- Lead
- 15,781
- Total
- 53,992
- vs nation
- D+30.7
Massachusetts Hampden District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 24,905
- Total
- 58,007
- vs nation
- D+38.5
- Lead
- 28,745
- Total
- 58,782
- vs nation
- D+46.8
- Lead
- 33,416
- Total
- 58,127
- vs nation
- D+53.6
- Lead
- 33,152
- Total
- 58,145
- vs nation
- D+49.7
- Lead
- 30,448
- Total
- 54,115
- vs nation
- D+58.7
- Lead
- 27,274
- Total
- 49,736
- vs nation
- D+54.3
- Lead
- 30,852
- Total
- 51,040
- vs nation
- D+51.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+29.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 168,0622024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,171 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 32.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,0032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 46.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+5.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 29, NJ · twin score 94.7
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Hampden District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
86.8%
49,192 votes · D+73.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 78.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
50.7%
7,689 votes · R+3.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 49.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
49,192votes
86.8% of the vote · D+73.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 45,334 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
18,347votes
34.0% of the vote · D+29.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 17,127 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+65.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.5 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +61.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
−0.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · −7.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%44,212 | 0.0%0 | 44,212 |
| 2020 | D | 99.9%58,503 | 0.1%35 | 58,538 |
Centered on Springfield, Massachusetts's third-largest city, Hampden District delivered a 29.2-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting its dense urban core, large Latino population, and working-class economic profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 5.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 13.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.2 points.
A population of 168,062, a 31% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,003 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 29 and State Senate District 16.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Hampden District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D03/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.