- Lead
- 15,877
- Total
- 42,248
- vs nation
- D+39.1
- Turnout
- 74.1%
Franklin County, MA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.1% of 57,531 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 18,829
- Total
- 43,003
- vs nation
- D+39.3
- Turnout
- 75.4%
- Lead
- 14,114
- Total
- 39,531
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Turnout
- 70.2%
- Lead
- 17,728
- Total
- 37,758
- vs nation
- D+43.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 18,374
- Total
- 38,529
- vs nation
- D+40.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,492
- Total
- 37,381
- vs nation
- D+41.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,769
- Total
- 33,366
- vs nation
- D+22.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,673
- Total
- 32,742
- vs nation
- D+27.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+37.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 70,9442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,9072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Windham County, VT · twin score 98.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.1%42,618 participants ÷ 57,531 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.3%–58.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 39,531 | 56,277 | 70.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 33,467 | 56,693 | 59.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 43,003 | 57,012 | 75.4% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 31,970 | 57,441 | 55.7% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 42,618 | 57,531 | 74.1% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 42,248 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Deerfield Precinct 1Deerfield Precinct 1 | 2,307 | 865 | 111 | 3,283 | 70.3% | 26.3% | D+43.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Orange Precinct 2Orange Precinct 2 | 1,001 | 927 | 40 | 1,968 | 50.9% | 47.1% | D+3.8 |
| Precinct -Orange Precinct 1Orange Precinct 1 | 878 | 1,015 | 52 | 1,945 | 45.1% | 52.2% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct -Northfield Precinct 1Northfield Precinct 1 | 1,179 | 689 | 70 | 1,938 | 60.8% | 35.6% | D+25.3 |
| Precinct -Sunderland Precinct 1Sunderland Precinct 1 | 1,408 | 397 | 74 | 1,879 | 74.9% | 21.1% | D+53.8 |
| Precinct -Bernardston Precinct 1Bernardston Precinct 1 | 878 | 491 | 36 | 1,405 | 62.5% | 34.9% | D+27.5 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 2Greenfield Precinct 2 | 917 | 371 | 34 | 1,322 | 69.4% | 28.1% | D+41.3 |
| Precinct -Conway Precinct 1Conway Precinct 1 | 943 | 315 | 45 | 1,303 | 72.4% | 24.2% | D+48.2 |
| Precinct -Leverett Precinct 1Leverett Precinct 1 | 1,079 | 160 | 56 | 1,295 | 83.3% | 12.4% | D+71.0 |
| Precinct -Shutesbury Precinct 1Shutesbury Precinct 1 | 1,030 | 169 | 43 | 1,242 | 82.9% | 13.6% | D+69.3 |
| Precinct -Shelburne Precinct 1Shelburne Precinct 1 | 914 | 261 | 48 | 1,223 | 74.7% | 21.3% | D+53.4 |
| Precinct -Ashfield Precinct 1Ashfield Precinct 1 | 919 | 235 | 50 | 1,204 | 76.3% | 19.5% | D+56.8 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 3Greenfield Precinct 3 | 799 | 343 | 44 | 1,186 | 67.4% | 28.9% | D+38.4 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 5Greenfield Precinct 5 | 893 | 218 | 65 | 1,176 | 75.9% | 18.5% | D+57.4 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 4Greenfield Precinct 4 | 829 | 276 | 45 | 1,150 | 72.1% | 24.0% | D+48.1 |
| Precinct -Buckland Precinct 1Buckland Precinct 1 | 808 | 296 | 29 | 1,133 | 71.3% | 26.1% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 1Greenfield Precinct 1 | 690 | 397 | 31 | 1,118 | 61.7% | 35.5% | D+26.2 |
| Precinct -Whately Precinct 1Whately Precinct 1 | 717 | 343 | 25 | 1,085 | 66.1% | 31.6% | D+34.5 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 6Greenfield Precinct 6 | 803 | 190 | 49 | 1,042 | 77.1% | 18.2% | D+58.8 |
| Precinct -Colrain Precinct 1Colrain Precinct 1 | 644 | 358 | 34 | 1,036 | 62.2% | 34.6% | D+27.6 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 1Montague Precinct 1 | 790 | 194 | 46 | 1,030 | 76.7% | 18.8% | D+57.9 |
| Precinct -Gill Precinct 1Gill Precinct 1 | 691 | 288 | 29 | 1,008 | 68.6% | 28.6% | D+40.0 |
| Precinct -Erving Precinct 1Erving Precinct 1 | 500 | 434 | 33 | 967 | 51.7% | 44.9% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 7Greenfield Precinct 7 | 620 | 265 | 30 | 915 | 67.8% | 29.0% | D+38.8 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 8Greenfield Precinct 8 | 649 | 224 | 37 | 910 | 71.3% | 24.6% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 3Montague Precinct 3 | 524 | 296 | 24 | 844 | 62.1% | 35.1% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 2Montague Precinct 2 | 493 | 306 | 34 | 833 | 59.2% | 36.7% | D+22.4 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 4Montague Precinct 4 | 553 | 214 | 27 | 794 | 69.6% | 27.0% | D+42.7 |
| Precinct -Charlemont Precinct 1Charlemont Precinct 1 | 479 | 211 | 39 | 729 | 65.7% | 28.9% | D+36.8 |
| Precinct -New Salem Precinct 1New Salem Precinct 1 | 420 | 260 | 31 | 711 | 59.1% | 36.6% | D+22.5 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 6Montague Precinct 6 | 453 | 222 | 30 | 705 | 64.3% | 31.5% | D+32.8 |
| Precinct -Greenfield Precinct 9Greenfield Precinct 9 | 455 | 206 | 22 | 683 | 66.6% | 30.2% | D+36.5 |
| Precinct -Montague Precinct 5Montague Precinct 5 | 420 | 130 | 54 | 604 | 69.5% | 21.5% | D+48.0 |
| Precinct -Wendell Precinct 1Wendell Precinct 1 | 439 | 125 | 34 | 598 | 73.4% | 20.9% | D+52.5 |
| Precinct -Warwick Precinct 1Warwick Precinct 1 | 309 | 174 | 20 | 503 | 61.4% | 34.6% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -Leyden Precinct 1Leyden Precinct 1 | 315 | 159 | 21 | 495 | 63.6% | 32.1% | D+31.5 |
| Precinct -Heath Precinct 1Heath Precinct 1 | 279 | 178 | 11 | 468 | 59.6% | 38.0% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct -Rowe Precinct 1Rowe Precinct 1 | 139 | 121 | 3 | 263 | 52.9% | 46.0% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -Hawley Precinct 1Hawley Precinct 1 | 117 | 66 | 6 | 189 | 61.9% | 34.9% | D+27.0 |
| Precinct -Monroe Precinct 1Monroe Precinct 1 | 24 | 39 | 3 | 66 | 36.4% | 59.1% | R+22.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −21.1% |
| 1896 | −63.1% |
| 1900 | −43.7% |
| 1904 | −47.7% |
| 1908 | −44.8% |
| 1912 | −8.1% |
| 1916 | −17.0% |
| 1920 | −57.9% |
| 1924 | −62.9% |
| 1928 | −41.8% |
| 1932 | −34.4% |
| 1936 | −18.7% |
| 1940 | −19.7% |
| 1944 | −17.0% |
| 1948 | −23.3% |
| 1952 | −38.1% |
| 1956 | −44.5% |
| 1960 | −12.1% |
| 1964 | +34.2% |
| 1968 | −1.1% |
| 1972 | −14.6% |
| 1976 | +0.5% |
| 1980 | −2.3% |
| 1984 | −1.2% |
| 1988 | +17.6% |
| 1992 | +23.9% |
| 1996 | +35.7% |
| 2000 | +23.3% |
| 2004 | +38.8% |
| 2008 | +47.7% |
| 2012 | +47.0% |
| 2016 | +35.7% |
| 2020 | +43.8% |
| 2024 | +37.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 100.0%29,787 | 0.0%0 | 29,787 |
| 2020 | D | 79.3%31,211 | 20.7%8,152 | 39,363 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 19 points more Republican.
58,097 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+7 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −973 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,232 in average income, against $77,526 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+27.9 on average — 9.7 points more Republican-leaning than Franklin County, MA itself (D+37.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hampshire County, MA396D+41.7
- Worcester County, MA244D+10.0
- Hampden County, MA152D+8.9
- Middlesex County, MA100D+39.2
- Suffolk County, MA32D+52.1
- Windham County, VT32D+42.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hampshire County, MA384
- Worcester County, MA206
- Hampden County, MA182
- Middlesex County, MA89
- Cheshire County, NH48
- Windham County, VT41
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +261 |
| 2012 | −182 |
| 2013 | −427 |
| 2014 | −147 |
| 2015 | −449 |
| 2016 | −305 |
| 2017 | −53 |
| 2018 | +60 |
| 2019 | −355 |
| 2021 | +270 |
| 2022 | +159 |
| 2023 | −58 |
| 2024 | +246 |
| 2025 | +7 |
Despite its sparse population and agricultural character, Franklin County has delivered Democratic presidential margins exceeding 30 points in every recent cycle, driven by college-educated residents and small Democratic-voting towns like Greenfield and Montague.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.7 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.6 points.
A population of 70,944, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,907 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Windham County and Windsor County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Franklin County, Massachusetts. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/25011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.