D+30.8
- Lead
- 6,509
- Total
- 14,145
- vs nation
- D+43.9
- Lead
- 5,567
- Total
- 13,192
- vs nation
- D+38.3
- Lead
- 5,905
- Total
- 12,985
- vs nation
- D+38.2
- Lead
- 5,272
- Total
- 12,190
- vs nation
- D+45.7
- Lead
- 5,195
- Total
- 11,316
- vs nation
- D+45.4
- Lead
- 5,397
- Total
- 10,566
- vs nation
- D+42.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,5102024 5-year
- Population density
- 9,661 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,3442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 67.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 16th Essex District, MA · twin score 99.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 27th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
83.7%
9,420 votes · D+67.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 74.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
61.4%
958 votes · R+26.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 61.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
9,963votes
70.4% of the vote · D+46.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 9,420 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,228votes
42.4% of the vote · D+12.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,345 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+56.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.8 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +50.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+20.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +4.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The 4th Essex District sits along Massachusetts' North Shore, where a D+12.9 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a competitive suburban lean rather than the heavily Democratic numbers found closer to Boston.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 30.1 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 22.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.9 points.
A population of 42,510, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,344 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 16th Essex District and 17th Essex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 27th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.