- Lead
- 4,078
- Total
- 8,438
- vs nation
- D+49.8
Connecticut 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 3,471
- Total
- 6,577
- vs nation
- D+48.3
- Lead
- 5,412
- Total
- 10,503
- vs nation
- D+49.4
- Lead
- 5,822
- Total
- 9,947
- vs nation
- D+54.7
- Lead
- 7,027
- Total
- 11,009
- vs nation
- D+56.6
- Lead
- 5,719
- Total
- 9,984
- vs nation
- D+59.7
- Lead
- 5,054
- Total
- 8,856
- vs nation
- D+56.5
- Lead
- 4,660
- Total
- 8,507
- vs nation
- D+46.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+48.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,8622024 5-year
- Population density
- 753 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 31.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $63,2942024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+1.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- 3rd Hampshire District, MA · twin score 90.5
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
86.9%
4,395 votes · D+74.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 81.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
44.7%
213 votes · R+1.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 38.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,934votes
81.2% of the vote · D+63.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 7,806 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2016
2,214votes
21.1% of the vote · D+51.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,146 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+62.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.6 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +59.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−4.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+1.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −25.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Connecticut 54th State House District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 1.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.3 points.
A population of 23,862, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,294 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 3rd Hampshire District and 18th Suffolk District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.