- Lead
- 35,324
- Total
- 84,032
- vs nation
- D+43.5
Massachusetts Hampshire-Franklin-Worcester District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 41,893
- Total
- 86,364
- vs nation
- D+44.1
- Lead
- 35,491
- Total
- 84,519
- vs nation
- D+39.9
- Lead
- 38,915
- Total
- 79,421
- vs nation
- D+45.1
- Lead
- 40,205
- Total
- 79,904
- vs nation
- D+43.0
- Lead
- 34,260
- Total
- 75,292
- vs nation
- D+48.0
- Lead
- 23,055
- Total
- 67,483
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Lead
- 29,940
- Total
- 66,265
- vs nation
- D+36.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+42.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 167,7162024 5-year
- Population density
- 228 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 735 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,0112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Berkshire-Hampden-Franklin-Hampshire District, MA · twin score 89.3
presidential history
Party record book
Massachusetts Hampshire-Franklin-Worcester District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.4%
37,144 votes · D+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 73.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
73.2%
7,478 votes · R+56.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 68.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
62,929votes
72.9% of the vote · D+48.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 58,967 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
28,541votes
61.1% of the vote · R+22.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 27,206 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+48.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+45.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +45.1 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +27.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%62,469 | 0.0%0 | 62,469 |
| 2020 | D | 81.1%68,000 | 18.9%15,828 | 83,828 |
Anchored by college towns like Amherst and Northampton, this Pioneer Valley and central Massachusetts district posts presidential margins exceeding 40 points Democratic, driven by dense concentrations of students, educators, and Democratic-leaning suburban voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.0 points.
A population of 167,716, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,011 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Berkshire-Hampden-Franklin-Hampshire District and State Senate District 46.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Massachusetts Hampshire-Franklin-Worcester District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/25D05/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.