- Lead
- 879
- Total
- 13,897
- vs nation
- D+7.8
Connecticut 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,536
- Total
- 14,528
- vs nation
- D+6.1
- Lead
- 158
- Total
- 13,390
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Lead
- 976
- Total
- 12,220
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 2,124
- Total
- 12,918
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Lead
- 798
- Total
- 12,342
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Lead
- 1,053
- Total
- 10,796
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Lead
- 1,437
- Total
- 10,159
- vs nation
- D+5.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,4162024 5-year
- Population density
- 298 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 78.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $113,1302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 32, CT · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.0%
3,653 votes · D+34.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.3%
Republican
William McKinley1896
70.3%
637 votes · R+49.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 67.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
7,877votes
54.2% of the vote · D+10.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 7,401 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,371votes
45.8% of the vote · D+6.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 6,341 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+11.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.1 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · +9.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+43.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+49.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +29.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 59.2%6,881 | 40.8%4,746 | 11,627 |
| 2018 | D | 62.5%5,896 | 37.5%3,534 | 9,430 |
Its 2024 presidential margin of D+6.3 ranked among Connecticut's closest, against D+16.4 in 2008. Catholic adherents were the largest religious group at 48.3% in the 2020 US Religion Census.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.3 points.
A population of 23,416, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $113,130 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 61.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.