- Lead
- 8,573
- Total
- 12,637
- vs nation
- D+69.3
Massachusetts 58th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 10,137
- Total
- 13,930
- vs nation
- D+68.3
- Lead
- 11,252
- Total
- 17,196
- vs nation
- D+63.3
- Lead
- 11,586
- Total
- 16,165
- vs nation
- D+67.8
- Lead
- 11,718
- Total
- 16,079
- vs nation
- D+65.6
- Lead
- 10,396
- Total
- 14,774
- vs nation
- D+72.8
- Lead
- 6,924
- Total
- 13,437
- vs nation
- D+54.8
- Lead
- 8,215
- Total
- 13,319
- vs nation
- D+56.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+67.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,4862024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,012 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 42 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,8732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.6 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 77, WI · twin score 90.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts 58th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
87.3%
7,703 votes · D+75.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 85.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
54.1%
593 votes · R+26.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 48.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
13,680votes
85.1% of the vote · D+72.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 13,606 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,642votes
23.4% of the vote · D+52.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 2,463 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+72.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +72.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+20.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.6 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −2.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The 3rd Hampshire District, anchored in the Pioneer Valley, recorded a 2024 presidential margin of D+67.8, placing it among the most heavily Democratic state house districts in the commonwealth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 26.6 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.8 points.
A population of 42,486, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,873 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 77 and State House District 54.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts 58th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25058/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.