- Lead
- 7,539
- Total
- 94,671
- vs nation
- D+9.4
Massachusetts Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,671
- Total
- 96,903
- vs nation
- D+9.7
- Lead
- 4,835
- Total
- 89,831
- vs nation
- D+3.3
- Lead
- 10,423
- Total
- 83,650
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Lead
- 10,853
- Total
- 83,169
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Lead
- 7,525
- Total
- 78,953
- vs nation
- D+12.0
- Lead
- 6,210
- Total
- 73,062
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Lead
- 14,182
- Total
- 70,768
- vs nation
- D+11.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+8.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,1922024 5-year
- Population density
- 622 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 269 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,3722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Worcester and Hampden District, MA · twin score 92.6
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
67.4%
44,185 votes · D+35.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 55.9%
Republican
William McKinley1896
76.7%
8,634 votes · R+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 75.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
54,189votes
55.9% of the vote · D+14.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 49,994 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
49,764votes
65.1% of the vote · R+30.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 46,595 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hubert Humphrey1968
+14.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.1 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +12.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+53.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+59.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +38.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 95.1%60,726 | 4.9%3,132 | 63,858 |
Stretching from the Pioneer Valley into central Massachusetts, this district blends small hill towns with mid-sized city precincts, producing presidential margins noticeably tighter than the state's coastal core.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 59.9 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.0 points.
A population of 167,192, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,372 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Worcester and Hampden District and Worcester and Hampshire District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Hampden-Hampshire-Worcester District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D04/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.