- Lead
- 1,605
- Total
- 13,305
- vs nation
- D+13.5
Massachusetts 39th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,880
- Total
- 14,179
- vs nation
- D+30.0
- Lead
- 5,738
- Total
- 13,631
- vs nation
- D+40.0
- Lead
- 4,806
- Total
- 12,682
- vs nation
- D+34.0
- Lead
- 5,181
- Total
- 12,463
- vs nation
- D+34.3
- Lead
- 4,575
- Total
- 11,675
- vs nation
- D+41.6
- Lead
- 4,572
- Total
- 10,891
- vs nation
- D+41.5
- Lead
- 4,811
- Total
- 10,176
- vs nation
- D+38.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,7282024 5-year
- Population density
- 7,951 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $75,1852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 26.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 64.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 4th Essex District, MA · twin score 99.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 39th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
82.4%
8,774 votes · D+64.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 72.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.0%
2,450 votes · R+30.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 62.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
9,410votes
66.4% of the vote · D+34.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 9,281 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,682votes
42.7% of the vote · D+12.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,530 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+52.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+29.5 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +46.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+23.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +8.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The 16th Essex District sits in the northeastern corner of Massachusetts, where working-class coastal communities have nudged presidential margins closer to single digits over the past decade while the district still leans reliably Democratic at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 22.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.1 points.
A population of 43,728, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,185 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 4th Essex District and 17th Essex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 39th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.