- Lead
- 2,906
- Total
- 13,103
- vs nation
- D+23.7
Massachusetts 33rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,255
- Total
- 14,905
- vs nation
- D+37.5
- Lead
- 5,724
- Total
- 14,296
- vs nation
- D+37.9
- Lead
- 4,766
- Total
- 13,272
- vs nation
- D+32.1
- Lead
- 5,133
- Total
- 12,956
- vs nation
- D+32.3
- Lead
- 4,545
- Total
- 12,160
- vs nation
- D+39.8
- Lead
- 4,589
- Total
- 11,355
- vs nation
- D+39.9
- Lead
- 4,820
- Total
- 10,686
- vs nation
- D+36.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+22.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,3992024 5-year
- Population density
- 12,685 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,4192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 11th Essex District, MA · twin score 98.9
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 33rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
81.6%
8,976 votes · D+63.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 70.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
63.3%
2,640 votes · R+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 59.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
10,441votes
70.1% of the vote · D+42.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 9,504 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,916votes
37.5% of the vote · D+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 4,612 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+50.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+27.4 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +44.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+22.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · +8.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The 10th Essex District covers the Cape Ann peninsula, where a legacy fishing economy and dense coastal settlement have produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins at the presidential level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 19.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.2 points.
A population of 44,399, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,419 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 11th Essex District and 16th Essex District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 33rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.