- Lead
- 7,297
- Total
- 81,491
- vs nation
- D+10.4
Massachusetts Hampden and Hampshire District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,408
- Total
- 85,595
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Lead
- 9,562
- Total
- 81,063
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Lead
- 15,056
- Total
- 75,626
- vs nation
- D+16.1
- Lead
- 15,310
- Total
- 75,436
- vs nation
- D+13.0
- Lead
- 12,205
- Total
- 71,468
- vs nation
- D+19.5
- Lead
- 10,678
- Total
- 66,185
- vs nation
- D+15.6
- Lead
- 17,350
- Total
- 65,252
- vs nation
- D+18.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+9.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,6282024 5-year
- Population density
- 917 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 183 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,6432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District, MA · twin score 88.0
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Hampden and Hampshire District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
70.9%
44,315 votes · D+42.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 59.1%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
72.4%
19,012 votes · R+47.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 71.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
48,455votes
56.6% of the vote · D+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 44,694 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
42,040votes
60.8% of the vote · R+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 39,515 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+23.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.3 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +19.8 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+45.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +30.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 97.7%59,879 | 2.3%1,391 | 61,270 |
Spanning two counties across the Pioneer Valley, this district blends Springfield-area urban precincts with small towns and agricultural stretches, producing a modest but consistent Democratic presidential margin that masks notable internal variation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.0 points.
A population of 167,628, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,643 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District and State Senate District 19.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Hampden and Hampshire District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D02/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.