- Lead
- 2,176
- Total
- 15,031
- vs nation
- R+13.0
Connecticut 52nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,463
- Total
- 14,903
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Lead
- 2,508
- Total
- 14,110
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Lead
- 1,253
- Total
- 12,763
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Lead
- 317
- Total
- 13,343
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 13,017
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 743
- Total
- 11,293
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Lead
- 25
- Total
- 10,390
- vs nation
- R+8.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,9842024 5-year
- Population density
- 178 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 146 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $106,7912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 30, CT · twin score 97.1
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 52nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.3%
3,609 votes · D+20.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 48.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
80.0%
930 votes · R+64.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,570votes
44.1% of the vote · R+9.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,434 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,492votes
56.5% of the vote · R+14.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 8,033 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
−2.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+20.6 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · −7.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+58.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +43.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 58.5%7,429 | 41.5%5,277 | 12,706 |
| 2018 | D | 62.0%6,329 | 38.0%3,877 | 10,206 |
District 52 backed the 2024 Republican presidential candidate by 14.5 points, a margin that stands out sharply in a state that trended Democratic statewide, suggesting a distinct suburban or rural constituency anchoring the seat.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.5 points.
A population of 25,984, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $106,791 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 30 and State House District 45.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 52nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.